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TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

 
Too Dark Park™ Two
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07/09/2019 10:01 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Alicia again they say...
 Quoting: Luisport



People need to stop this ridiculousness. It's not even an actual tropical system yet and they're already making it out to be a devastating storm. I hate fear mongering...
 Quoting: Too Dark Park™ Two


I'm not a fear monger! I post info to let people make good choices!
 Quoting: Luisport




Luis, I wasn't calling YOU a fear monger! I thought you were indirectly referring to something someone else had said.

Last Edited by Too Dark Park™ Two on 07/09/2019 10:04 AM
Disclaimer: Not a dude. I've tits and a ladyboner. .


"Nothing is real. Everything is permitted."


I'm only happy when it rains...


rockon
Luisport  (OP)

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07/09/2019 10:02 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

Potential Barry getting his groove on already...
I'm Listening

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07/09/2019 10:32 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
No self-respecting Floridian or Gulf Coast occupant is nervous for anything less than a Cat 2 so WHATEVER. If you don't live here you don't know nothin about tropical disturbances.

cheers
 Quoting: I'm Listening


Normally I would totally agree, but im still rebuilding my town which was all but erased by michael last october. NOt really nervousness, just kinda meh
 Quoting: overwatch


You get a pass in my book! You guys got rocked so hard last year. My friend lost her house. She had to move over to another city! Funny how you guys are so close to Tallahassee but it's like they forgot about you all. Makes me so mad!
 Quoting: I'm Listening


Tell me about it. The area is big time republican, Im sure that has something to do with it. Im from nola originally, left about 4 years ago bc I just couldnt clean up another storm related mess. Seems that is not in the cards for me. Screw it though, this is paradise to me
 Quoting: overwatch


I get it. Anywhere you live you have some kind of natural disaster to live with these days. Earthquake fire tornado hurricane flood something. For me the hurricane is the lesser of the evils because at least you have time to prepare or leave if you want to! My whole family lives in or around New Orleans and they all refuse to leave. I know where I live in South Florida my house will never be underwater at least until sea level rises LOL. So in the meantime I'll live by the beach and enjoy it. Until the time comes of course where I have to move somewhere else inland or to the mountains. Stay safe!
NOLAangel

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07/09/2019 11:22 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
60 hrs out the NAM 3km has it at 979 mb and sitting off the coast of SE Louisiana.
[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
This is Thursday at 7pm CDT
Put God as the head of your life and everything else will work out.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/09/2019 11:24 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

@markniss_
1 hHá 1 hora
Mais
As Invest #92L enters the Gulf of Mexico, I have added a number of high resolution radar sectors to my website. You can view them here: [link to moe.met.fsu.edu] …
Luisport  (OP)

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07/09/2019 11:25 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

@TropicalTidbits
1 hHá 1 hora
Mais
[#NerdTweet] While the 0Z ECMWF nudged slightly toward the GFS with more vorticity near NW Florida, the GFS is still whiffing a bit. Too much precip was forecast near FL coastline and New Orleans this morning, and convection to the south is stronger in reality than GFS expected.
NOLAangel

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07/09/2019 11:27 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

@TropicalTidbits
1 hHá 1 hora
Mais
[#NerdTweet] While the 0Z ECMWF nudged slightly toward the GFS with more vorticity near NW Florida, the GFS is still whiffing a bit. Too much precip was forecast near FL coastline and New Orleans this morning, and convection to the south is stronger in reality than GFS expected.

 Quoting: Luisport


I saw that post too. This has to be watched for sure.
Put God as the head of your life and everything else will work out.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/09/2019 11:54 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
TropicalTidbits
6 minHá 6 minutos
Mais
[#NerdTweet] The 12Z GFS may be starting to correct toward more convective heating west of Tampa. Note the sudden expansion of the 1014mb contour southward on the most recent run relative to the previous 4 valid tomorrow morning.

The rest of the run is indeed more Euro-like.
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

986mb at landfall... not moving much.
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07/09/2019 12:05 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
12z UKMET looks aggressive. Curious to see what it looks like graphically...

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 28.2N 87.6W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 11.07.2019 28.1N 88.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
00UTC 12.07.2019 27.8N 90.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 12.07.2019 28.3N 91.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
00UTC 13.07.2019 28.6N 92.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 13.07.2019 29.8N 93.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
00UTC 14.07.2019 31.5N 94.2W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY
12UTC 14.07.2019 33.2N 94.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 15.07.2019 34.8N 95.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 15.07.2019 36.2N 95.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
Luisport  (OP)

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07/09/2019 12:07 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Steve Caparotta, Ph.D.
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@SteveWAFB
(1/) With tropical development likely in the Gulf this week, it's worth noting that the Mississippi River at New Orleans is still quite high, sitting at a stage of around 16 feet this afternoon. Levees protect the city up to levels of around 20 feet.


RI at landfall in Holly Beach, Louisiana
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07/09/2019 12:52 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Steve Caparotta, Ph.D.
✔
@SteveWAFB
(1/) With tropical development likely in the Gulf this week, it's worth noting that the Mississippi River at New Orleans is still quite high, sitting at a stage of around 16 feet this afternoon. Levees protect the city up to levels of around 20 feet.


RI at landfall in Holly Beach, Louisiana

 Quoting: Luisport


hiding
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07/09/2019 12:55 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
12Z GFS AFTER ALL THIS TIME NOW IN AGREEMENT WITH WHAT EURO HAS BEEN SHOWING FOR ALMOST A WEEK.....

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
This thing is blowing up faster than a space shuttle...

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]


Last Edited by Luisport on 07/09/2019 12:58 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Record low sea level pressure yesterday (1009.8 mb) AND record high dew point (79°) this morning both TIED at the Jacksonville International Airport....... if that doesn't scream "TROPICAL" then I don't know what does!

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
[link to cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov (secure)]
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07/09/2019 01:06 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
For now, residents along the entire Gulf Coast, from Texas to Florida, should simply monitor the forecast for late in the week and next weekend, knowing that conditions could change. It's also a good time to make sure your preparedness kit is ready to go for the rest of hurricane season.

[link to weather.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Goofy for God



Absolutely.


And hey, dig this: at one of the local Wal-Marts in town, they're selling these emergency food bucket things on the shelves if you go look at the area that has large bulk items (like Country Time lemonade, big cans of nacho cheese sauce, etc etc). $20 a pop! It's a few days supply with a couple different entrees. They're in a white square bucket with a handle on it. Sam's club too had a larger emergency supply bucket for a bigger price (I forgot how much). Now is a good time to grab em!
 Quoting: Too Dark Park™ Two


Never saw those. Have to look next time I am near a wal mart.

For those looking for or needing to store water, don't buy thos little bottles of water. Too expensive. Buy some cheap 2 or 3 liter bottles of soda for under $1 and dump the soda. You now have a cheap water container.
Every time we go through a hurricane scare, it boggles me that there is no water in any store, yet there are endless shelves full of generic soda.
 Quoting: jt210



why the hell to dump the soda ?
it's "potable",then reuse the bottles.
same for just about anything that once held food.
hell,even ask in supermarkets where do the buckets that held salads,frosting etc go ? get them,wash em out/store them use them whatever=they're all food grade items.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/09/2019 01:17 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Ryan
✔
@RyanMaue
MetOffice global weather model is usually number 2 in the world behind ECMWF (Euro). The updated (12z) model solution for proto-Barry is more concerning on further westward track building to a major hurricane.
Still considerable uncertainty -- yet be on guard along N Gulf coast.
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Mark Sudduth
✔
@hurricanetrack
Well the 12Z runs from the GFS and UKMET are certainly a bit alarming. Both show a much more organized and stronger system evolving from 92L. I'll have an in-depth video post later this afternoon and will go over the GFS/UKMET/ECMWF and what others are saying about it all.
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07/09/2019 01:26 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Michael Lowry
✔
@MichaelRLowry
The Gulf of Mexico has been running a temperature all season. Thermodynamically it looks more like early August than it does early July. Important not just for potential intensity but also moisture tap for heavy rainfall. #92L
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07/09/2019 01:31 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
000
ABNT20 KNHC 091726
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad low pressure area has emerged over Apalachee Bay in the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for tropical cyclone formation and development
over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by late Wednesday or Thursday while the system moves westward
across the northern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low on
Wednesday, if necessary. This disturbance has the potential to
produce heavy rainfall from the Upper Texas Coast to the Florida
Panhandle during the next several days. In addition, this system
could produce wind and storm surge impacts later this week or this
weekend from Louisiana to the Upper Texas coast, and interests along
the Gulf Coast should continue to monitor its progress. For more
information, please see products issued by your local weather
forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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07/09/2019 01:33 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

@webberweather
8 minHá 8 minutos
Mais
One element that's concerning from a forecast standpoint w/ #92L in the Gulf is the size of the TC that may spawn from it. Low bgd RH/MSLP, a small precursor disturbance, & short lifetime seem to hint that "#Barry" could be small & thus very susceptible to rapid intensity changes
Luisport  (OP)

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07/09/2019 01:35 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

over water...


Last Edited by Luisport on 07/09/2019 01:36 PM
jt210

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07/09/2019 01:38 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
For now, residents along the entire Gulf Coast, from Texas to Florida, should simply monitor the forecast for late in the week and next weekend, knowing that conditions could change. It's also a good time to make sure your preparedness kit is ready to go for the rest of hurricane season.

[link to weather.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Goofy for God



Absolutely.


And hey, dig this: at one of the local Wal-Marts in town, they're selling these emergency food bucket things on the shelves if you go look at the area that has large bulk items (like Country Time lemonade, big cans of nacho cheese sauce, etc etc). $20 a pop! It's a few days supply with a couple different entrees. They're in a white square bucket with a handle on it. Sam's club too had a larger emergency supply bucket for a bigger price (I forgot how much). Now is a good time to grab em!
 Quoting: Too Dark Park™ Two


Never saw those. Have to look next time I am near a wal mart.

For those looking for or needing to store water, don't buy thos little bottles of water. Too expensive. Buy some cheap 2 or 3 liter bottles of soda for under $1 and dump the soda. You now have a cheap water container.
Every time we go through a hurricane scare, it boggles me that there is no water in any store, yet there are endless shelves full of generic soda.
 Quoting: jt210



why the hell to dump the soda ?
it's "potable",then reuse the bottles.
same for just about anything that once held food.
hell,even ask in supermarkets where do the buckets that held salads,frosting etc go ? get them,wash em out/store them use them whatever=they're all food grade items.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77774130


Sorry, but I don't drink that orange fizzy crap. And again, if you have ever been in a store leading up to a hurricane, you'll see many people panicking because they can not find water. It still runs from your tap. I am giving you or anyone else in the situation a cheap way to gather up some storage containers.

And, yes, any food container will work.
So, AOC was walking through the Bronx. She came upon a set of tracks. She said to herself, "Oh look, deer tracks." She looked again and said, "Oh wait, those are bear tracks". Pondered a little more and said, "Oh silly me, those are rabbit...." The train hit her.
Mkjeep

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07/09/2019 01:39 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
They’re gonna shoot the HAARPoon into it and turn it into a monster!!!
5alflashgodzilla
"Come get some"
Luisport  (OP)

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07/09/2019 01:40 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Recent blow up started just northwest of NHC's current L.

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
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07/09/2019 01:57 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Ryan
✔
@RyanMaue
MetOffice global weather model is usually number 2 in the world behind ECMWF (Euro). The updated (12z) model solution for proto-Barry is more concerning on further westward track building to a major hurricane.
Still considerable uncertainty -- yet be on guard along N Gulf coast.

 Quoting: Luisport


wow
Goofy for God
For by Him All Things Were Created

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07/09/2019 02:28 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Recent blow up started just northwest of NHC's current L.

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


hiding
Job 37:13 He causeth it to come, whether for correction, or for his land, or for mercy.
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2019 03:16 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
EURO 12Z

[link to tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]