An Inverted Yield Curve, a Reliable Predictor of Recessions, Has the Stock Market Spooked | |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 73184323 United States 12/06/2018 08:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
graff2 User ID: 75758325 United States 12/06/2018 12:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | hmmmzers SiTeS a sNaRe, sPiTEful & bArE Safety Disclaimer: Nothing I've ever said on this profile or any profile ever connected to or in communication with this profile or IP address, or any IP address affiliated with this profile or IP address, is meant to be construed as fact. Everything I say or appear to suggest is 100% satire or only meant for entertainment purposes. I dont believe anything I ever say here because it's all a joke and should all be considered as such. Assuming anything I've ever said is true or meant to be education, or anything any account ever, in any way whatsoever, remotely associated with this account or IP address is true or meant to be educational, would result in you assuming something on your own accord knowing what you are assuming is not based on fact. Every communication to and from this account is satire and/or entertainment only, always. |
The DarkShadow User ID: 56657753 United States 12/06/2018 12:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | After 8 years of ZIRP and no interest rate increases, it sure doesn't take a very high percentage to invert the yield curve. It also doesn't take a very large percentage to bring the potemkin economy crumbling. Is the Fed working with Mueller? It wouldn't surprise me. |
Adragon User ID: 77117009 Israel 12/06/2018 12:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For the first time in a while, stock market investors are being spooked this week by what’s happening in the bond market. And the reason has something to do with an occurrence that is not exactly in the everyday investor’s lexicon: an inverted yield curve. Quoting: Fifth-and-a-Half Element Put simply, an inverted yield curve happens when bond yields at the short end of the bond spectrum rise above those at the long end. Usually, the bond market focuses on the difference between the yields on U.S. Treasury two-year notes and those for 10-year notes. When the yield curve inverts, it means the two-year notes pay bondholders more in interest than 10-year notes do, something that’s both rare and counterintuitive. For economists and investors, it’s a loud warning about the economy’s outlook. One portfolio manager called the inverted yield curve a “harbinger of doom.” It has a scarily accurate track record of predicting economic recessions, which in past decades have arrived six months to two years after an inversion. [link to fortune.com] The inverted yield curve is a graph that shows that younger treasury bond yields are yielding more interest than older ones. Scooky |
Blunt Force Trauma User ID: 7777005 Canada 12/06/2018 02:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ha-Ha-Ha... Stark-Market is the most corrupt, NWO-controlled, BQMTJ infested shit-hole on the planet... Get-Some...! REAL Ass-Hats that is...! ? House-Of-Cards... . Where Blather Vs Godzilla -RETURNS- ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ "I'm here to Chew Bubble-Gum, and Kick-Some-Ass...And I just ran-out of Bubble-Gum..." [Paraphrase] From: "They Live"... |
BohemianExile User ID: 75956529 United States 12/06/2018 02:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | After 8 years of ZIRP and no interest rate increases, it sure doesn't take a very high percentage to invert the yield curve. Quoting: The DarkShadow It also doesn't take a very large percentage to bring the potemkin economy crumbling. Is the Fed working with Mueller? It wouldn't surprise me. Democrats created the Federal Reserve, the IRS, the FBI, and the CIA. They exist to maintain Democrat power. That is all. “Till shade is gone, till water is gone, into the Shadow with teeth bared, screaming defiance with the last breath, to spit in Sightblinder’s eye on the Last Day.” -Aiel Oath Let the Dragon ride again on the Winds of Time WoT WoT! Build that RedWall Loose Lips Don't Sink Ships ~ Qanons DEW |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 45931 Canada 12/06/2018 02:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | After 8 years of ZIRP and no interest rate increases, it sure doesn't take a very high percentage to invert the yield curve. Quoting: The DarkShadow It also doesn't take a very large percentage to bring the potemkin economy crumbling. Is the Fed working with Mueller? It wouldn't surprise me. Democrats created the Federal Reserve, the IRS, the FBI, and the CIA. They exist to maintain Democrat power. That is all. Yeah but in those days the Democrunts were the Right, and the Republicans the Left.. at some point the name switched sides for some reason lol |
rosicrucian1 User ID: 76960994 Canada 12/06/2018 03:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For the first time in a while, stock market investors are being spooked this week by what’s happening in the bond market. And the reason has something to do with an occurrence that is not exactly in the everyday investor’s lexicon: an inverted yield curve. Quoting: Fifth-and-a-Half Element Put simply, an inverted yield curve happens when bond yields at the short end of the bond spectrum rise above those at the long end. Usually, the bond market focuses on the difference between the yields on U.S. Treasury two-year notes and those for 10-year notes. When the yield curve inverts, it means the two-year notes pay bondholders more in interest than 10-year notes do, something that’s both rare and counterintuitive. For economists and investors, it’s a loud warning about the economy’s outlook. One portfolio manager called the inverted yield curve a “harbinger of doom.” It has a scarily accurate track record of predicting economic recessions, which in past decades have arrived six months to two years after an inversion. [link to fortune.com] how could this have happened unless the Fed fukkery? anyone? “the devil is a foe to the blood” Prof. Minor |
Cardiak User ID: 73652374 United States 12/06/2018 03:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For the first time in a while, stock market investors are being spooked this week by what’s happening in the bond market. And the reason has something to do with an occurrence that is not exactly in the everyday investor’s lexicon: an inverted yield curve. Quoting: Fifth-and-a-Half Element Put simply, an inverted yield curve happens when bond yields at the short end of the bond spectrum rise above those at the long end. Usually, the bond market focuses on the difference between the yields on U.S. Treasury two-year notes and those for 10-year notes. When the yield curve inverts, it means the two-year notes pay bondholders more in interest than 10-year notes do, something that’s both rare and counterintuitive. For economists and investors, it’s a loud warning about the economy’s outlook. One portfolio manager called the inverted yield curve a “harbinger of doom.” It has a scarily accurate track record of predicting economic recessions, which in past decades have arrived six months to two years after an inversion. [link to fortune.com] how could this have happened unless the Fed fukkery? anyone? Ez, The fed brought down rates to almost 0 during Obamas eight years and began raising them over and over during trumps second year when the economy was booming. Not sure that could even be considered an indicator considering we’ve never brought interest rates as low as we did during those years |
BRIEF User ID: 39607259 United States 12/06/2018 04:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | They got spoiled with cheap interest rates...cash costs money, like I've always said the borrowers are slave to the lenders, so um kneel while I unzip lol I never forgive and I never forget I am a licensed firearm holder. I will, under protection of law, use lethal force if attacked. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 45931 Canada 12/06/2018 05:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | One of you guys need to learn your own history better.. pretty sad that a Canadian has to school you about this.. Did the Democrats and Republicans “Switch Parties”? The American political parties, now called Democrats and Republicans, switched platform planks, ideologies, and members many times in American history. These switches were typically spurred on by major legislative changes and events, such as the Civil War in the 1860’s, and Civil Rights in the 1960’s. The changes then unfolded over the course of decades to create what historians call the “Party Systems [link to factmyth.com] |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 77173110 United States 12/06/2018 07:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Monty Python User ID: 76848690 United States 12/06/2018 08:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's a good explanation of the Inverted Yield Curve theory: [link to www.bloomberg.com (secure)] Monty Python's Flying Circus |
Monty Python User ID: 76848690 United States 12/06/2018 09:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | After 8 years of ZIRP and no interest rate increases, it sure doesn't take a very high percentage to invert the yield curve. Quoting: The DarkShadow It also doesn't take a very large percentage to bring the potemkin economy crumbling. Is the Fed working with Mueller? It wouldn't surprise me. Democrats created the Federal Reserve, the IRS, the FBI, and the CIA. They exist to maintain Democrat power. That is all. Don't be fooled by Party labels. The globalist banksters and Wall Street created the Fed. Read The Creature From Jekyll Island for more info. Monty Python's Flying Circus |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 69305622 United States 12/06/2018 09:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
jake User ID: 76890717 United States 12/06/2018 09:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | why the mods allow Russian propaganda artists on this website i will never know.. Time to start turning them into the Feds. Last Edited by Slowly awakening on 12/06/2018 09:07 PM Evil controls the ignorant... Climate change is a hoax so is the vax you have been fear-porned into compliance! Definition Satan from the bible: Satan (Rev 12:7) exercising his subtle (indirect) impact on heathen governments (powers) – i.e. accomplishing his hellish agenda from "behind the scenes." |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 69305622 United States 12/06/2018 09:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
jake User ID: 76890717 United States 12/06/2018 09:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | why the mods allow Russian propaganda artists on this Quoting: jake website i will never know.. Time to start turning them into the Feds. I'm not sure – which of the posts are Russian propaganda? I'm talking about you ending up in federal prison very soon. Evil controls the ignorant... Climate change is a hoax so is the vax you have been fear-porned into compliance! Definition Satan from the bible: Satan (Rev 12:7) exercising his subtle (indirect) impact on heathen governments (powers) – i.e. accomplishing his hellish agenda from "behind the scenes." |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 69305622 United States 12/06/2018 09:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | why the mods allow Russian propaganda artists on this Quoting: jake website i will never know.. Time to start turning them into the Feds. I'm not sure – which of the posts are Russian propaganda? I'm talking about you ending up in federal prison very soon. For posting a factual article stating that an inverted yield curve is a reliable predictor of recessions? That this has predicted each of the last seven recessions? |
Monty Python User ID: 76848690 United States 12/06/2018 09:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | why the mods allow Russian propaganda artists on this Quoting: jake website i will never know.. Time to start turning them into the Feds. I'm not sure – which of the posts are Russian propaganda? Because a recession can't happen under Trump's policies, didn't you know? Even though no President controls the Fed. Monty Python's Flying Circus |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 69305622 United States 12/06/2018 09:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | why the mods allow Russian propaganda artists on this Quoting: jake website i will never know.. Time to start turning them into the Feds. I'm not sure – which of the posts are Russian propaganda? Because a recession can't happen under Trump's policies, didn't you know? Even though no President controls the Fed. No, I will admit that I didn't know that. I was only going fro historical precedent. So how is a recession impossible under Trump's policies? |
Monty Python User ID: 76848690 United States 12/06/2018 09:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | why the mods allow Russian propaganda artists on this Quoting: jake website i will never know.. Time to start turning them into the Feds. I'm not sure – which of the posts are Russian propaganda? Because a recession can't happen under Trump's policies, didn't you know? Even though no President controls the Fed. No, I will admit that I didn't know that. I was only going fro historical precedent. So how is a recession impossible under Trump's policies? I was being sarcastic. Monty Python's Flying Circus |
jake User ID: 76890717 United States 12/06/2018 09:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | why the mods allow Russian propaganda artists on this Quoting: jake website i will never know.. Time to start turning them into the Feds. I'm not sure – which of the posts are Russian propaganda? I'm talking about you ending up in federal prison very soon. For posting a factual article stating that an inverted yield curve is a reliable predictor of recessions? That this has predicted each of the last seven recessions? you are gonna be rounded up, you know that right? Evil controls the ignorant... Climate change is a hoax so is the vax you have been fear-porned into compliance! Definition Satan from the bible: Satan (Rev 12:7) exercising his subtle (indirect) impact on heathen governments (powers) – i.e. accomplishing his hellish agenda from "behind the scenes." |
Yidna User ID: 72283344 Canada 12/06/2018 09:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | inverted yield curve may be what spooked them then into recession every time it comes. buck it this time. we're on a good trajectory. I thought it was you think it, and it happens. how about 7 years of prosperity... but now that we're a space-man, why not make it seven "God Years", where each day of that seven years is translated into a thousand years. Last Edited by Yidna on 12/06/2018 09:28 PM |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 72286785 United States 12/06/2018 09:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For posting a factual article stating that an inverted yield curve is a reliable predictor of recessions? That this has predicted each of the last seven recessions? you are gonna be rounded up, you know that right? For posting historical fact? Wow. Fascist much? If you believe that the article is not accurate, please let us know. Last Edited by Fifth-and-a-Half Element on 12/06/2018 09:31 PM |
Yidna User ID: 72283344 Canada 12/06/2018 11:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Yidna User ID: 72283344 Canada 12/06/2018 11:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 77171422 United States 12/07/2018 01:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 75457821 United States 12/07/2018 11:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Fifth-and-a-Half Element (OP) User ID: 70598079 United States 12/08/2018 01:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Brace for a 15% plunge in S&P 500 next year if the Treasury yield curve fully inverts Parts of the U.S. bond market are seeing short-dated yields push above their long-dated peers, a “warning sign” for the stock market as Wall Street’s economic expectations for 2019 deteriorate. That’s what Oliver Jones, an analyst for Capital Economics, said in a recent note, as investors pay newfound attention to the yield curve, the spread between short-dated and long-dated yields. Jones and others are worried that if this gap continues to narrow, more losses will follow for the S&P 500 SPX, -2.33% which has already been retreating from its October highs. “History suggests that once the Treasury yield curve becomes very flat or starts to invert, the stock market tends to struggle over the following couple of years, as the economy eventually starts to weaken,” said Jones. Jones says investors may not want to take any chances. In the chart below, he shows that whenever the spread between the 2-year note has matched or pushed above the 10-year note yield, the S&P 500’s returns over the next two years has turned negative. He expects the S&P 500 to slump 15% in 2019. [link to www.marketwatch.com (secure)] |