Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/18/2019 04:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! imagery for the past several hours. Radar and recent microwave imagery depict a very compact inner convective core [RMW - 10 nautical miles or less]." Whoa. Some significant likelihood of major intensification before landfall in Cape York. Thankfully, the area is sparsely populated and >64kt wind field is small, but there are still people who will have to endure this storm, unfortunately. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77478755 Poland 03/18/2019 04:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! #CycloneTrevor Advisory Number 7 Max Winds: 105mph Strength: C2 MSLP: 967mb Trevor has intensified into a Category 4 tropical cyclone equivalent to a Category 2 hurricane on the BOM scale. Landfall expected this evening... [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/18/2019 06:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! And this shows a CAT 5 [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/18/2019 06:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! And this shows a CAT 5 [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/18/2019 06:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/18/2019 06:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/18/2019 06:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/18/2019 07:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! JTWC have Trevor at 115kts prior to landfall, which is still enough for Cat 5 on the Australian/Fiji scale (107kts+) [link to a.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/19/2019 05:35 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane Tropical Cyclone Advice #17 - 4:55 PM EST March 19 2019 SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE TREVOR, CATEGORY THREE (20U) ============================================================= At 4:00 PM EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Trevor, Category Three (967 hPa) located at 13.0S 143.6E or 40 kilometers southeast of Lockhart River and 190 kilometers east southeast of Weipa has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 5 knots. Hurricane Force Winds ======================= 15 nm from the center Storm Force Winds =================== 25 nm from the center in northeastern quadrant 30 nm from the center in southeastern quadrant 20 nm from the center in southwestern quadrant 20 nm from the center in northwestern quadrant Gale Force Winds =================== 50 nm from the center in northeastern quadrant 60 nm from the center in southeastern quadrant 40 nm from the center in southwestern quadrant 30 nm from the center in northwestern quadrant Severe Tropical Cyclone Trevor is currently crossing the coast just south of Lockhart River as a strong category 3 system. The cyclone will weaken as it crosses the northern Peninsula tonight and Wednesday, but is expected to remain a category 1 cyclone until it enters the Gulf of Carpentaria later on Wednesday. It is expected to re-intensify rapidly once it enters the Gulf of Carpentaria and track towards the Northern Territory. The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of the cyclone, with extreme gusts up to 220 km/h (110 knots), is making landfall to the south of Lockhart River. DESTRUCTIVE WINDS, with gusts in excess of 125 km/h (70 knots) are expected between Cape Grenville and Coen. These DESTRUCTIVE WINDS will move some way inland with the cyclone tonight. GALES, with gusts in excess of 90 km/h (50 knots), are expected in coastal areas between Orford Ness and Cape Melville during the rest of today and tonight. These GALES are expected to extend inland over the Peninsula overnight and on Wednesday as the cyclone moves inland to include areas between Cape York and Pormpuraaw during Wednesday. A STORM TIDE is expected between Lockhart River and Cape Melville, including Princess Charlotte Bay. During Wednesday, a STORM TIDE is also expected between Cape Keerweer and Mapoon on the western Peninsula Coast. LARGE WAVES may produce minor flooding along the foreshore. People living in these areas are likely to be affected by flooding and should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to help their neighbors. ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are also expected around the Wednesday morning high tide for the far northeast Queensland coast, north of Port Douglas. HEAVY RAINFALL, which may lead to flash flooding, is forecast across far north Queensland for the remainder of today, tonight and continuing over the next few days. A Flood Warning is current for the Daintree and Mossman rivers as well as a broader Flood Watch for catchments north of Innisfail to Kowanyama. Dvorak Intensity: T5.0/5.0/D1.5/24 HRS Forecast and Intensity ========================== 12 HRS 13.1S 142.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1) 24 HRS 13.1S 141.7E - 40 knots (CAT 1) 48 HRS 13.1S 140.4E - 75 knots (CAT 3) 72 HRS 13.9S 138.4E - 90 knots (CAT 4) Additional Information ======================== Severe tropical cyclone Trevor is making landfall on the far north Queensland's coast near Lockhart River. The circulation developed rapidly in the last 36 hours, then temporarily weakened earlier today when the eye filled in, but in the few hours prior to landfall it has experienced a burst in deep convection indicating renewed intensification. Intensity of 85 kn based on Dvorak analysis: FT/CI=5.0 based on time averaged embedded center and eye pattern though some fluctuations in DT numbers in the past six hours. ADT estimates have risen sharply to CI=5.3, and hence SATCON has responded with intensity at 90kn [corrected to 10 min. mean]. TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES/WARNINGS ==================================== A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is in force from Orford Ness to Cape Melville, including Lockhart River and Coen, and Pormpuraaw to Cape York, including Weipa and Aurukun in Queensland |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/19/2019 05:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! @severeweatherEU Seguir Seguir @severeweatherEU Mais *Tropical* CAT3 Tropical Cyclone Trevor is tracking towards an imminent landfall south of Lockhart River, Queensland. It packs winds gusting up to 205 km/h and is expected to dump as much as 400 mm rainfall over the Cape York Peninsula. Images: NASA WorldView [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Assyrian King User ID: 76696984 Australia 03/19/2019 06:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/19/2019 06:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/19/2019 07:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! @wxcharts 6 minHá 6 minutos Mais ECMWF and GEFS cyclone tracks for #Veronica are rather alarming. Still a bit of time to go but landfall of two major cyclones (potentially within 24 hours of each other) is actually a possibility. [link to twitter.com (secure)] [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/19/2019 07:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! Met Office Storms @metofficestorms Tropical Cyclone #Trevor has made landfall over a sparsely populated area of the Cape York peninsula of #Queensland, #Australia. The cyclone is expected to cross the peninsula and restrengthen in the Gulf of Carpentaria. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77444778 Australia 03/19/2019 07:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! Tropical low over SE #PapuaNewGuinea will enter the Coral Sea on Sunday and can strengthen to a cyclone early next week. Models coming into better agreement on system impacting northern #Queensland, #Australia later next week Quoting: Kek the Winged Hussar [link to twitter.com (secure)] [link to tropicaltidbits.com (secure)] 912 hpa ! The models said the last cyclone would hit south east Queensland, Brisbane area, never even came close. I doubt this one will hit either and if it does that area is sparsely populated anyway. At least 20 people live in that whole area!! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/19/2019 07:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! Jason Nicholls ✔ @jnmet Tropical low 19U off NW #Australia will become TC #Veronica by Thursday and may impact the #Pilabara coast of Western Australia as a severe TC this weekend. Veronica could cause problems for natural gas and oil production along the Pilbara coast. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77477269 Portugal 03/19/2019 01:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20P (TREVOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN AS TC 20P TRACKS OVER LAND. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON THE RADAR LOOP FROM WEIPA, AUSTRALIA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED ON A WEAKENING TREND OVER LAND. TC 20P IS EXPERIENCING FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5 TO 10 KNOTS) AND HAS EXCELLENT EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. TC 20P IS TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARD WHILE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST. TC 20P WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH TAU 24 AS IT TRACKS OVER LAND. TC 20P WILLEMERGE INTO THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA SHORTLY AFTER TAU 24. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES CELSIUS AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL ALLOW TC 20P TO QUICKLY RE-INTENSIFY IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77355774 Portugal 03/21/2019 09:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! And the Himawari loop on both; Australia is getting another shot of rain from another feature on the SW coast as well: [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77355774 Portugal 03/21/2019 09:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77355774 Portugal 03/21/2019 10:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Aussies attention.Very powerful cyclone may hit your country next week! Models show 912 hpa storm! |