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New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.

 
Zer0Phi
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12/05/2018 10:38 PM

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New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
New sun spot numbers were released the other day.

The sun is still sleeping. No big change in sun spot numbers as we are at solar minimum.

What is interesting is they extended the prediction line.

Have a look.

ssdec2018
[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Last Edited by Zer0Phi on 12/07/2018 02:43 AM
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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/05/2018 10:40 PM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
Now have a look at the previous month's data.

ssnov2018

ssdec2018

On the top image you can still see the minimum curve from the previous cycle. Notice not long after the minimum, the sun spot numbers climb rapidly.

Now look at the numbers for December.

The red prediction line looks flat.
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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/05/2018 11:11 PM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
Not that a NOAA prediction line has ever meant much before.

chuckle

Last Edited by Zer0Phi on 12/05/2018 11:11 PM
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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/06/2018 12:52 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
Same for the radio flux progression number prediction.
[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
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xenophon

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12/07/2018 02:27 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
I expect a major awakening and fireworks in the next 12 months. This comes from alchemy so the models do not really apply despite all signs pointing to the opposite

Good thread though, we'll see soon enough
Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 02:33 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
I expect a major awakening and fireworks in the next 12 months. This comes from alchemy so the models do not really apply despite all signs pointing to the opposite

Good thread though, we'll see soon enough
 Quoting: xenophon


I disagree with you in this case.

The sun is sleeping.

We should see some activity within the next year if things are to return to normal solar activity.

But the fact is the last 3 solar cycles at least have had decreased solar output than the one before. Cycle 24 being the strangest.

I expect cycle 25 will be quite silent, or maybe even a small strange cycle before it goes silent.
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jake

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12/07/2018 02:54 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
Keep us updated. after reading the pics of mars on

NASA's website about climate change on mars, i realize that

It is all the sun! and has nothing to do with man.
#walkaway
Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 03:01 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
Keep us updated. after reading the pics of mars on

NASA's website about climate change on mars, i realize that

It is all the sun! and has nothing to do with man.
 Quoting: jake


Meh. I've done that one before. Here is 50 or so pages on the topic.
Thread: Cosmic Winter Changes Earth
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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 03:06 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
I'm saying cosmic winter started at the first part of 2018.

Well ahead of the predicted curve.

The only reason we had the spike in the sun spot numbers last year is because someone detonated a hydrogen bomb.

Wait. I feel like I have written this all before.
Thread: Cosmic Winter Is Here
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Mathetes 2.0

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12/07/2018 03:10 AM
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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
Great catch my friend! I usually check these charts but missed this



Eddy Minimum is on the way!
Eyes on the horizon, nose in the Book, and hands on the trumpet, be a watchman/watchwoman for the coming of our Lord
xenophon

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12/07/2018 03:11 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
I expect a major awakening and fireworks in the next 12 months. This comes from alchemy so the models do not really apply despite all signs pointing to the opposite

Good thread though, we'll see soon enough
 Quoting: xenophon


I disagree with you in this case.

The sun is sleeping.

We should see some activity within the next year if things are to return to normal solar activity.

But the fact is the last 3 solar cycles at least have had decreased solar output than the one before. Cycle 24 being the strangest.

I expect cycle 25 will be quite silent, or maybe even a small strange cycle before it goes silent.
 Quoting: Zer0Phi


We can agree to disagree :)

I'm seeing a new 7 year cycle beginning now
Victor Vectors

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12/07/2018 03:23 AM
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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
GSM Update 12/6/18 - Winter Storm Diego To Bring Cross-Country Swath of Snow & Ice - CO2 Rises

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 03:29 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
Great catch my friend! I usually check these charts but missed this



Eddy Minimum is on the way!
 Quoting: Mathetes 2.0


I thank you for being here.

cheers
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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 03:31 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
I expect a major awakening and fireworks in the next 12 months. This comes from alchemy so the models do not really apply despite all signs pointing to the opposite

Good thread though, we'll see soon enough
 Quoting: xenophon


I disagree with you in this case.

The sun is sleeping.

We should see some activity within the next year if things are to return to normal solar activity.

But the fact is the last 3 solar cycles at least have had decreased solar output than the one before. Cycle 24 being the strangest.

I expect cycle 25 will be quite silent, or maybe even a small strange cycle before it goes silent.
 Quoting: Zer0Phi


We can agree to disagree :)

I'm seeing a new 7 year cycle beginning now
 Quoting: xenophon


That's not a bad thought. We could have a couple short solar cycles before things get back to normal.

It's hard to tell from the perspective of this small planet the actual cause of the solar disturbance.
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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 03:33 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
GSM Update 12/6/18 - Winter Storm Diego To Bring Cross-Country Swath of Snow & Ice - CO2 Rises

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Victor Vectors


We are on Diego already?

Maybe I should upload the 2018 winter storm names.

It's always fun to watch.
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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 09:54 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
Here is my largest list of space weather links.

I need to maybe edit some, but it will do for now.

My list of space weather links.


Cosmic Ray Links

Neutron Monitor Database (EU)
[link to www.nmdb.eu]

University of Delaware Neutron Monitors
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Gamma Ray Burst
[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Solar Data Links

Flare Monitor (BETA)
Gives probability for a solar flare for each sun spot
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

ACE solar wind, magnetic field, plasma, protons, electrons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

DSCOVR REAL TIME SOLAR WIND
[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]

Goes electron flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Wilcox Solar Observatory Polar Field Observations
[link to wso.stanford.edu]

ISWA - Enlil Solar Wind Prediction
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SWPC - WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NSO/GONG PFSS Models
[link to gong2.nso.edu]

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Solar Multi Tool Views

ISWA MULTI TOOL (Mother of all Multitools, advanced users, It can be a pain in the
ass, but good when it works, Hundreds of tools)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Solar Ham (lots of good tools in one place)
[link to www.solarham.net]

Space weather report (less tools, more report)
[link to spaceweather.com]
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Solar Imaging

Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) = Awesome
[link to iris.lmsal.com]

Solar & Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) Movie Theatre
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

Helioviewer
[link to www.helioviewer.org]

Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Lockheed Martin SOLAR & ASTROPHYSICS LABORATORY
Great tool for finding the size of a solar flare quickly
[link to www.lmsal.com]
Helioviewer.org
Solar and heliospheric image visualization tool.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Magnetosphere Links


Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) Real Time Tools (Current magneto-pause position)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] (all real time tools from CCMC)

SWMF Magnetosphere N/S Cut & Magnetic Fieldlines
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

SWMF Magnetosphere Equatorial Cut & Velocities
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Useful NOAA Spaceweather Links

NOAA / Space Weather Prediction Center
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] (space weather enthusiast dashboard)

D Region Absorption Predictions (D-RAP)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES ELECTRON FLUX
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

PLANETARY K-INDEX
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE REAL-TIME SOLAR WIND
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES X-RAY FLUX
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) Home Page
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES MAGNETOMETER
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES PROTON FLUX
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Space Physics Interactive Data Resource (SPIDR)
National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC)
(Is like the mother of all databases)
THE ARCHIVE
[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov (secure)] (moved)
[link to spidr.ionosonde.net] (Main link)
~~~~


This needs a better link, but this is the main site. Japan have a Muon Telescope
[link to www.stelab.nagoya-u.ac.jp]
never mind. Here is the data
[link to www.stelab.nagoya-u.ac.jp]
~~~~~~~~

The global solar corona and solar wind
derived with time-dependent three-dimensional MHD simulation
using SDO/HMI magnetic-field synoptic data
[link to hmi.stanford.edu]
~~~~~~~~~

Mars Weather Widget
[link to mars.jpl.nasa.gov (secure)]

Mars MAVEN mission
[link to www.nasa.gov (secure)]
Rover Environmental Monitoring Station (REMS) - Mars Science Laboratory
Mars Science Laboratory rover Curiosity exploring the planet mars - facts, information, videos and pictures

NASA
MAVEN
NASA brings you images, videos and features from the unique perspective of America's space agency. Get updates on missions, watch NASA TV, read blogs, view the latest discoveries, and more.

~~~~~~~~

Swift Monitoring Program 2013 - 2018
Swift Daily Monitoring of the Galactic Center
[link to swift-sgra.com]
~~~~~~~~

The Polar Ionospheric X-ray Imaging Experiment (PIXIE)
[link to pixie.spasci.com]
~~~~~~~~


ViSBARD
Visual System for Browsing, Analysis, and Retrieval of Data
The Mother of all space weather software. Download only for advanced users
[link to spdf.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
Phi03/02/2018
~~~~~~
MMS at Rice
The SWMF +RCM (Rice Convection Model)
Space weather stuff from Rice
[link to mms.rice.edu]
~~~~~~~~

LMSAL/VSL Solar and Heliospheric Forecasts
[link to www.lmsal.com]
~~~~~~~~

Current Solar Activity and Heliospheric Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) Conditions
From Berkeley
[link to stereo.ssl.berkeley.edu]
~~~~~

NOAA World Magnetic Model
[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov (secure)]
~~~~~~~

NASA Scientific Visualization Studio
[link to svs.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
Phi03/02/2018
~~~~~~~~

~~~~~~~~~~~
Schumann Resonance Monitors

Russian
[link to sosrff.tsu.ru]
[link to sosrff.tsu.ru] (amplitude)
[link to sosrff.tsu.ru] (frequency)


~~~~~~~~
GEOMAGNETIC LINKS

Lots of Geomagnetic data links from around the world.
[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

Canadian Magnetometer graphs
[link to www.spaceweather.gc.ca]

USGS Magnetometer graphs
[link to geomag.usgs.gov]

Swedish Magnetometers
[link to www.irf.se]

RIOMETER (Swedish)
[link to www.irf.se]

Current Kp-index (provisional data from Michael Theusner Web site?)
[link to www.theusner.eu]
Current magnetopause position
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Ionospheric potential with polar cap
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Ionospheric field-aligned currents and polar cap
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Earth-Sun magnetic connectivity
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SWMF-RCM
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

SWMF-RCM
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

Mexican Space weather
I got this from the space weather conference in DC
[link to www.sciesmex.unam.mx]

~~~~~~

INTERMAGNET
International Real-time Magnetic Observatory Network
[link to www.intermagnet.org]
~~~~~~
Space Physics Data Facility
[link to spdf.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
National Geophysical Data Center- NOAA
[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov (secure)]
UK Solar System Data Center- WDC
[link to www.ukssdc.ac.uk (secure)]
World Data Center for Geomagnetism
[link to wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp]
~~~~~~~~~
Ionosphere Data

Digital Ionogram Database- GIRO
[link to umlcar.uml.edu]

Digital Drift Database- GIRO
[link to umlcar.uml.edu]

Latest Ionospheric TEC map- JPL
[link to iono.jpl.nasa.gov (secure)]
~~~~~~~
Magnetometer Data

Magnetometer Network (210 Magnetic Data)
[link to stdb2.stelab.nagoya-u.ac.jp]

McMAC magnetometer array
Mid-continent Magnetoseismic Chain (McMAC)
[link to spc.igpp.ucla.edu]

THEMIS
[link to themis.ssl.berkeley.edu]

ICSWSE
MAGDAS Data Archive
[link to magdas.serc.kyushu-u.ac.jp]
~~~~~~
Forecasts Models

(ASSA) Automatic Solar Synoptic Analyzer
[link to spaceweather.rra.go.kr]

CCMC
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

Exploration Physics International
[link to www.expi.com]

The Wang-Sheeley-Arge Model
[link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov]

RELATIVISTIC ELECTRON FORECAST MODEL
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction (SWPC)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

UCSD Center
[link to ips.ucsd.edu]

3D Asymmetric Magnetopause Model
[link to eng.sepc.ac.cn]

~~~~~~~~
GIC-related Sites

Geomagnetic Laboratory, NRCan, Canada
[link to spaceweather.ca]

Finnish Meteorological Institute
[link to space.fmi.fi]

Australian Space Weather Agency
[link to www.sws.bom.gov.au]

EPRI SUNBURST Project
[link to www.gic2000.com]

Dartmouth College (modelling the auroral electrojet for GIC studies)
[link to engineering.dartmouth.edu]

Geomagnetic Device Probes Impacts of Solar Storms
Oak Ridge National Labs
[link to www.ornl.gov (secure)]

[link to crater-web.sr.unh.edu]
Cosmic ray telescope around the moon
 Quoting: Zer0Phi

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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 11:14 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
GSM Update 12/6/18 - Winter Storm Diego To Bring Cross-Country Swath of Snow & Ice - CO2 Rises

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Victor Vectors


We are on Diego already?

Maybe I should upload the 2018 winter storm names.

It's always fun to watch.
 Quoting: Zer0Phi


2018winterstormn
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Zer0Phi  (OP)
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12/07/2018 11:15 AM

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Re: New data from the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) shows cosmic winter is here.
I'm excited about winter storm Taylor.

rex
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