HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@RaleighWx
4 minHá 4 minutos
Mais
The 12z ECMWF brings #Florence awfully close to the NC Outer Banks in 10 days. The storm weakens by mid-week allowing it to slide under the NATL trough and turn WNW and then NW by day 7-10. It is a plausible scenario. 12z GGEM shifted south and west too.
[link to twitter.com (secure)] 7

WOW !!! A total disaster coming, if the predictions pan out !

I wouldn’t even look at the GFS. Worthless crap.

Unlike Puerto Rico, they rebuilt and didn't just sit slack-jawed "awaiting assistance".

Texas deserves a break.

we should start to pray...

watching

not my region

Lol. I have personally ridden out 3 cat 5s in my lifetime. Cat 3 is just a big storm. Doomsday... lol. Oh, but y’all make sure to buy up all the bread and milk.... morans.

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Tropical Cyclone Seven, located between the north-central coast of Cuba and the central Bahamas.

lol ill be in cali

What the hell.They said it was going to be nothing.

412
WTNT31 KNHC 022033
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Florence Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
500 PM AST Sun Sep 02 2018

...FLORENCE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 34.6W
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

we have to wait and see... models are seeing the same.

Y’all stay safe out there

304
WTNT22 KNHC 022042
TCMAT2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST FROM THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO EAST OF
MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE
MAUREPAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 77.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 77.3W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 76.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.7N 79.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.1N 81.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.6N 84.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.0N 87.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.6N 91.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 33.0N 94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 34.0N 95.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 77.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Weather radio would not stop going off so will turn off till night time

:hidetomato: