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HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

 
Oaken Paw
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Live repairing of a NC levee

[link to www.cnn.com (secure)]
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Flooding rain and wind threat levels issued for Central NC

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bump
 Quoting: NewGeneration2019


Thanks for posting. I'm in "major threat" for flooding and "elevated threat" for wind.

Near Greensboro. Pretty windy right now, only very fine rain so far.
 Quoting: Renaissance Woman


yeah, me too... be safe. Starting to rain all over the place now with the wind gusts.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
IT WAS IRRESPONSIBLE OF THEM TO THINK THEY COULD DEFY NATURE FINE. THATS THEIR CHOICE. BIT AS SOON AS THINGS GET BAD, THEY CRY FOR OTHERS TO PUT *THEIR*’LIVES IN DANGER TO PULL THEM OUT OF A MESS OF THEIR OWN CHOOSING.

THEY SHOULD HAVE TO PAY FOR THE CONSEQUENCES OF THEIR STUPID ACTIONS.
 Quoting: Deplorable NO MORE Michele B




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JustTheFactsPlease

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
So, Where is it flooding and just how bad is it?

[link to fiman.nc.gov (secure)]

Click the button labeled "enter fiman" to enter the site

Ignore the reporters on the TV and see for yourself!
 Quoting: JustTheFactsPlease


Great link.

Safe to assume some of those gauge's broken? Ie. Emerald Isle?
 Quoting: ThereRMeds4That


Great map, but they have New Bern at minor flooding? I thought that's where they are rescuing hundreds of people.
 Quoting: nutmeg


I'm trying to dispel media reporting with what is actually happening. Of course there is flooding, is it the end of the World scenario the media is portraying? Not even close.
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Oaken Paw
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Live repairing of a NC levee

[link to www.cnn.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Oaken Paw


Nice to see a community rally to help....
Everything has got to be a THING today
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
National Hurricane Center
✔
@NHC_Atlantic
Here is a new Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion from @NWSWPC on heavy rainfall and flash flooding associated with #Florence. Catastrophic flash flooding is expected to worsen today across Southeast NC and Northeast SC [link to www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov (secure)] …
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
...


do they have 1000 years of records of hurricanes?

then it's all just hype talk.

they live by the ocean. my bet is in a 1000 year history these storms happen literally all the time, just like it floods in the plains during april/may
 Quoting: 1-2-Follow


There are studies of several levels
 Quoting: Luisport


they can't even correctly predict THIS hurricane. in 2018. yet they have data of one from 1000 A.D.?

that's amazing. please to post a link.
 Quoting: 1-2-Follow


Oh dar loard we can't help you if you don't have a STEM background.

Do you understand that weather is a chaotic system and we only recently could do 5 and 10 day forecast with reasonable closeness.

Geologists and climatologists have used code samples. Or have you never read a science journal or watched a documentary in your life?

Search engines, you lazy fool, use it.
 Quoting: CleverCreator

lot of words and name calling, yet you said nothing.

not derailing the thread any more. bottom line is they don't have data from hurricanes from hundreds of years ago, so saying this is a once in a lifetime storm is ridiculous.

Last Edited by 1-2-Follow on 09/14/2018 01:12 PM
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Prayers. 🙏 RT @StuOstro: While #Florence hits the East Coast of the U.S., Super Typhoon #Mangkhut #OmpongPH is about to hit the northern #Philippines
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

omg
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Hourly rain totals to 3" and local
amounts to 7" are expected where up to 15" has already fallen.
Catastrophic flash flooding is expected to continue to worsen
today.

Discussion...Hurricane Florence is meandering down the lower NC
coast at this time, with its center currently just west of Kure
Beach. Hourly rain totals near 3" have been estimated by radar
within its western eyewall, while amounts are coming up within its
main inflow band, estimated at 2" an hour presently. CoCoRAHS
reports indicate that 14-15" have fallen so far in 1.4 miles north
of Swansboro, whose rain gage may have overflowed -- this is ~60%
of the NC rainfall record for tropical cyclone events (24.06"
during Floyd in 1999)
Oaken Paw
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
When is the High in the great lakes supposed to move out?
Everything has got to be a THING today
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09/14/2018 01:16 PM

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Learn what a 1000 year flood is before you say dumb shit folks...

The term “1000-year flood” means that, statistically speaking, a flood of that magnitude (or greater) has a 1 in 1000 chance of occurring in any given year. In terms of probability, the 1000-year flood has a 0.1% chance of happening in any given year.


It doesn't mean we have data from a thousand years ago..
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Learn what a 1000 year flood is before you say dumb shit folks...

The term “1000-year flood” means that, statistically speaking, a flood of that magnitude (or greater) has a 1 in 1000 chance of occurring in any given year. In terms of probability, the 1000-year flood has a 0.1% chance of happening in any given year.


It doesn't mean we have data from a thousand years ago..
 Quoting: Dr. Acula


But it's not difficult to have that date from geological record. 1000 years are nothing on geological time.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 27.0N 72.1W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 20.09.2018 27.1N 72.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Lil Gator • 3 minutes ago
Just got a report from a friend of a friend in Wilmington. They are fine, but their house is not. The neighbor's giant oak tree uprooted and crashed through their roof and game room last night. Thankfully no one was hurt, but now they're taking the backside of the eyewall with a giant hole in the house.
 Quoting: Luisport

Interesting fact my neighbor and I learned when checking with each of our insurers:

If we cut down a tree and take out either of our homes we are totally 'effed.

But if we leave a tree standing and it falls in a storm and takes out either of our homes our insurance policies will cover the damage.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Good loop of its current direction

[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]
 Quoting: Oaken Paw



THXs.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
This mesoscale discussion on flooding and the feeder band is pretty interesting (and concerning):

Both the mesoscale guidance and conceptual models for tropical
cyclone band behavior during the day indicate that the heavy rain
band over/near Cartaret should remain quasi-stationary today as it
migrates away from the center at nearly the pace of the storm's
forward motion. Recent ML CAPE trends suggest the instability
gradient in southern NC is moving very little. Hourly rain totals
to 3" make sense given the instability and moisture available with
the heavy rain focus increasingly shifting from its weakening
eyewall to its primary rain band in southeast NC. The mesoscale
guidance advertises local amounts of 5-7" during the next several
hours, which looks realistic so long as the band wavers somewhat
during the day.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
SHUT THE FRONT DOOR! Here's something you don't see every day! 🐬 Dolphins were swimming in the rising water near the shore just after Hurricane Florence hit near Wilmington this morning. 🐬 [link to on.wfmy.com (secure)]
[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
@RachaelRiley85
24m24 minutes ago
“We’re looking for a lot of rain, quite frankly devastating amounts,” Nick Petro of @NWSRaleigh says.




@NCWeatherhound
2h2 hours ago

The Cape Fear in FAY is projected to see levels unseen since the catastrophic flood of 1945 (thank the Lord for Jordan Lake Dam!) At 62.5 feet, the river will be 3 feet higher than Matthew, and about 18 feet higher than Fran.


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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Learn what a 1000 year flood is before you say dumb shit folks...

The term “1000-year flood” means that, statistically speaking, a flood of that magnitude (or greater) has a 1 in 1000 chance of occurring in any given year. In terms of probability, the 1000-year flood has a 0.1% chance of happening in any given year.


It doesn't mean we have data from a thousand years ago..
 Quoting: Dr. Acula


....and after Floyd dropped an ass of rain and flooded everything east of I-95, every NC and fed agency had to rethink and redraw those projection maps.

Right now I'm away from my home and watching my WRAL live cast of possible twister developing over Rocky Mount and heading west, right towards my community. :-/

Next 72 hrs are super critical to areas w/ flooding from rivers, creeks, etc.
And thought struggles against the results, trying to avoid those unpleasant results while keeping on with that way of thinking. That is what I call 'sustained incoherence.' ...David Bohm

“How, O Zenobia, hast thou dared to insult Roman emperors?” ...Aurelian, 44th Emperor of the Roman Empire
The Deplorable MnB15

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Sounds crazy but it looks like Flo will reintensify to a tropical storm over the unusually warm waters of Lake Eerie and Lake Ontario. pressure drops, winds go up, starting around 90 hours out to 108 hours out. Look out Upstate New York and Maine! I wonder if the NHC will issue a tropical storm watch... lol, but really...
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


Seriously? Im in VT, i hope not.
 Quoting: *<3sugar&spice<3*


A hurricane is going to intensify over the Great Lakes? putin

First of all, it won't even be intact by the time it reaches upstate NY. Also, that's never happened (a hurricane intensifying as a result of the Great Lakes). Ever.

[link to www.weather.gov (secure)]

Last Edited by MnB15 on 09/14/2018 01:50 PM
MnB15
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
...


Once they save their miserable live, slap a citation on them...
 Quoting: Deplorable NO MORE Michele B


Right, people that have lost everything now have to show up for court. Fuck you.
 Quoting: fluffycat


No.

IT WAS IRRESPONSIBLE OF THEM TO THINK THEY COULD DEFY NATURE FINE. THATS THEIR CHOICE. BIT AS SOON AS THINGS GET BAD, THEY CRY FOR OTHERS TO PUT *THEIR*’LIVES IN DANGER TO PULL THEM OUT OF A MESS OF THEIR OWN CHOOSING.

THEY SHOULD HAVE TO PAY FOR THE CONSEQUENCES OF THEIR STUPID ACTIONS.
 Quoting: Deplorable NO MORE Michele B


just like living on the Mississippi River Bottom
or the Coastal Swamplands of the Gulf Coast.
 Quoting: Elevated Intesity


When my kids were in school, they had two guy friends whose family had a cement business. The business and their home was right next to the creek. Every time it rained and flooded their home, she was on TV and in the newspaper bitching about it.

She was a loud mouth. I'm still not sure what she expected. I was never friends with her.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Right now, we are getting wind gusts 30 to 40 with rain being thrown all over place. No sharks or dolphins have landed in my pool yet. However, lots of responder's out on calls for possible looters, business alarms, and flying debris, debris, and electrical power lines. Some domestics fights. [smh It's bad enough, they have to be out in this weather that they have to diffuse a an argument dispute. smh. I think that's it right now. Some places have power, some places don't. Also, Trees falling down in roads and some fires.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
KPRC2 Rose-Ann Aragon
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People paddling down Broadway in Galveston. The water is rising. Cars are getting stuck. @KPRC2
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Right now, we are getting wind gusts 30 to 40 with rain being thrown all over place. No sharks or dolphins have landed in my pool yet. However, lots of responders out calls for possible looters, business alarms, and flying debris, debris, and electrical power lines. Some domestics fights. [smh] Bad enough they have to be out in this weather they have to diffuse a an arguement dispute... smh. I think thats it right now. Some places have power some place don't.
 Quoting: Diabolical


Are you near Fuquay?
Everything has got to be a THING today
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
Oaken Paw
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
 Quoting: Luisport


Still has amazing outflow
Everything has got to be a THING today
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
NC: 566K without power
SC: 66K without power
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Right now, we are getting wind gusts 30 to 40 with rain being thrown all over place. No sharks or dolphins have landed in my pool yet. However, lots of responders out calls for possible looters, business alarms, and flying debris, debris, and electrical power lines. Some domestics fights. [smh] Bad enough they have to be out in this weather they have to diffuse a an arguement dispute... smh. I think thats it right now. Some places have power some place don't.
 Quoting: Diabolical


Are you near Fuquay?
 Quoting: Oaken Paw


Right below it East. About an hour away I think.
Oaken Paw
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Right now, we are getting wind gusts 30 to 40 with rain being thrown all over place. No sharks or dolphins have landed in my pool yet. However, lots of responders out calls for possible looters, business alarms, and flying debris, debris, and electrical power lines. Some domestics fights. [smh] Bad enough they have to be out in this weather they have to diffuse a an arguement dispute... smh. I think thats it right now. Some places have power some place don't.
 Quoting: Diabolical


Are you near Fuquay?
 Quoting: Oaken Paw


Right below it East. About an hour away I think.
 Quoting: Diabolical


You have a LOT more rain to deal with. Might exit your area by Monday
Everything has got to be a THING today
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGES AND HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS CONTINUE... ...CATASTROPHIC FRESHWATER FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA...
2:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 14
Location: 34.0°N 78.4°W
Moving: W at 5 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph





GLP