Severe Weather: Tornado watch for Denver NOW!!!p152

Thank you Luis and all keeping this updated

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Brown County in south central Minnesota...

* Until 700 PM CDT.

[link to forecast.weather.gov (secure)]

[link to radar.weather.gov (secure)]


radar

@B_Carp01

That is a NASTY bowing segment coming through Iowa and western Illinois early tomorrow afternoon. Expect this to be severe with damaging winds, large hail, and heavy downpours. Additional storms follow, too, with an isolated #tornado threat.

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I'm not in the affected area from these storms (in fact tornadoes are pretty rare here) but just wanted to say thanks from all of us Luis. Important info you're giving out

At Least One Person Dead as Strong Winds Pummel Carolinas

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scroll down look at video and tree story

Thank's!

National Weather Service Melbourne FL
422 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...

...Low Rain Chances will Produce Hot Temperatures Through the
Weekend...

Today...Mid level ridge will build over the Bahamas and Straits
of FL while the low level ridge remains to our south. This will
produce deep layer westerly flow across EC FL resulting in a
delayed/negated sea breeze and hot temperatures even at the
coast. The sea breeze will develop first along the Martin coast
early this afternoon and eventually reach the Brevard coast late
in the day. But the sea breeze will remain pinned to the coastal
counties due to the opposing west flow. Widespread max temps in
the mid 90s expected across the area (interior and coast), except
lower 90s Martin coast where the sea breeze should form first
closer to the ridge axis. With dewpoints in the lower to mid 70s,
expect peak heat indices near 105.

GOES-16 derived precipitable water product shows a band of higher
moisture across north FL. This is assocd with moisture convergence
typically found on the north side of ridge axes. There is also
some weak vorticity left behind after a shortwave trough passed by
to the north. This band of moisture should produce scattered
showers/storms just north of our area by mid day. Steering flow
has veered slightly from yesterday and is now W/NW which should
bring at least isolated convection into our northern sections this
afternoon. So have maintained 30 PoP for Volusia county and 20
PoP as far south as Orlando/Cape. No rain/storms expected south of
Orlando. Dry air aloft will promote gusty winds in any convection.

Tonight...Diurnal convection should end quickly with loss of
daytime heating so will not advertise any rain chances after 8 pm.
Evening temps slowly falling back through 80s.

Weekend...By early Saturday, deep ridging settles near the FL
peninsula, continuing westerly flow across the area. With higher
moisture pulling across the Atlantic waters, drier air sinks in on
Saturday, leading to only a slight chance for shower and
thunderstorm development for areas north of the Cape. W/NW flow will
once again limit the east coast sea breeze, pinning it to the
northern coast with only a slight penetration inland for southern
zones.

Sunday appears to be the wetter of the two weekend days, with chc
PoPs returning as passing shortwaves to the north work to weaken the
ridge. Again, the west sea breeze will dominate in the afternoon,
leading to shower/storm development mainly west of Orlando, but
still only a 30-40% coverage along the coast.

The combination of westerly flow, a drier airmass and limited precip
will lead to an excessive heat concern this weekend. Afternoon highs
climb to the low/mid 90s (highest values at coastal locations), as
little influence from the sea breeze or rain-cooled air sends heat
index readings toward 105F. Highs will approach record values, with
Sunday appearing as the most likely opportunity as previous records
for MLB/VRB/FPR are only in the mid 90s. Nighttime will provide heat
relief, with near normal lows expected in the mid 70s.

Next Week...Ridge over the GOMEX will continue the weakening trend
early next week as a mid/upper low pushes south across the coastal
Carolinas. Slightly higher moisture returns to FL, leading to
steadily increasing rain chances each day through the end of the
week. Westerly sfc winds become variable through the period,
allowing for sea breeze development to become the driving force of
afternoon convection. Highs return to just a couple degrees above
normal in the low 90s with lows persisting in the mid 70s.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Buchanan and Platte County in MO until 9:30am CDT. #mowx


Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Atchison and Doniphan County in KS until 9:30am CDT. #kswx


Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Chariton, Howard, Randolph and Saline County in MO until 9:45am CDT. #mowx