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Message Subject TSBARRY: Barry 's rainfall in Arkansas makes it the 5th state just since 2017 to set the record for highest rainfall from a tropical system!!!p86
Poster Handle MaximusRex
Post Content
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/1500Z 28.2N 90.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 13/0000Z 28.6N 90.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 13/1200Z 29.4N 91.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 14/0000Z 30.5N 92.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 14/1200Z 31.8N 92.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 15/1200Z 34.4N 92.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 16/1200Z 37.0N 90.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 17/1200Z 39.5N 87.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Beven

 Quoting: Luisport


I'm still a little hesitant at their intensity forecast. NHC blew several storms in the mid-atlantic last year that were under duress by shear and quickly turned into major hurricanes despite the models. This afternoon should be a determining factor at how high this could get ramped up.
 Quoting: MaximusRex


[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

Impressive!
 Quoting: Luisport


Recon is passing through the center now. I would be concerned if this drops to the 988-992ish range. Honestly this is not very far off from a hurricane now. It just comes down to the effect of the shear. It could level off / fizzle slightly this afternoon or heavily ramp back up and deepen quickly.
 
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