TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77803695 Portugal 07/11/2019 06:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 WTNT42 KNHC 110846 TCDAT2 Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 400 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2019 The convective activity associated with the broad area of low pressure is still spread out, and the center of circulation is not well defined at this time. Both surface and scatterometer data indicate that the winds remain near 25 kt. The modest northerly shear affecting the system should not hamper further development. Overall, the environmental conditions still favor the formation of a tropical depression or a tropical storm later today, and as the system moves over warm waters, strengthening is indicated. The intensity models are not as aggressive as they were in previous runs, but still bring the disturbance to hurricane status in about 48 hour or so, as the disturbance approaches the coast. During the past several hours, the low pressure area has barely moved due to weak steering currents. However, a westward or 260 degrees drift at about 4 kt should begin soon. The system is heading toward a weakness in the ridge, and this pattern should induce a slow turn toward the west-northwest and then north during the next 3 to 5 days. The NHC track forecast continues to be located on the western edge of the guidance envelope, and it has been adjusted slightly eastward to be more consistent with the multi-model ensemble TVCA. It should be noted that track errors are typically larger for potential tropical cyclones than more mature systems. In addition, the run-to-run consistency in the track models has been poor, so confidence in the details of the forecast is not high at the moment. Key Messages: 1. A tropical depression is expected to form later today over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for this system to strengthen to a hurricane that will bring storm surge, rainfall, and wind hazards to the central Gulf Coast. 2. A dangerous storm surge is possible in portions of southern and southeastern Louisiana where a Storm Surge Watch is in effect. Additional storm surge watches may be needed later today. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of this system and listen to any advice given by local officials. 3. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for much of the Louisiana coast and additional tropical storm or hurricane watches and warnings could be required. Residents in the watch area should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place. 4. The slow movement of this system will result in a long duration heavy rainfall threat along the central Gulf Coast and inland through the lower Mississippi Valley through the weekend and potentially into early next week. Flash flooding and river flooding will become increasingly likely, some of which may be significant, especially along and east of the track of the system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0900Z 27.5N 88.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 11/1800Z 27.5N 88.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 12/0600Z 27.7N 89.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 12/1800Z 28.0N 90.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 13/0600Z 28.5N 91.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 14/0600Z 31.0N 91.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 96H 15/0600Z 33.5N 92.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 120H 16/0600Z 36.0N 90.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Avila |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77803695 Portugal 07/11/2019 06:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 Models are trending slightly east. Could be because a stall under weak current are coming. If landfall is closer to new orleans rainfall amounts will be higher in Gulf port and Mobile. Everyone from the panhandle of Florida west to louisiana expect flooding rains this system is going to crawl |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77803695 Portugal 07/11/2019 06:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77803695 Portugal 07/11/2019 06:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Flame Garcia User ID: 77221627 United States 07/11/2019 06:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 Not trying to be controversial but why did they not spend the money on removing civil war statutes on replacing the failed pumps that keep the city from flooding? Quoting: Nickford There have been many reports of misused funds from Katrina for the pump and levees system that was diverted to other areas! Beautiful and wonderful city, grew up nearby, but the city officials corruption has placed a death call on this historic city. Red states do not deserve infrastructure spending. Louisiana is a RED STATE, but it does have some Blue cities, New Orleans being the largest and most well known, or as the former Mayor said "It's a Chocolate City", yeah - right!! "The road of life is paved with flat squirrels who couldn't make a decision" |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 70370150 Switzerland 07/11/2019 06:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 76944712 France 07/11/2019 06:25 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 72876588 United States 07/11/2019 06:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 70370150 Switzerland 07/11/2019 06:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 Looks like Anderson Pooper won’t be fake newsing the weather this time around [link to wattsupwiththat.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77394391 United States 07/11/2019 06:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 |
Earth Cries User ID: 74988523 United States 07/11/2019 06:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 NEW THIS MORNING - With the Mississippi River already high due to extended spring flooding, officials fear that levees will be over-topped with soon to be expected Hurricane Barry this weekend. Mandatory evacuations are already in place ahead of the storm. [link to twitter.com (secure)] Mark 13:20 And except that the Lord had shortened those days, no flesh should be saved: but for the elect's sake, whom he hath chosen, he hath shortened the days. “Things fall apart; the center cannot hold.” Yeats |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77552079 United States 07/11/2019 07:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 |
Earth Cries User ID: 74988523 United States 07/11/2019 07:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 WeatherNation ‏Verified account @WeatherNation 11m11 minutes ago **TROPICS UPDATE** Where's our tropical system? And watches in place? All that info here for you to keep you updated! Still waiting on it to be named Tropical Depression #Barry, when max. sustained winds get up to at least 39 mph. DETAILS -> [link to bit.ly (secure)] #tropics [link to twitter.com (secure)] Mark 13:20 And except that the Lord had shortened those days, no flesh should be saved: but for the elect's sake, whom he hath chosen, he hath shortened the days. “Things fall apart; the center cannot hold.” Yeats |
Earth Cries User ID: 74988523 United States 07/11/2019 07:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 Hope and praying you are correct. It is forecast to move directly over us. So far, it is still not a tropical depression yet. Strange storm... Mark 13:20 And except that the Lord had shortened those days, no flesh should be saved: but for the elect's sake, whom he hath chosen, he hath shortened the days. “Things fall apart; the center cannot hold.” Yeats |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 72876588 United States 07/11/2019 07:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 WeatherNation Quoting: Earth Cries ‏Verified account @WeatherNation 11m11 minutes ago **TROPICS UPDATE** Where's our tropical system? And watches in place? All that info here for you to keep you updated! Still waiting on it to be named Tropical Depression #Barry, when max. sustained winds get up to at least 39 mph. DETAILS -> [link to bit.ly (secure)] #tropics [link to twitter.com (secure)] Gonna be a dud folks. Maybe a little bit of rain, not much more than that. In ways I agree. Just look how much money is spent in the cone of uncertainty. It’s like the NHC is heavily invested in Home Depot, Lowe’s and Wal-Mart. They are really starting to wishcast these storms lately. I would usually have moved my window boards out of storage, but with them crying wolf over the last few years...I’ll wait. Got everything I need anyway. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 76103268 United States 07/11/2019 07:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Earth Cries User ID: 74988523 United States 07/11/2019 07:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 Storm getting some shear from the north. Weather channel Mark 13:20 And except that the Lord had shortened those days, no flesh should be saved: but for the elect's sake, whom he hath chosen, he hath shortened the days. “Things fall apart; the center cannot hold.” Yeats |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77333689 United States 07/11/2019 07:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77777731 United States 07/11/2019 08:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 I am so sick and tired of these kind of pictures. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28698215 [link to storage.googleapis.com (secure)] Move to another fkn city. Quit rebuilding in a flood hole. You haven't lived in Louisiana have you? You have to get up around Alexandria to find "high" ground. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77777731 United States 07/11/2019 08:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 Weather model Animation of atmosphere moisture over next 4-days for developing Tropical Storm Barry. Deep tropical moisture will build over the Gulf and then inundate Louisiana w/heavy flooding rains 20"+ Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77694920 Gif [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)] Bring out the pirogue! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77777731 United States 07/11/2019 08:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 New Orleans map... [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] Quoting: Luisport Geez... look at that graphic and wonder who the hell would think it a good idea to build a city (prone to hurricanes and flooding) in that place. People who didn't have levee systems 400 years ago. They found the "high" spot on the Mississippi and built the French Quarter. They didn't flood. Why? Because the river was allowed to flood all around them and build up land downstream. That all changed with "modern" city planning. The levees were built and NOW, ONLY NOW, does New Orleans sit "in a bowl". |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77777731 United States 07/11/2019 08:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 @RyanMaue 5 hHá 5 horas Mais Even with the "eastward shift", NHC is on the left edge of the other guidance spaghetti. [link to twitter.com (secure)] @RyanMaue 5 hHá 5 horas Mais I'm concerned about the ability of Barry to rapidly intensify late Friday into Saturday prior to landfall -- as it takes the northward turn into the Louisiana coast. Looks like a bulls eye for Lafayette is the current track? |
I'm with Trump. User ID: 73637243 United States 07/11/2019 08:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 Uh oh. Forecast showing 131 mph winds! [link to tropicaltidbits.com (secure)] Previously I’m with Trump. I will not comply Molon Labe ".....Shall not be infringed." I'm pro guns. I'm pro life. I'm saved by the blood of Jesus Christ. Respect veterans. |
Earth Cries User ID: 74988523 United States 07/11/2019 08:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 I am so sick and tired of these kind of pictures. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28698215 [link to storage.googleapis.com (secure)] Move to another fkn city. Quit rebuilding in a flood hole. You haven't lived in Louisiana have you? You have to get up around Alexandria to find "high" ground. Yep anything below Alex is Delta land. Built by the flooding Miss river. Mark 13:20 And except that the Lord had shortened those days, no flesh should be saved: but for the elect's sake, whom he hath chosen, he hath shortened the days. “Things fall apart; the center cannot hold.” Yeats |
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FeedYourHead User ID: 77416429 United States 07/11/2019 08:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86 |
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