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Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*

 
DERAIL
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12/03/2018 04:20 PM
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Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*
Curve falls below zero for the first time since 2007

The spread between 3- and 5-year yields fell to negative 0.6 basis points Monday, dropping below zero for the first time since 2007. It’s not the best-known measure of the curve. The 2- to 10-year gap is more closely watched as a potential indicator of pending recessions. But Monday’s move could be the first signal that the market is putting the Federal Reserve on notice that the end of its tightening cycle is approaching.

[link to www.bloomberg.com (secure)]
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DERAIL  (OP)

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12/03/2018 04:22 PM
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Re: Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*
Note: every recession is preceded by an inverted yield curve
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Cap'n Slick

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12/05/2018 06:55 PM

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Re: Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*
Note: every recession is preceded by an inverted yield curve
 Quoting: DERAIL


And so it begins....
Cap'n Slick
MissCleo

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12/07/2018 06:25 AM

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Re: Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*
manmade.
Fifth-and-a-Half Element

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12/07/2018 06:26 AM
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Re: Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*
Get ready, OP.

You will probably be called a "Russian troll farm" for posting that fact.
jake

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12/07/2018 06:29 AM

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Re: Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*
Get ready, OP.

You will probably be called a "Russian troll farm" for posting that fact.
 Quoting: Fifth-and-a-Half Element


go back to russia you dumb troll
Fifth-and-a-Half Element

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12/07/2018 06:40 AM
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Re: Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*
Get ready, OP.

You will probably be called a "Russian troll farm" for posting that fact.
 Quoting: Fifth-and-a-Half Element


go back to russia you dumb troll
 Quoting: jake


See what I mean?

1rof1
Fifth-and-a-Half Element

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12/07/2018 06:49 AM
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Re: Treasuries yield curve just inverted for the first time in more than a decade. *2007*
This market indicator has predicted the past seven recessions.

An inverted yield curve, which has correctly predicted the last seven recessions going back to the late 1960's, occurs when short-term interest rates yield more than longer-term rates. Why is an inverted yield curve so crucial in determining the direction of markets and the economy? Because when bank assets (longer-duration loans) generate less income than bank liabilities (short-term deposits), the incentive to make new loans dries up along with the money supply. And when asset bubbles are starved of that monetary fuel they burst. The severity of the recession depends on the intensity of the asset bubbles in existence prior to the inversion.

The last two times the yield curve inverted was in the years 2000 and 2006 before each of the last recessions.

[link to www.cnbc.com (secure)]