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TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

 
FeedYourHead

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07/11/2019 10:38 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
 Quoting: Luisport


Uh oh
 Quoting: Truth Seeker!


TS BARRY NOW!
 Quoting: Luisport


I assume you have noticed the models have been showing a more northerly and eastern path....of course, a worse case for New Orleans if it comes true.

Last Edited by FeedYourHead on 07/11/2019 10:39 AM
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Luisport  (OP)

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07/11/2019 10:42 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
 Quoting: Luisport


Uh oh
 Quoting: Truth Seeker!


TS BARRY NOW!
 Quoting: Luisport


I assume you have noticed the models have been showing a more northerly and eastern path....of course, a worse case for New Orleans if it comes true.
 Quoting: FeedYourHead


Yes it seems it will happen...
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mandatory EVAC ordered for Grand Isle, Jefferson Parish
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mandatory EVAC ordered for Grand Isle, Jefferson Parish
 Quoting: Luisport


birdpop
The Soul Ambassador - I wanna know about life, instead i know about nothing.
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mandatory EVAC ordered for Grand Isle, Jefferson Parish
 Quoting: Luisport


It's best they leave.
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07/11/2019 10:47 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mandatory EVAC ordered for Grand Isle, Jefferson Parish
 Quoting: Luisport


Good day, Luis.

Trying to determine if this storm will fizzle or rebuild.

We had a serious bought of wind blow through last night -- moving from the north to the south. Blew my patio furniture all over the yard, and chair cushions in the pool. cool2

Wonder if this was the system creating the wind shear?
Fate whispers to the warrior

"You cannot withstand the storm"

and the warrior whispers back

"I am the storm"

INTJ:
Independent, original, analytical, and determined. Have an exceptional ability to turn theories into solid plans of action. Highly value knowledge, competence, and structure. Driven to derive meaning from their visions. Long-range thinkers. Have very high standards for their performance, and the performance of others. Natural leaders, but will follow if they trust existing leaders.

Life is karma and karma always reflects both past and present circumstance. Our time here is short, so choose carefully and behave well, for all of your tomorrows are presently being decided.

"A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool."
-- William Shakespeare, born April 23, 1564.

Follow. But! Follow only if ye be men of valor! For the entrance to this cave is guarded by a creature so foul, so cruel, that no man yet has fought with it... and lived! BONES of full fifty men lie *strewn* about its lair! So! Brave knights! If you do doubt your courage or your strength, come no further, for death awaits you all with nasty, big, pointy teeth...

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07/11/2019 10:49 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
disorganized or not it occupies most of the gulf at this point



[link to surfchex.intelliweather.net]
Luisport  (OP)

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07/11/2019 10:49 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
convection is beginning to fire off on the north side now
Luisport  (OP)

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07/11/2019 10:51 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mandatory EVAC ordered for Grand Isle, Jefferson Parish
 Quoting: Luisport


Good day, Luis.

Trying to determine if this storm will fizzle or rebuild.

We had a serious bought of wind blow through last night -- moving from the north to the south. Blew my patio furniture all over the yard, and chair cushions in the pool. cool2

Wonder if this was the system creating the wind shear?
 Quoting: DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne Smith


Stay safe my friend! My hint is the system created it...
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07/11/2019 10:52 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Recon finding more SMFR TS winds

41.0 knots (~ 47.2 mph)
Tropical Storm

 Quoting: Luisport


Dang, I run to the store for a little while and look what you went and did Luis!!! Can't leave you alone for a minute!

rockon

That was quick.....
 Quoting: FeedYourHead


Haha tounge
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Two parishes in Louisiana are under mandatory evacuations and two others have voluntary evacuations as the state prepares for this tropical system.

Plaquemines and Jefferson Parish are under mandatory evacuations
Lafourche and Vermillion Parish have voluntary evacuations
Meanwhile, five Parishes made made emergency declarations. They are...

St. Bernard
Plaquemines
Jefferson
St. Charles
Terrebonne
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
10:00 AM CDT Thu Jul 11
Location: 27.8°N 88.7°W
Moving: W at 5 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Storm Barry Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019
1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2019

The low pressure area over the northern Gulf of Mexico has become
better organized during the past several hours, with a large
convective band in the southern semicircle. The circulation
center has also become better defined, although it is still
elongated and multiple cloud swirls are seen rotating around the
mean center. In addition, Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft report flight-level and SFMR winds high enough for
an initial intensity of 35 kt. Based on these developments, the
system is upgraded to Tropical Storm Barry.

The initial motion is a rather uncertain 270/4. Barry is being
steered by a weak low- to mid-level ridge to the north, and a
weakness in the ridge is forecast to develop during the next
24-48 h. This should allow the cyclone to turn northwestward and
eventually northward. However, there is a large spread in the track
guidance. The HWRF and HMON forecast Barry to move almost due
north from its current position with a landfall in Mississippi,
while the UKMET takes the cyclone to the upper Texas coast. The
GFS, ECMWF, and Canadian models lie between these extremes.
Overall, there has been a slight eastward shift of the guidance
envelope, so the new forecast track is also adjusted slightly to
the east. It should be noted, though, that the new track is west
of the consensus models.

Barry is being affected by northerly shear, and water vapor imagery
indicates mid- to upper-level dry air moving into the cyclone from
the northeast. Some moderate shear is now expected to persist until
the cyclone makes landfall. Despite this less than ideal
environment, the guidance forecasts slow but steady intensification,
so the NHC forecast follows this trend. The new intensity forecast
is similar to the previous one in calling for Barry to become a
hurricane just before landfall in Louisiana, and it lies between the
HCCA and ICON consensus models.

Key Messages:

1. Barry is expected to bring storm surge, rainfall, and wind
hazards to the central Gulf Coast during the next several days.

2. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
along the coast of southern and southeastern Louisiana where a Storm
Surge Warning has been issued. The highest storm surge inundation is
expected between the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River and Shell Beach.
Residents in these areas should listen to any advice given by local
officials.

3. A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
much of the Louisiana coast and additional watches and warnings
could be required later today. Residents in these areas should
ensure they have their hurricane plan in place.

4. The slow movement of this system will result in a long duration
heavy rainfall threat along the central Gulf Coast and inland
through the lower Mississippi Valley through the weekend and
potentially into early next week. Flash flooding and river flooding
will become increasingly likely, some of which may be significant,
especially along and east of the track of the system.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 11/1500Z 27.8N 88.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 12/0000Z 27.8N 89.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 12/1200Z 28.1N 90.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 13/0000Z 28.6N 90.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 13/1200Z 29.4N 91.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 14/1200Z 32.0N 91.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 15/1200Z 34.5N 91.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
120H 16/1200Z 37.0N 89.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Beven

NNNN
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

@hurrtrackerapp
1 minHá 1 minuto
Mais
A Storm Surge Warning is now in effect for the Louisiana coast from the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River to Shell Beach. #Barry


A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Louisiana coast from the Mouth of the Pearl River to Morgan City. #Barry


JUST IN: Tropical Storm #Barry forms over the Gulf of Mexico.
DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne SmithModerator
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07/11/2019 10:56 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mandatory EVAC ordered for Grand Isle, Jefferson Parish
 Quoting: Luisport


Good day, Luis.

Trying to determine if this storm will fizzle or rebuild.

We had a serious bought of wind blow through last night -- moving from the north to the south. Blew my patio furniture all over the yard, and chair cushions in the pool. cool2

Wonder if this was the system creating the wind shear?
 Quoting: DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne Smith


Stay safe my friend! My hint is the system created it...
 Quoting: Luisport


Quite possibly. Surprised me when it blew through in the wee morning hours. Terrified Dog-Dog, he hid under the covers, shaking.

DogOfDoom
Fate whispers to the warrior

"You cannot withstand the storm"

and the warrior whispers back

"I am the storm"

INTJ:
Independent, original, analytical, and determined. Have an exceptional ability to turn theories into solid plans of action. Highly value knowledge, competence, and structure. Driven to derive meaning from their visions. Long-range thinkers. Have very high standards for their performance, and the performance of others. Natural leaders, but will follow if they trust existing leaders.

Life is karma and karma always reflects both past and present circumstance. Our time here is short, so choose carefully and behave well, for all of your tomorrows are presently being decided.

"A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool."
-- William Shakespeare, born April 23, 1564.

Follow. But! Follow only if ye be men of valor! For the entrance to this cave is guarded by a creature so foul, so cruel, that no man yet has fought with it... and lived! BONES of full fifty men lie *strewn* about its lair! So! Brave knights! If you do doubt your courage or your strength, come no further, for death awaits you all with nasty, big, pointy teeth...

Killer Bunny
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

@hurrtrackerapp
1 minHá 1 minuto
Mais
A Storm Surge Watch is now in effect for the Mississippi coast from the Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mississippi/Alabama border. #Barry


A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for the Mississippi coast east of the Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mississippi/Alabama border...and for Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New Orleans. #Barry
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

Hurricane Tracker App
‏

@hurrtrackerapp
4 minHá 4 minutos
Mais
The updated cone brings #Barry into the Louisiana coast Saturday morning as a low-end Category 1 #hurricane, but impacts will begin as early as tonight as showers and storms move onshore.


Last Edited by Luisport on 07/11/2019 11:02 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

@hurrtrackerapp
1 minHá 1 minuto
Mais
A Storm Surge Warning is now in effect for the Louisiana coast from the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River to Shell Beach. #Barry


A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Louisiana coast from the Mouth of the Pearl River to Morgan City. #Barry


JUST IN: Tropical Storm #Barry forms over the Gulf of Mexico.

 Quoting: Luisport


Wow, things ramping up quickly now.
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Thanks for your vigilance and I saw Mayor actin like the Mayor in Jaws , go ahead have fun just watch hiding
Job 37:13 He causeth it to come, whether for correction, or for his land, or for mercy.
Truth Seeker!

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07/11/2019 11:09 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
No evacuations for NOLA yet wow...
I only seek the truth n nothing but the truth!

The truth will set you free, for a price!
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
This is all you need to know if you're shaking your head, wondering why Barry just can't get going, and probably never will:

Barry is being affected by northerly shear, and water vapor imagery
indicates mid- to upper-level dry air moving into the cyclone from
the northeast. Some moderate shear is now expected to persist until
the cyclone makes landfall. Despite this less than ideal
environment, the guidance forecasts slow but steady intensification,
so the NHC forecast follows this trend.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/11/2019 11:15 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
The trend is further east.

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mandatory EVAC ordered for Grand Isle, Jefferson Parish
 Quoting: Luisport


Good day, Luis.

Trying to determine if this storm will fizzle or rebuild.

We had a serious bought of wind blow through last night -- moving from the north to the south. Blew my patio furniture all over the yard, and chair cushions in the pool. cool2

Wonder if this was the system creating the wind shear?
 Quoting: DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne Smith


Not Luis but no, that was from the dying system that dumped all the rain on New Orleans yesterday.

There has been upper level shear that has caused Barry to stall from a strengthening aspect but that shear is now diminishing and he will strengthen. The bigger problem is it's direction and the rainfall it will drop, not so much the wind.
Ask Alice when she's 10ft tall
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mandatory EVAC ordered for Grand Isle, Jefferson Parish
 Quoting: Luisport


Good day, Luis.

Trying to determine if this storm will fizzle or rebuild.

We had a serious bought of wind blow through last night -- moving from the north to the south. Blew my patio furniture all over the yard, and chair cushions in the pool. cool2

Wonder if this was the system creating the wind shear?
 Quoting: DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne Smith



It was an outflow boundary from a cluster of decaying thunderstorms. It was pretty nice. I had crape myrtle flowers dancing all around me.
Disclaimer: Not a dude. I've tits and a ladyboner. .


"Nothing is real. Everything is permitted."


I'm only happy when it rains...


rockon
FeedYourHead

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07/11/2019 11:19 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
This is all you need to know if you're shaking your head, wondering why Barry just can't get going, and probably never will:

Barry is being affected by northerly shear, and water vapor imagery
indicates mid- to upper-level dry air moving into the cyclone from
the northeast. Some moderate shear is now expected to persist until
the cyclone makes landfall. Despite this less than ideal
environment, the guidance forecasts slow but steady intensification,
so the NHC forecast follows this trend.

 Quoting: Luisport


These guys, as usual, are all over the place....

Last Edited by FeedYourHead on 07/11/2019 11:19 AM
Ask Alice when she's 10ft tall
pool
FUCK THE LUXURY OF GRIEVING

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07/11/2019 11:21 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
iwish it blows far far away from land!!
“Life is a waste of woes,
And Death a river deep,
That ever onward flows,
Troubled, yet asleep.”

— William Batchelder Greene
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2019 11:28 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
This storm is so dangerous because impacts already being felt.

Don't wait unt tomorrow to evacuate if you have any concerns about your area flooding.

All of South Louisiana may flood. There may be NO getting out. And if you are smart and leave early, you may not want to go back.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/11/2019 11:29 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
This storm is so dangerous because impacts already being felt.

Don't wait unt tomorrow to evacuate if you have any concerns about your area flooding.

All of South Louisiana may flood. There may be NO getting out. And if you are smart and leave early, you may not want to go back.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75857585


THIS!
pool
FUCK THE LUXURY OF GRIEVING

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07/11/2019 11:31 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
I'm flying in on Saturday, come hell or high water.
“Life is a waste of woes,
And Death a river deep,
That ever onward flows,
Troubled, yet asleep.”

— William Batchelder Greene