Severe Weather: Tornado watch for Denver NOW!!!p152 | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 04:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | @severestudios Seguir Seguir @severestudios Mais A very rare HIGH RISK of severe weather today. Tornado outbreak expected. [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 04:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sam Lillo @splillo 00z soundings give insight to why tomorrow is a big deal. 80F dew point at Corpus Christi, 4285J/kg MLCAPE at Brownsville (h/t @JakeMulholland1), 72kt 500mb wind at Albuquerque. These values are among records in their own right, and will be converging tomorrow in N TX and OK. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77621519 Switzerland 05/20/2019 04:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 04:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Posting the full SPC discussion because it's probably the most strongly worded text you'll ever read from them. If HRRR trends are correct, the high risk will need to be expanded to include the OKC metro.We may need a 45% tornado contour later today too. ...SUMMARY... An outbreak of strong tornadoes and severe thunderstorms is expected today across parts of the southern and central Plains. In addition, many of the storms will have very large hail and wind damage. The severe threat will be concentrated from west Texas and the Texas Panhandle eastward across Oklahoma, Kansas into western Missouri and western Arkansas. Additional severe storms with wind damage and hail will be possible this afternoon from southeast New York into southern and central New England. ...Tornado Outbreak Expected Across the Southern Plains Today Into Tonight... ...Southern and Central Plains... An impressive and potent upper-level trough will move quickly eastward across the Desert Southwest today as a powerful 75 to 90 knot mid-level jet rounds the base of the trough. Ahead of the system, a corridor of strong instability is forecast across the Southern Plains from west Texas into the eastern Texas Panhandle and eastward into western and central Oklahoma. This combined with steep mid-level lapse rates and strong low-level shear will be very favorable for severe storms. As the mid-level jet ejects northeastward across the southern High Plains this afternoon and evening, a tornado outbreak is likely across the southern Plains. The tornado outbreak is expected to continue into the overnight period. This event should result in a significant threat to life and property. RAP forecast soundings late this afternoon along the instability corridor from Childress, Texas northeastward to Clinton, Oklahoma show MLCAPE values of 3000 to 4500 J/kg with 0-6 km shear in the 50 to 65 kt range. In addition, hodographs are large and looped with 0-1 km shear values in the 30 to 40 kt range. This environment should be very favorable for supercells and tornadoes. 0-3 km storm-relative helicities are forecast to steadily increase from about 300 m2/s2 in the late afternoon to about 450 m2/s2 by early evening as an anomalously strong low-level jet becomes better focused. This will be ideal for a tornado outbreak with strong tornadoes upstream and to the west of the low-level jet. The current thinking concerning the details is that the first round of severe storms will begin early as thunderstorms initiate in west Texas and move northeastward into the eastern Texas Panhandle by mid to late morning. Initially, large hail will be the main threat but as these storms mature, tornadoes will be possible with the stronger and more dominant cells. Additional supercells with tornado potential are expected to initiate near the warm front in western and central Oklahoma. A tornado threat will transition to large hail and wind damage as the storms move into Kansas to the north side of the boundary. This first round of severe storms is forecast to move northeastward, away from the warm sector, allowing for the development of extreme instability during the mid to late afternoon from northwest Texas into southwest Oklahoma. The second round of severe storms is expected to start during the late afternoon as repeat initiation takes place in west Texas. Rapid supercell formation is forecast along the I-27 corridor from the vicinity of Lubbock northward to just south of Amarillo. A cluster of tornadic supercells is then forecast to move northeastward into northwest Texas and the southeastern Texas Panhandle during the early evening. Additional tornadic supercells are forecast to rapidly develop in southwest Oklahoma and move northeastward into west-central Oklahoma. At that time, the strengthening low-level jet will couple with a highly progressive and seasonably strong mid-level jet, making conditions favorable for long-track strong tornadoes and possibly violent tornadoes. The greatest threat for long-track tornadoes will exist along the corridor from near Lubbock northeastward to Childress, Altus, Lawton, Clinton to just west of the Oklahoma City and Enid vicinities. After considerable deliberation, a High risk will be issued for parts of west Texas, the southeastern Texas Panhandle into western Oklahoma. In addition to the tornado threat, conditions will be very favorable for large hail and wind damage. Strong instability, enhanced deep-layer shear and steep mid-level lapse rates will make hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter possible with the more intense supercells, mainly in west Texas and the western half of Oklahoma. A wind-damage threat will also exist across much of the southern Plains due to the expected intense nature of the storms. The wind-damage threat, including some gusts above 70 kt, should become widespread during the late evening into the overnight period as squall line organizes and moves quickly eastward across the southern Plains. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77621519 Switzerland 05/20/2019 04:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77621519 Switzerland 05/20/2019 05:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Cape of 6000 in between Lubbock and SW and Central Oklahoma [link to www.ventusky.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 05:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
miabelieves User ID: 69792723 United States 05/20/2019 06:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 06:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | High Impact SEVERE EVENT today & tonight coupled with HIGH RISK for FLOOD. Not surprised w/SPC HIGH RISK today. Probabilities below for Tornadoes, Damaging Winds &Big Hail all high! Flying into OKC yesterday fields looked excessively wet from the air. 4th map is WPC flood risk [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 07:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 07:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 07:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | @JimCantore 2 minHá 2 minutos Mais Jim Cantore retweetou Univ. of Oklahoma Many schools/education centers in OKC metro closed today for the SEVERE Risk on this anniversary of the horrible 2013 Moore, OK EF-5.J Univ. of Oklahoma @UofOklahoma OU Alert: 7:40 PM Due to the threat of severe weather, the OU Norman campus will be closed on Monday, May 20. For more information, visit [link to ou.edu] . |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 07:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Next few days pose significant danger of severe weather in middle of U.S., especially Monday. Plan now for where to spend day, to be close to strong shelter - Not a mobile home, a vehicle, or under an overpass. Avoid large rooms and gyms. Choose shelter out of flood-prone areas. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 3440479 Switzerland 05/20/2019 07:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Horrendous dream about Wichita Falls [link to godlike.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 07:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 07:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
tcs User ID: 77421124 Canada 05/20/2019 07:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Heads-up! [link to www.youtube.com (secure)] " Thus saith the Lord; Cursed be the man that trusteth in man, and maketh flesh his arm, and whose heart departeth from the Lord." ~ Jer. 17:5 "From that time Jesus began to preach, and to say, Repent: for the kingdom of heaven is at hand" |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77635199 United States 05/20/2019 07:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 07:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | already this morning... [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Snuffielover User ID: 71482365 Russia 05/20/2019 07:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good day everyone, going to watch this one closely. Hopefully in good company with you folks If any foreign minister begins to defend to the death a "peace conference," you can be sure his government has already placed its orders for new battleships and aeroplanes. |
ThreeLittleLambs Curious.... User ID: 72036260 United States 05/20/2019 07:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 07:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
CountryWise User ID: 77173362 United States 05/20/2019 08:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | They closed all our schools last night. I live in OKC/Yukon area and last night I had people checking on me in 3 states and not 1 cloud in the sky. Today is the 5 yr anniversary of the F5 Moore tornado that killed school kids. Still have not seen 1 rain drop for almost 48 hrs. I feel like the weather channel has played this up and gave my mother in law in California anxiety at 8pm last night. Will write later with real news. |
ThreeLittleLambs Curious.... User ID: 72036260 United States 05/20/2019 08:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | They closed all our schools last night. I live in OKC/Yukon area and last night I had people checking on me in 3 states and not 1 cloud in the sky. Today is the 5 yr anniversary of the F5 Moore tornado that killed school kids. Quoting: CountryWise Still have not seen 1 rain drop for almost 48 hrs. I feel like the weather channel has played this up and gave my mother in law in California anxiety at 8pm last night. Will write later with real news. Stay safe |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 08:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0212 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2019 ...Outbreak of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the southern Plains this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Northwest Texas Western and central Oklahoma * HAZARDS... Numerous tornadoes, several intense and long track Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Widespread large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... An outbreak of tornadoes, some potentially long-track and violent, is expected today into this evening over portions of northwest Texas into western and central Oklahoma. More-isolated but still potentially dangerous severe weather, including tornadoes, is possible in surrounding parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas. |
CountryWise User ID: 77173362 United States 05/20/2019 08:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | They closed all our schools last night. I live in OKC/Yukon area and last night I had people checking on me in 3 states and not 1 cloud in the sky. Today is the 5 yr anniversary of the F5 Moore tornado that killed school kids. Quoting: CountryWise Still have not seen 1 rain drop for almost 48 hrs. I feel like the weather channel has played this up and gave my mother in law in California anxiety at 8pm last night. Will write later with real news. Stay safe Thank you ThreeLittleLambs! When I said real news, I didnt mean in any way to say this wasnt real news or that the OP shared fake news, I only meant fake as in the weather channel giving people anxiety for me 4 or 5 states over. |
Snuffielover User ID: 71482365 Russia 05/20/2019 08:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | They closed all our schools last night. I live in OKC/Yukon area and last night I had people checking on me in 3 states and not 1 cloud in the sky. Today is the 5 yr anniversary of the F5 Moore tornado that killed school kids. Quoting: CountryWise Still have not seen 1 rain drop for almost 48 hrs. I feel like the weather channel has played this up and gave my mother in law in California anxiety at 8pm last night. Will write later with real news. You ought to get out of harm's way while you still can. Getting caught in an outbreak without a shelter when the place is flooding up would be very sad. If any foreign minister begins to defend to the death a "peace conference," you can be sure his government has already placed its orders for new battleships and aeroplanes. |
abeliever Members User ID: 77427875 France 05/20/2019 08:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77661141 Portugal 05/20/2019 08:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Precipitation [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
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