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Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14

 
Anonymous Coward
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10/07/2019 12:09 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14


omg
Luisport  (OP)

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10/07/2019 12:12 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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10/07/2019 12:15 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14


wtf? , it's huge and it looks like 3 in 1
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14


My God, it looks like that storm size could be approaching the size of Australia

glassesoff
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10/07/2019 12:18 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Anonymous Coward
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10/07/2019 12:21 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
nice forecast last night from euro model

it predicted 898 mb



@HurricaneRiley5
14h14 hours ago

JTWC has upgraded to 100kts (Cat 3) and is now forecasting a Category 5 peak. 18z ECMWF at 898mb, a strong Category 5.

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Anonymous Coward
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10/07/2019 12:23 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
nice forecast last night from euro model

it predicted 898 mb



@HurricaneRiley5
14h14 hours ago

JTWC has upgraded to 100kts (Cat 3) and is now forecasting a Category 5 peak. 18z ECMWF at 898mb, a strong Category 5.

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 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23540256


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Luisport  (OP)

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10/07/2019 12:25 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
nice forecast last night from euro model

it predicted 898 mb



@HurricaneRiley5
14h14 hours ago

JTWC has upgraded to 100kts (Cat 3) and is now forecasting a Category 5 peak. 18z ECMWF at 898mb, a strong Category 5.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23540256


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 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23540256


YOU NAIL IT! afro
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10/07/2019 12:36 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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10/07/2019 12:51 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Hagibis a threat to Japan

For the next 2-3 days, Hagibis should remain a formidable typhoon. Wind shear affecting Hagibis will remain low to moderate (around 10 knots). Sea surface temperatures will cool only slightly, dropping to around 29°C (84°F), and the environment will get somewhat drier (mid-level relative humidity dropping from around 70% to around 60%). There will likely be fluctuations in Hagibis’s strength based mainly on the timing of one or more eyewall replacement cycles. Any of these could bring down the top sustained winds for a day or more, while enlarging Hagibis by spreading the wind energy over a broader area.

Through this week, Hagibis will carve out a classic recurvature path, arcing toward the northwest and then north toward Japan and perhaps making landfall this weekend on the island of Honshu. Small variations in the timing and angle of the recurvature will determine what parts of Honshu might be affected. It’s a safe bet that Hagibis will be significantly weakening as it approaches Japan, thanks to increasing wind shear, drier air, and cooler SSTs, but the pace of that weakening remains to be seen. In its Monday morning forecast, JTWC predicted that Hagibis would be nearing the central coast of Honshu east of Kyoto on Saturday as a Category 2 storm.
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Gyro Geargoose

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10/07/2019 01:10 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Thanks, Luis, for keeping us up to date on this monster storm! Wonder what the water temp is there?

My Dad fought aboard the carrier USS Essex in WWII and despite many enemy attacks including kamikazis, he said the only time he was truly scared was when the ship was in a typhoon for two days.

Seas bounced the ship so hard that it knocked the forward gyrocompass on the bridge out of it's stand where it floated in a pool of mercury.

Prayers for the folks about to face the fury of this storm.
I Am Not Ashamed of The Gospel of The Lord Jesus Christ!
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10/07/2019 01:40 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Sayaka Mori
@sayakasofiamori
#Typhoon #Hagibis is quickly strengthening.
The central pressure dropped 77hPa (992hPa to 915hPa) in 24 hours. It’s not a record (ex. Typhoon #Tess in 1953 had a 96hPa drop within 6 hours!!), but it is absolutely unusual to see such a rapid intensification.

map
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 Quoting: joinca


Look for radar derived intensification beàms per dutch
Luisport  (OP)

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10/07/2019 01:45 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Thanks, Luis, for keeping us up to date on this monster storm! Wonder what the water temp is there?

My Dad fought aboard the carrier USS Essex in WWII and despite many enemy attacks including kamikazis, he said the only time he was truly scared was when the ship was in a typhoon for two days.

Seas bounced the ship so hard that it knocked the forward gyrocompass on the bridge out of it's stand where it floated in a pool of mercury.

Prayers for the folks about to face the fury of this storm.
 Quoting: Gyro Geargoose


It's 30C
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10/07/2019 01:46 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Hagibis? Thought this was a Hillary thread.
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10/07/2019 01:47 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
nice forecast last night from euro model

it predicted 898 mb



@HurricaneRiley5
14h14 hours ago

JTWC has upgraded to 100kts (Cat 3) and is now forecasting a Category 5 peak. 18z ECMWF at 898mb, a strong Category 5.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23540256


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 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23540256


YOU NAIL IT! afro
 Quoting: Luisport


cool2
Luisport  (OP)

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10/07/2019 01:48 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
OMG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ahhhahhh



@SimonStormRider
1 hHá 1 hora
Mais
All of that convective latent heat release & exhaust is focused on the tiny 'pinhole eye' (maybe 2-4 mile diameter) of CAT 5 #Hagibis. Wouldn't be surprised if min central pressure is in the 855-870 mb range with max sustained 1-min winds around 210-225 mph:
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Luisport  (OP)

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10/07/2019 01:55 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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#Hagibis probably has intensity equal to or greater than the most powerful cyclones in modern history:
Haiyan, Patricia, Tip, Wilma, Meranti, etc.



siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2
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10/07/2019 01:56 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
OMG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ahhhahhh



@SimonStormRider
1 hHá 1 hora
Mais
All of that convective latent heat release & exhaust is focused on the tiny 'pinhole eye' (maybe 2-4 mile diameter) of CAT 5 #Hagibis. Wouldn't be surprised if min central pressure is in the 855-870 mb range with max sustained 1-min winds around 210-225 mph:
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


Lowest pressure ever recorded on earth (other than a tornado) = 870 mb set on 12 October 1979, during Typhoon Tip in the western Pacific Ocean.

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Luisport  (OP)

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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10/07/2019 02:01 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Super Typhoon Hagibis (20W) Local Statement
National Weather Service TIYAN GU
401 AM ChST Tue Oct 8 2019

Excerpt:

.NEW INFORMATION...
The eye of Hagibis has passed over Anatahan Island around 1 AM
this morning.
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Appears 'eye' of #Hagibis may have just contracted even more (1.5 to 3 miles diameter?) - kinda looks like a EWRC might be occurring:
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10/07/2019 02:14 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Another crazy thing (because there aren’t enough of them) is that based on radar imagery, it doesn’t look like #Hagibis is even in eyewall replacement mode yet. Even at the height that radar is picking up the eyewall, a band is still wrapping into it. Nuts!

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
2.5-minute rapid scan #Himawari8 Infrared images during the rapid intensification of Super Typhoon #Hagibis as it approached the Northern Mariana Islands

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Newest Navy Dvorak, still 7.0

TPPN10 PGTW 071808

A. SUPER TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS)

B. 07/1730Z

C. 16.46N

D. 144.96E

E. ONE/HMWRI8

F. T7.0/7.0/D3.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. DG EYE SURROUNDED BY CMG YIELDS
AN E# OF 6.5. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT
OF 7.0. MET YIELDS A 5.5 AND PT YIELDS A 6.0. DBO DT. BROKE
CONTRAINTS (+1.5 TNO OVER 24 HRS) DUE TO SYSTEMS RAPID
DEVELOPMENT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

BERMEA
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10/07/2019 02:17 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Hurricane Dorian was impressive - but the satellite presentation can't compare to Super Typhoon #Hagibis (look at the number of "pink" pixels at -80C).

We can only wonder how the actual windspeed compares... No recon in the Western Pacific.

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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shockedshockedshocked
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10/07/2019 02:17 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
looks like the TyphoonTards are riding.
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10/07/2019 02:18 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
go Hagibis

Hagibis number one 5a
Truth Seeker!

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10/07/2019 02:21 PM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
When is it going to hit?
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