The main reason for my 6 to 10 year time frame has to do with two cycles (of many converging at this time) that have a High Risk time frame.
These are 1. the last 3years of solar cycle 24, and the first 3years of solar cycle 25.
As you can see solar cycle 24 has been very weak, If solar cycle 25 Kicks into gear in the first 36 months, like the past ones have, then that is when the large X-class flares could be bad.
and 2. the predicted date when we will reach the 40 degree point of the Magnetic pole shift, which is now 9 years or less away.
So I'm sticking to 6 to 10 years, just a guess on my part. take it for what you will.
Looking at NOAA's Apr 2018 report, we can see that the cycle is varying by 12 to 18 months. Solar cycle 25 was predicted to start in Jan. 2019 following the 11 year solar cycle, But it hasn't begun with very few if any solar spot or flares. If we are 12 to 18 months behind
the start of solar cycle 25, and it peaks 36 to 40 months after the start. then that would put the peak in 52 to 58 months, from now Feb 2019, that would put the peak in June of 2024 thru Dec. 2024.
With the magnetic poles accelerating we could have a magnetic pole shift at that time.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)
Because my other link didn't load I found this one from Jan. 2019 it shows that solar cycle 23 bottomed out in Jan. 2010, this puts the start of solar cycle 25 in Jan 2021 or 12 to 18 months later
and the peak 36 to 40 months after.
Will solar minimum be longer than usual or might solar cycle 25 begin earlier?......
….The previous solar cycle prediction panel’s forecast for solar cycle 24 called for a maximum average sunspot number of 90 to occur in May, 2013. After looking at the actual sunspot numbers and solar activity, it was determined the solar cycle 24 maximum was reached in April, 2014 and peaked at an average sunspot number of 82.....
[less than 50%]