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Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

 
Anonymous Coward
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06/04/2019 09:53 AM
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Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
[link to fred.stlouisfed.org (secure)]

*10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity (T10Y3M)

Every time the difference between the 3 month and 10 year treasuries goes negative a recession ensues. A strong sign that the US economy could be going into recession.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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06/04/2019 09:53 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Pin for the people.
bump
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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06/04/2019 09:56 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Fed Rates probably going negative eventually. Only way to continue to prop things up. Watch out for the coming Deutsche Bank debacle.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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06/04/2019 09:57 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Negative Interest rates would help save the Banks.
SyncAsFunk

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06/04/2019 10:02 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Fed Rates probably going negative eventually. Only way to continue to prop things up. Watch out for the coming Deutsche Bank debacle.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


NIRP isn't going to save this ponzi math shitshow.

The entire western economic debt to infinity paradigm is about to shift into terminal phase.

:)
Some Will. Some won't. So.......
Relativity

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06/04/2019 10:05 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Fed Rates probably going negative eventually. Only way to continue to prop things up. Watch out for the coming Deutsche Bank debacle.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


NIRP isn't going to save this ponzi math shitshow.

The entire western economic debt to infinity paradigm is about to shift into terminal phase.

:)
 Quoting: SyncAsFunk


hesright
“In finding balance between lies and trust
there will never be a better source
than to speak your truth
or make your peace some other way.”
~Sully Erna

Many that live deserve death. And some that die deserve life. Can you give it to them? Then do not be too eager to deal out death in judgment. For even the very wise cannot see all ends.
-Gandalph

"A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool." - William Shakespeare
Elegant Walnut

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06/04/2019 10:08 AM

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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Related threads say this happened last year too.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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06/04/2019 10:08 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
LONG Gold/Silver stamped coins.
Buzzcheeze

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06/04/2019 10:13 AM

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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Getting a little warm out
time to put on my shorts.
"TRUMP WON"
"I love deadlines. I like the whooshing sound they make as they fly by"
'My ego is smaller than yours
Why is abbreviation such a long word
“When seconds MATTER, cops are only minutes away
"Cut out a man's tongue and you dont prove him a liar. It just proves you fear what he has to say"
Anonymous Coward
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06/04/2019 10:14 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Trump's trade war turned the $1 stores into $5 stores


This recession will be a depression because of Trump
Anonymous Coward
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06/04/2019 10:26 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Trump's trade war turned the $1 stores into $5 stores


This recession will be a depression because of Trump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1747811


If anything all the dollar store excess junk shoppers and the people living off of the corn syrup can look into the mirror.
Anonymous Coward
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06/04/2019 10:29 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Trump's trade war turned the $1 stores into $5 stores


This recession will be a depression because of Trump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1747811


No idiot,it's because we went off the gold standard and the fed/central banks have been manipulating this shit show ever since and they are out of tricks.
.
.

NWO is the next step
Jake

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06/04/2019 10:30 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
fed better lower those interest rates
Evil controls the ignorant... Climate change is a hoax so is the vax you have been fear-porned into compliance!

Definition Satan from the bible: Satan (Rev 12:7) exercising his subtle (indirect) impact on heathen governments (powers) – i.e. accomplishing his hellish agenda from "behind the scenes."
Jake

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06/04/2019 10:31 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Trump's trade war turned the $1 stores into $5 stores


This recession will be a depression because of Trump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1747811


no moron, they are bringing in higher quality goods

and have been advertising that for over a year

also bringing in Alcohol
Evil controls the ignorant... Climate change is a hoax so is the vax you have been fear-porned into compliance!

Definition Satan from the bible: Satan (Rev 12:7) exercising his subtle (indirect) impact on heathen governments (powers) – i.e. accomplishing his hellish agenda from "behind the scenes."
Anonymous Coward
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06/04/2019 10:31 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
2024 You can start you economic doom!

Nothing to see here!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77099820
United States
06/04/2019 10:33 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Silver $14.76 oz

We Ride!! seal
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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Canada
06/04/2019 10:35 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
2024 You can start you economic doom!

Nothing to see here!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75282507


2026 is the official end of empire year. 250 years since Independence.
mr. jingles

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06/04/2019 10:40 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
They will cut rates to feed the herion addicted market till theres nothing left, because thats all they have left to do.

They can pull all the stops they want, we are on the titanic and that iceberg is dead ahead
mr. jingles
MissCleo

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06/04/2019 10:40 AM

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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Fed Rates probably going negative eventually. Only way to continue to prop things up. Watch out for the coming Deutsche Bank debacle.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


Fed Rates aren't the rescue tool anymore.

Will gold and silver dealers pay out if it sky rockets?
Anonymous Coward
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United States
06/04/2019 10:41 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Silver $14.76 oz

We Ride!! seal
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77099820


Oh Dear.. I guess it's value is going to nothing at the same time the value of a dollar does..
Anonymous Coward
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06/04/2019 10:43 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Silver $14.76 oz

We Ride!! seal
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77099820


Saddle sores ouch
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 77643082
Canada
06/04/2019 10:44 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
They will cut rates to feed the herion addicted market till theres nothing left, because thats all they have left to do.

They can pull all the stops they want, we are on the titanic and that iceberg is dead ahead
 Quoting: mr. jingles


We already hit the ice berg on September 29, 2008. We're sinking.
Anonymous Coward
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06/04/2019 11:08 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Related threads say this happened last year too.
 Quoting: Elegant Walnut


It's been inverted for a long time now ......
One of those subjects that gets no press ,,,,
Anonymous Coward
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06/04/2019 11:14 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Fed Rates probably going negative eventually. Only way to continue to prop things up. Watch out for the coming Deutsche Bank debacle.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


NIRP isn't going to save this ponzi math shitshow.

The entire western economic debt to infinity paradigm is about to shift into terminal phase.

:)
 Quoting: SyncAsFunk


Its not only western. The entire world is going in with China leading. China has the first 4 largest banks.
AC
User ID: 30148669
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06/04/2019 11:15 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Negative Interest rates would help save the Banks.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


The first bank that pulls that **** on me and my money, I will pull every dime from the system and stick it in a mattress! I will not 'pay' the bank for 'holding' my money. I cannot believe the public would tolerate this - long rope and lamp posts!
Anonymous Coward
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Norway
06/04/2019 11:18 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
"This time it's different". Central banks have distorted every index and every economic signal there is on planet Earth. I bet this time an "inverted yieldcurve" will also end up meaning nothing. The only thing left for central banks to handle and manipulate, will be inflation and stagflation. How will they handle inflation in an environment where the interest cannot possible go higher than 3,2%?
MissCleo

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06/04/2019 11:23 AM

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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
"This time it's different". Central banks have distorted every index and every economic signal there is on planet Earth. I bet this time an "inverted yieldcurve" will also end up meaning nothing. The only thing left for central banks to handle and manipulate, will be inflation and stagflation. How will they handle inflation in an environment where the interest cannot possible go higher than 3,2%?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77700080


This.

Add the War factor into that equasion.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
06/04/2019 11:28 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Fed Rates probably going negative eventually. Only way to continue to prop things up. Watch out for the coming Deutsche Bank debacle.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


NIRP isn't going to save this ponzi math shitshow.

The entire western economic debt to infinity paradigm is about to shift into terminal phase.

:)
 Quoting: SyncAsFunk


Let's get it on so the future generations can tell the boomers to pay their own debts.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
06/04/2019 11:30 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
[link to fred.stlouisfed.org (secure)]

*10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity (T10Y3M)

Every time the difference between the 3 month and 10 year treasuries goes negative a recession ensues. A strong sign that the US economy could be going into recession.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


Every time?

Negative Interest rates would help save the Banks.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


Real interest rates have been negative for some time now.

Monetary debasement has been running 5-6% per annum, but rates are a third of that. Essentially, negative in real terms.
SyncAsFunk

User ID: 74052357
United States
06/04/2019 11:33 AM
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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Fed Rates probably going negative eventually. Only way to continue to prop things up. Watch out for the coming Deutsche Bank debacle.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77643082


NIRP isn't going to save this ponzi math shitshow.

The entire western economic debt to infinity paradigm is about to shift into terminal phase.

:)
 Quoting: SyncAsFunk


Let's get it on so the future generations can tell the boomers to pay their own debts.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77102074


lol

That's been my point for over a decade now.

Starve the Fucking Beast already so we can move the fuck on.

Let the Dead bury their dead.
Some Will. Some won't. So.......
hankie
Everything

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06/04/2019 11:34 AM

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Re: Bond Yields are Inverted!!!! Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
For your information, just encase you never read the world economic reports in full, we were in a depression all since the end of Bush presidency and all through Obama's presidency. Why do you think the states were hurting and jobs were that could be found, it not taken by imported workers, were part time and those were being taken by people working more than one other the 26 hr jobs a week. This made it almost impossible for others to find one. The people working did not walk off, there were many waiting and hope someone would drop dead, it for real, just saying when someone needs some or someone is standing in the way of another person.

This is problem some groups in the USA seem to be blind too. They lazy, they could work if they wanted to, sure they could if you dropped dead, they would have moved up in that long line that were putting their name in the pot for it.
Sorry I got a headache

These are the times that tries men's and
women's souls!

May we come though it victorious!





GLP