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TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86

 
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 12:41 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Barry finally firing convection needed to help tighten up it's low level circulation now that shear has relaxed some. If that convection persist through DMIN then it's quite possible that the center relocates further south with the CDO. Dont underestimate system in the gulf. As it notorious for RI storm systems.
AmericanSpyglass

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07/12/2019 12:44 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
What we are seeing in these latest IR loops is the beginning of explosive deepening. Some models called for this, and it seems more likely now. This will be a hurricane in 6 hours tops.
NOLAangel

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07/12/2019 12:46 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Rolling Stones concert cancelled!!!!
5ahiding
 Quoting: Mkjeep


meagdoom
 Quoting: NewGeneration2019


No it's not. It is rescheduled for Monday at 7:30.

Last Edited by NOLAangel on 07/12/2019 12:47 PM
Put God as the head of your life and everything else will work out.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 12:47 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Lt Governor just said on WC the State has never had to face a storm with the River already flooded , uncharted territory lflash
 Quoting: Goofy for God


bumpbumpbump
NOLAangel

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07/12/2019 12:48 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Parts of St Bernard parish is flooding already
 Quoting: Luisport


Lower St. Bernard floods routinely during these type of events.
Put God as the head of your life and everything else will work out.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 12:48 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Wind Speed (WSPD): 55.9 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 62.0 kts
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 12:50 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Bob Breck, now retired veteran NOLA meteorologist, believes Barry had stalked over north central GOM. Believes that it will become a hurricane, and has little confidence in current official NHC forecast track.
NOLAangel

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07/12/2019 12:52 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Lt Governor just said on WC the State has never had to face a storm with the River already flooded , uncharted territory lflash
 Quoting: Goofy for God


Yes this is true. The River is supposed to get up to 19 feet and flood stage is 20 feet. The levees in St. Bernard are all only 20 feet. And some areas in New Orleans are at 20 feet as well, but most are higher. In contrast, the levee by my house in Jefferson Parish is 27 feet so we are well protected.

This is a map of the levee heights: [link to levees.sec.usace.army.mil (secure)]
Mouse over the graph.
Put God as the head of your life and everything else will work out.
Oaken Paw
It's the wood that makes it good

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07/12/2019 12:53 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Bob Breck, now retired veteran NOLA meteorologist, believes Barry had stalked over north central GOM. Believes that it will become a hurricane, and has little confidence in current official NHC forecast track.
 Quoting: Luisport


Where does he think it will go?
Everything has got to be a THING today
Truth Seeker!

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07/12/2019 12:54 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
The mayor is live n said wont be as bad as people say...

Last Edited by Truth Seeker! on 07/12/2019 12:54 PM
I only seek the truth n nothing but the truth!

The truth will set you free, for a price!
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 12:54 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Bob Breck, now retired veteran NOLA meteorologist, believes Barry had stalked over north central GOM. Believes that it will become a hurricane, and has little confidence in current official NHC forecast track.
 Quoting: Luisport


Where does he think it will go?
 Quoting: Oaken Paw


[link to bobbreck.blogspot.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 12:55 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Bob Breck, now retired veteran NOLA meteorologist, believes Barry had stalked over north central GOM. Believes that it will become a hurricane, and has little confidence in current official NHC forecast track.
 Quoting: Luisport


Where does he think it will go?
 Quoting: Oaken Paw
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 12:55 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Lt Governor just said on WC the State has never had to face a storm with the River already flooded , uncharted territory lflash
 Quoting: Goofy for God


Yes this is true. The River is supposed to get up to 19 feet and flood stage is 20 feet. The levees in St. Bernard are all only 20 feet. And some areas in New Orleans are at 20 feet as well, but most are higher. In contrast, the levee by my house in Jefferson Parish is 27 feet so we are well protected.

This is a map of the levee heights: [link to levees.sec.usace.army.mil (secure)]
Mouse over the graph.
 Quoting: NOLAangel


[link to fourwinds10.com]
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 12:56 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through early Tuesday morning

- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
Oaken Paw
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07/12/2019 12:56 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Bob Breck, now retired veteran NOLA meteorologist, believes Barry had stalked over north central GOM. Believes that it will become a hurricane, and has little confidence in current official NHC forecast track.
 Quoting: Luisport


Where does he think it will go?
 Quoting: Oaken Paw


[link to bobbreck.blogspot.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Luisport


Thanks

He posted that at 11:11

damned
Everything has got to be a THING today
Oaken Paw
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07/12/2019 12:57 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
BNL NEWS
‏

@BreakingNLive
5m5 minutes ago
More
DEVELOPING: Water already rising in Louisiana as Tropical Storm Barry is currently strengthening, now expected to make landfall in Louisiana as a Cat 1 hurricane on Saturday with some areas forecast to receive up to 25 inches of rain.
‘Life threatening’ flooding expected

Everything has got to be a THING today
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 12:57 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Friday, July 12, 2019

Barry Building Towards Hurricane?

The NHC (National Hurricane Center) has been very consistent in their messaging and their latest track forecast didn't change. It is still west of Morgan City moving near Lafayette and then west of Baton Rouge. You can go to their website to read all of their thinking. During my nearly 4 decades of broadcasting in NOLA, what I felt later in my career is the viewer asking..."What does Bob think?" (Before me, Nash) So here are my observations. The north part of the storm is still exposed with several swirls/vortices circulating around the center. There has been a burst of T-Storms south of the center that appears to be overtaking it. That MIGHT mean the center is relocating farther to the south. The real problem is the lack of forward motion. NHC is saying west at 5 mph, but I see a stalled storm. The longer it stays over the warm Gulf, the more likely it will great stronger and become a hurricane, which NHC now predicts. I'm still nervous about the future track. If it ends up west of Morgan City then I think NOLA will miss the brunt of the storm. The lack of motion gives me little confidence in that forecast. We all need to make sure we have supplies and can stay "hunkered down" for the next 2-3 days. The Rolling Stones Concert has been moved back to Monday. Will that mean Barry is gone by then? Maybe not. Stay tuned! Bob Breck at 11:11 AM
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 01:01 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Mississippi River expected to crest at 19-20ft in NO of Saturday, nothing recent like that:

Historic Crests
(1) 21.27 ft on 04/25/1922
(2) 21.05 ft on 05/11/1912
(3) 21.00 ft on 04/25/1927
(4) 20.50 ft on 05/18/1927
(5) 20.05 ft on 03/03/1916
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 15.56 ft on 01/23/2019
(2) 16.48 ft on 05/31/2017
(3) 15.23 ft on 03/21/2016
(4) 17.38 ft on 05/19/2011
(5) 14.26 ft on 02/12/2010
Show More Recent Crests
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 01:01 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
The mayor is live n said wont be as bad as people say...
 Quoting: Truth Seeker!


LOL

In 6 hours she will be writing her resignation letter when she realizes that Mother Nature doesn't have to follow forecasts or Human Models....


Everybody is focused on this storm but not on what follows it up afterwards and what happened beforehand...I mean New Orleans was already flooded in the higher areas a day ago...

Complete Morons....

Is she herself sheltering in place...where is she....
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 01:08 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
The Sun just came out here in River Ridge for a bit lol
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 01:09 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86

@CMercedesKHOU
22 minHá 22 minutos
Mais
HAPPENING NOW: The floodgates at the NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT are being closed ahead of TS Barry. Video from my cousin who lives there.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 01:09 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
How convenient that this all feeds into the "rising-sea-levels/anthropomorphic-climate-change" nonsense.
Luisport  (OP)

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07/12/2019 01:12 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
pool
FUCK THE LUXURY OF GRIEVING

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07/12/2019 01:13 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Rolling Stones concert cancelled!!!!

 Quoting: Mkjeep


Not on my watch. Sunday is sunny in New Orleans. Monday is fine.

Last Edited by pool on 07/12/2019 01:14 PM
“Life is a waste of woes,
And Death a river deep,
That ever onward flows,
Troubled, yet asleep.”

— William Batchelder Greene
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 01:15 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86


Looks very symetrical...not good...not good at all...
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 01:16 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
How convenient that this all feeds into the "rising-sea-levels/anthropomorphic-climate-change" nonsense.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77808862


Hello...The climate is changing....Its called Abrupt climate change....

Its just not human caused like the powers that be would have you think....

There is nothing convenient about any of this....

This is just the beginning....

Its OK to deny the human cause meme and talking points pushing the green death deal... but not what will happen and is already in full swing and getting worse....
Truth Seeker!

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07/12/2019 01:26 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
bump
I only seek the truth n nothing but the truth!

The truth will set you free, for a price!
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2019 01:26 PM
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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Here is a good link
Download if you like

[link to www.earthcam.com (secure)]
Oaken Paw
It's the wood that makes it good

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07/12/2019 01:30 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Reed Timmer
‏
Verified account

@ReedTimmerAccu
18m18 minutes ago
More
NEW: early storm surge south of Chauvin, LA ahead of Tropical Storm #Barry. This area will be under water later today and is under a mandatory evacuation. Up to 4 feet of storm surge possible in spots. NHC now forecasts a hurricane at landfall. Stay tuned to @accuweather



Video in link

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Everything has got to be a THING today
Mkjeep

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07/12/2019 01:35 PM

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Re: TSBARRY: Barry’s 16.17” of Rain in Arkansas Breaks All-Time State Record! Flash flooding across eastern Pennsylvania NOW!!!p86
Rolling Stones concert cancelled!!!!
5ahiding
 Quoting: Mkjeep


meagdoom
 Quoting: NewGeneration2019


No it's not. It is rescheduled for Monday at 7:30.
 Quoting: NOLAangel


For now... hiding
"Come get some"