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TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86

 
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:33 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Fallen tree near Jean Lafitte, LA resulting in loss of power to 2000 customers. See entergy.com and Outages to see power outage map of La. (zoomable)
UH
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07/12/2019 11:33 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
According to recon info, Barry has been stationary for the entirety of the flight, just sitting and spinning atm
 Quoting: Luisport


..EVERYTHING IT WANTS AND NEEDS WILL COME TO IT.
UH
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07/12/2019 11:34 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Last frame, Barry is starting to get the "buzzsaw", extremely bad omen

[link to weather.cod.edu (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77621519


PERFECT SYMMETRY...NO EXTERAL INFLUENCE WHAT SO EVER...BAD.
 Quoting: UH 74785742
MaximusRex

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07/12/2019 11:35 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
While I have not seen anything directly reported-- my eye-sight was a bit off on the raw data-- looks like irt was actually 994-995mb-ish.. but thats still a strengthening storm..
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:36 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
While I have not seen anything directly reported-- my eye-sight was a bit off on the raw data-- looks like irt was actually 994-995mb-ish.. but thats still a strengthening storm..
 Quoting: MaximusRex


with no shear and hot water... RI undeway!
FeedYourHead

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07/12/2019 11:37 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
According to recon info, Barry has been stationary for the entirety of the flight, just sitting and spinning atm
 Quoting: Luisport


He's trying to give Ray Nagin 2.0 time to grow a BRIAN and order an evacuation!

Last Edited by FeedYourHead on 07/12/2019 11:37 AM
Ask Alice when she's 10ft tall
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 11:37 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
serious question, my mom is in Ponchatoula LA, 1/2 way between NO & Baton Rouge. Only 26 ft above sea level. Should I be concerned about this? She is supposed to be moving back home with me on Tuesday, and tomorrow is my Bday, I feel like this is a bad omen, and I am sort of freaking out. She has only been living down there a year, so we arent too familiar with this.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:38 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
While I have not seen anything directly reported-- my eye-sight was a bit off on the raw data-- looks like irt was actually 994-995mb-ish.. but thats still a strengthening storm..
 Quoting: MaximusRex


mm almost 993

RECON finds 994.1mbs
and stronger winds closer to the wind shift
Barry starting to tighten up and get stronger
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:39 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Pevine Road at Frenier’s Landing in St. John Parish is starting to flood. Neighbors are evacuating. Water over the boat ramp at the landing on Lake Pontchartrain. Neighbor told us water started coming up this morning.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:39 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Surface
56 knots
(~ 64.4 mph)

Flight level up to 85mph now
MaximusRex

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07/12/2019 11:39 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
serious question, my mom is in Ponchatoula LA, 1/2 way between NO & Baton Rouge. Only 26 ft above sea level. Should I be concerned about this? She is supposed to be moving back home with me on Tuesday, and tomorrow is my Bday, I feel like this is a bad omen, and I am sort of freaking out. She has only been living down there a year, so we arent too familiar with this.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 41286941


Id have some concern if she would be affected directly by any flooding related to the MS river.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:42 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
over 80mph found.
MaximusRex

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07/12/2019 11:42 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Last few frames the outflow is presenting better, deep convection is symmetrically increasing in size from the center... all eyes this afternoon!
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 11:42 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
serious question, my mom is in Ponchatoula LA, 1/2 way between NO & Baton Rouge. Only 26 ft above sea level. Should I be concerned about this? She is supposed to be moving back home with me on Tuesday, and tomorrow is my Bday, I feel like this is a bad omen, and I am sort of freaking out. She has only been living down there a year, so we arent too familiar with this.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 41286941


Id have some concern if she would be affected directly by any flooding related to the MS river.
 Quoting: MaximusRex


hf
thank you!! I am not familiar with the location, so I dont know if she is close to water or not. My moms a hard head, she doesnt seem concerned, but I am.
DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne SmithModerator
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07/12/2019 11:43 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/1500Z 28.2N 90.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 13/0000Z 28.6N 90.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 13/1200Z 29.4N 91.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 14/0000Z 30.5N 92.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 14/1200Z 31.8N 92.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 15/1200Z 34.4N 92.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 16/1200Z 37.0N 90.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 17/1200Z 39.5N 87.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Beven

 Quoting: Luisport


I'm still a little hesitant at their intensity forecast. NHC blew several storms in the mid-atlantic last year that were under duress by shear and quickly turned into major hurricanes despite the models. This afternoon should be a determining factor at how high this could get ramped up.
 Quoting: MaximusRex


If you read the whole of NHC's latest discussion you can see that everyone over in NHC is frustrated and confused by this system.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77689241


Mother Nature is not constrained by man's categories, and measurement metrics.
Fate whispers to the warrior

"You cannot withstand the storm"

and the warrior whispers back

"I am the storm"

INTJ:
Independent, original, analytical, and determined. Have an exceptional ability to turn theories into solid plans of action. Highly value knowledge, competence, and structure. Driven to derive meaning from their visions. Long-range thinkers. Have very high standards for their performance, and the performance of others. Natural leaders, but will follow if they trust existing leaders.

Life is karma and karma always reflects both past and present circumstance. Our time here is short, so choose carefully and behave well, for all of your tomorrows are presently being decided.

"A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool."
-- William Shakespeare, born April 23, 1564.

Follow. But! Follow only if ye be men of valor! For the entrance to this cave is guarded by a creature so foul, so cruel, that no man yet has fought with it... and lived! BONES of full fifty men lie *strewn* about its lair! So! Brave knights! If you do doubt your courage or your strength, come no further, for death awaits you all with nasty, big, pointy teeth...

Killer Bunny
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 11:44 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
According to recon info, Barry has been stationary for the entirety of the flight, just sitting and spinning atm
 Quoting: Luisport


Another year and another hurricane that stalls? Damn!

damned
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:44 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
over 80mph found.
 Quoting: Luisport


70-75kt flight level winds.. 80-85mph...
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:45 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Last few frames the outflow is presenting better, deep convection is symmetrically increasing in size from the center... all eyes this afternoon!
 Quoting: MaximusRex


meso-vorts seem to be washing out into banding features. hot towers pooping NE of COC now.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 11:47 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
serious question, my mom is in Ponchatoula LA, 1/2 way between NO & Baton Rouge. Only 26 ft above sea level. Should I be concerned about this? She is supposed to be moving back home with me on Tuesday, and tomorrow is my Bday, I feel like this is a bad omen, and I am sort of freaking out. She has only been living down there a year, so we arent too familiar with this.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 41286941


north or south of hwy 22?

if south, i would get to higher ground
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:48 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

WOW!
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 11:50 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
 Quoting: Luisport


This storm could easiy be a Cat 2 or 3 by landfall late tomorrow night...
Truth Seeker!

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07/12/2019 11:50 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
hiding
I only seek the truth n nothing but the truth!

The truth will set you free, for a price!
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 11:50 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
 Quoting: Luisport


Looks even more organized than this one earlier

[link to i.imgur.com (secure)]
Striker17
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07/12/2019 11:50 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Hurricane Camille did defeat from a cat 3 to 5 in 24 hours something like that..
DEPLORABLE Lady Jayne SmithModerator
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07/12/2019 11:52 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
According to recon info, Barry has been stationary for the entirety of the flight, just sitting and spinning atm
 Quoting: Luisport


He's trying to give Ray Nagin 2.0 time to grow a BRIAN and order an evacuation!
 Quoting: FeedYourHead


That window has essentially closed.
Fate whispers to the warrior

"You cannot withstand the storm"

and the warrior whispers back

"I am the storm"

INTJ:
Independent, original, analytical, and determined. Have an exceptional ability to turn theories into solid plans of action. Highly value knowledge, competence, and structure. Driven to derive meaning from their visions. Long-range thinkers. Have very high standards for their performance, and the performance of others. Natural leaders, but will follow if they trust existing leaders.

Life is karma and karma always reflects both past and present circumstance. Our time here is short, so choose carefully and behave well, for all of your tomorrows are presently being decided.

"A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool."
-- William Shakespeare, born April 23, 1564.

Follow. But! Follow only if ye be men of valor! For the entrance to this cave is guarded by a creature so foul, so cruel, that no man yet has fought with it... and lived! BONES of full fifty men lie *strewn* about its lair! So! Brave knights! If you do doubt your courage or your strength, come no further, for death awaits you all with nasty, big, pointy teeth...

Killer Bunny
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07/12/2019 11:52 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
serious question, my mom is in Ponchatoula LA, 1/2 way between NO & Baton Rouge. Only 26 ft above sea level. Should I be concerned about this? She is supposed to be moving back home with me on Tuesday, and tomorrow is my Bday, I feel like this is a bad omen, and I am sort of freaking out. She has only been living down there a year, so we arent too familiar with this.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 41286941


north or south of hwy 22?

if south, i would get to higher ground
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75610890


Literally right off of 22, on the north side, but just off pine st.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 11:54 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Is this one manmade to spread the toxic algae that closed all the mississipi beaches???
overwatch

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07/12/2019 11:55 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
serious question, my mom is in Ponchatoula LA, 1/2 way between NO & Baton Rouge. Only 26 ft above sea level. Should I be concerned about this? She is supposed to be moving back home with me on Tuesday, and tomorrow is my Bday, I feel like this is a bad omen, and I am sort of freaking out. She has only been living down there a year, so we arent too familiar with this.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 41286941


north or south of hwy 22?

if south, i would get to higher ground
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75610890


This, if she is near any of the rivers in the area I would leave. They are all going to go over their banks I would imagine. Most of ponchatoula is pretty safe though
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 11:55 AM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
By Tuesday Morning....

Trump will be having an emergency press conference to speak to the historical flooding....

The Mayor of New Orleans will be stepping down....

This Storm is heading straight up and following the Mississippi delta and is going to stall and dump upwards of 40 inches of rain and the levees all over the place are going to breach...

Just try and Imagine what that is going to look like and where you currently live if in that area....

It will still be there and other weather systems are going to head into the effected areas...after the fact....


Whats on the weather horizon for later in the week....

Pay attention....


Humans always hope for the best....That kind of thinking is WRONG this time....and everytime now where the weather will be concerned....

But after this event I think people will dummy up....
overwatch

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07/12/2019 11:56 AM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
serious question, my mom is in Ponchatoula LA, 1/2 way between NO & Baton Rouge. Only 26 ft above sea level. Should I be concerned about this? She is supposed to be moving back home with me on Tuesday, and tomorrow is my Bday, I feel like this is a bad omen, and I am sort of freaking out. She has only been living down there a year, so we arent too familiar with this.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 41286941


north or south of hwy 22?

if south, i would get to higher ground
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75610890


Literally right off of 22, on the north side, but just off pine st.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 41286941


Im pretty sure that downtown ponchatoula. she should be good there