My long term cycles work has a range for the MAIN part of the next major war OR POLITICAL CHANGE, to start, versus a specific date, it is in the 2022-2024 range.

My shorter term indicators are now centering on mid 2022 fwiw. (though China is actually aiming to be ready for war by 2025 at the earliest, 2030 is imo their real target, and 2022 is BEFORE they will have all of their pieces in place)

There seems to always be a smaller foreshock War, or a couple, before the "Main Event" gets going and we are now in the window for that/those to begin.

I do show the potential for major survival issues wrt Israel beginning in the spring of 2020 time range (+- several months obviously) and for India/Pakistan for later this year (mid to late summer - again +- several months).

My Cycles work actually deals with Political Change and Massive Political Change does NOT always result in a War!!

As an example my workup long ago showed the Soviet Union to start to have massive problems in the fall of 1989 ... and volia it did ... but those changes, which caused the collapse of first it's satellite empire AND then the dissolution of the Soviet Union itself, did NOT involve a War, though it did involve MAJOR POLITICAL CHANGES.

The projection of August 2020 easily falls into my own cycles work as to when the foreshock Wars /Political Changes could start to occur, and specifically falls very close to my work's time analysis that deals specifically with Israel.

HOPEFULLY any changes that occur, if any happen at all, occur Peacefully much like what happened with the collapse of the satellite countries to the west of the USSR and then with the collapse of the USSR itself.

Even better would be if my Cycles work would totally fail.