Cyclone Idai cat 3 made landfall in Mozambique.Thousands of deaths feared.Zimbabwe will open its dams.Red alert

Idai now is finishing its ERC, and a larger, better defined eye began to appear in satellite imagery [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]

---- Current Analysis -----
Date : 13 MAR 2019 Time : 124500 UTC
Lat : 19:28:11 S Lon : 39:03:36 E

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.7 / 957.2mb/107.2kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.7 6.1 6.1

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 31 km

Center Temp : -2.8C Cloud Region Temp : -70.5C

Loot early, Loot often! :money:

Cyclone Idai is exploding right now , large convective bursts seen on radar

Cyclone #Idai has completed its eyewall replacement. Heading straight for the city of Beira. Expect catastrophic damage from wind and tidal surge. Hope Mozambique is conducting a massive evacuation [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]

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Thread: Uh oh .Estimated surge near Beira Mozambique 7-8 m.Most of the city will be wiped out by cyclone surge

Close up of the new large eye of Idai. Notice the intense convection on the left side of the eyewall, a sign that intensification is beginning. #cyclone #idai [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]

Floods kills at least 66 in Mozambique ahead of tropical cyclone

Maputo — At least 66 people have been killed and 141,000 affected after heavy rains deluged central and northern Mozambique, the government says as it appeals for funds to manage the crisis.

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Cyclone #Idai looking powerful as it moves toward the Mozambique coast in east Africa. Eye has cleared out and warmed substantially today.

Automated technique estimates satellite IR eye temperature warmed from -2C to +17C (12-18Z). Indication of better organization.
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Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21 - 22:00 PM RET March 13 2019
CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE IDAI (11-20182019)
=========================================================
East of Mozambique

At 18:00 PM UTC, Intense Tropical Cyclone Idai (945 hPa) located at 19.6S 38.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 5 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
===================
45 nm radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
====================
60 nm radius from the center

Gale Force Winds
===================
95 nm radius from the center, extending up to 100 nm in the southern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
======================
120 nm radius from the center, extending up to 140 nm in the southern semi-circle

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0/6.0/D1.0/12 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 19.8S 37.0E - 105 knots (Cyclone Tropical Intense)
24 HRS: 19.8S 35.3E - 95 knots (Cyclone Tropical Intense)
48 HRS: 18.2S 32.2E - 25 knots (Depression sur Terre)

Additional Information
=========================
As the eyewall replacement cycle is now over, Idai has developed a well defined large eye this evening (eye diameter larger than 45 nm in enhanced infrared imagery). Due to the large eye constraint in the dvorak method (no positive e-number adjustment), strong discrepancies appear on the raw Dvorak T-number, pending on applying or not the large eye constraint (DT at 5.5 or 6.5). Therefore, the final t-number is set at 6.0 and is based on pt-number. The final intensity at 100 knots come also in good agreement between the ADT at 95 knots (10-min winds) and the latest SATCON at 105 knots (10-min winds).

Idai's track is still on a general westwards track under the influence of a subtropical ridge located to the south-west of the system. This general trend should continue until landfall with some possible slight acceleration of the forward motion. The confidence in the track forecast is very good, with low dispersion. On this track, Idai should very probably landfall during the evening or the night from Thursday to Friday in a 100km area around Beira.

On infrared imagery, Idai tends to look like an annular cyclone which mean that the system should be rather steady in strength until landfall.

Idai is an extremely dangerous tropical cyclone and should remain so at landfall. The inhabitants of the threatened area are urged to follow official recommendations and monitor the information issued by the Mozambican National Weather Service.

There is still enough uncertainty on the final track to talk about a precise storm surge value at Beira. Having said that, an extremely dangerous storm surge, exceeding 3-4 meters is very likely south of the landfall point and potentially more in the Pungwe river mouth if the maximum of storm surge hit that place. If the current track is confirmed, this could be a worst case scenario for Beira.

Wow.Do you have link to this information? Shocked to see there so little interest in this storm in media.I bet they will be interested after storm kills thousands.

It's Cat 4 (115 knots)