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Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14

 
Luisport  (OP)

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10/07/2019 06:45 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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*Tropical* Morning light over Super Typhoon #Hagibis reveals impressive structure on this system, now west of the Marianas. Note that the eye is not completely clear, likely undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle. Image: Himawari-8 / Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA).
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10/08/2019 04:39 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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10/08/2019 05:24 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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10/08/2019 05:57 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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#Typhoon #HAGIBIS has been evolving overnight, looking like cinnabun, then half moon, but ever a healthy cyclone. Inner eyewall has now almost totally disintegrated, & huge muppet eye is about to emerge. Crazy to go from pinhole to this. Classic ERC (eyewall replacement cycle).
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 06:17 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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10/08/2019 07:54 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
UW-Madison CIMSS
@UWCIMSS
Typhoon #Hagabis is currently Cat 4 due to the recent eyewall replacement cycle seen in this 24-hour microwave loop. #TyphoonHagibis is expected to rebound back to Category 5 strength as the newer/larger eyewall intensifies. [link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]

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10/08/2019 07:54 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
bump
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Love, beauty and magic is everywhere when you take the time to take a deep breath, look around and feel.
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 08:51 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
The massive new eye is starting to clear out...

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Last Edited by Luisport on 10/08/2019 08:51 AM
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 09:16 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Anonymous Coward
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10/08/2019 09:22 AM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
The massive new eye is starting to clear out...

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 Quoting: Luisport


impressive cool2
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10/08/2019 09:22 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 09:24 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
The massive new eye is starting to clear out...

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


impressive cool2
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23540256


If you look at the Euro Hagibis is expected to deepen substantially the next 48 hours and initialization was even off by 30mb, I still expect sub 900mb.
I wouldn't downplay how strong Hagibis will be nearing Japan, usually they come in weaker but this should maintain Major intensity for a very long time.


Last Edited by Luisport on 10/08/2019 09:28 AM
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 09:31 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 09:49 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Anonymous Coward
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10/08/2019 09:50 AM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
The massive new eye is starting to clear out...

[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


impressive cool2
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23540256


If you look at the Euro Hagibis is expected to deepen substantially the next 48 hours and initialization was even off by 30mb, I still expect sub 900mb.
I wouldn't downplay how strong Hagibis will be nearing Japan, usually they come in weaker but this should maintain Major intensity for a very long time.

 Quoting: Luisport


Looks like similar track/intensity to this one

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Typhoon Vera, also known as the Isewan Typhoon (伊勢湾台風 Ise-wan Taifū), was an exceptionally intense tropical cyclone that struck Japan in September 1959, becoming the strongest and deadliest typhoon on record to make landfall on the country.

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Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 09:53 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Geeezzzz.....

Last Edited by Luisport on 10/08/2019 09:53 AM
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 09:56 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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10/08/2019 10:10 AM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14


Not looking good for Tokyo

hiding
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10/08/2019 10:12 AM
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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Oh shit
I only seek the truth n nothing but the truth!

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Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 10:17 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 10:18 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Hagibis is going to be putting on a show today, recent frames show the eye is clearing and some tightening of the new eye looks to be happening I think we will be at 145-150kts in 6-10 hours.
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 11:17 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Philip Klotzbach
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#Hagibis has now been a #supertyphoon (max winds >=150 mph) for the past 36 hours - the most consecutive hours that a supertyphoon has been present in the western North Pacific so far this #typhoon season. #SuperTyphoonHagibis
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 11:51 AM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 02:38 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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10/08/2019 02:41 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14

@SimonStormRider
1 hHá 1 hora
Mais
Large 'eye' of #Hagibis 'opening', bc subsidence (sinking air) inside area bound by the new larger eyewall (aka 'eye') is strengthening & evaporating the updrafts & cloud debris from old, pinhole eye:
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Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 03:29 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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Hagibis is likely strengthening again, after completing an eyewall replacement cycle. It’s new eyewall is much larger and is surrounded by a solid donut of very cold convection. The eye continues to clear
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10/08/2019 03:40 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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@WxTca
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Hagibis is likely strengthening again, after completing an eyewall replacement cycle. It’s new eyewall is much larger and is surrounded by a solid donut of very cold convection. The eye continues to clear

 Quoting: Luisport


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the eye alone is as big as most Japan hiding
Job 37:13 He causeth it to come, whether for correction, or for his land, or for mercy.
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 03:58 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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@WxTca
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Mais
Hagibis is likely strengthening again, after completing an eyewall replacement cycle. It’s new eyewall is much larger and is surrounded by a solid donut of very cold convection. The eye continues to clear

 Quoting: Luisport


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the eye alone is as big as most Japan hiding
 Quoting: Goofy for God


I'm very worried with Toquio. It this typhoon will be like Vera it will be a huge catastrophe!
Luisport  (OP)

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10/08/2019 04:07 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
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hesright
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10/08/2019 04:42 PM

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Re: Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
CURRENT ESTIMATE
Date (mmddhhmm): 10081203
SATCON: MSLP = 910 hPa MSW = 149 knots
SATCON Member Consensus: 142.0 knots
Pressure -> Wind Using SATCON MSLP: 140 knots
Distance to Outer Closed Isobar Used is 235 nm
Eye Size Correction Used is 7.5 knots Source: IR

Member Estimates

ADT: 915 hPa 135 knots Scene: CDO Date: OCT081430
CIMSS AMSU: 897 hPa 156 knots Bias Corr: 0 (MW) Date: 10081203
ATMS: 928.0 hPa 126.6 knots Date: 10071524
SSMIS: 915.0 hPa 135.0 knots Date: 10080905
CIRA ATMS: 939 hPa 111 knots Date: 10071616



Hagibis is doing what I expected this morning, strengthening back to a stronger Cat 5 before the ewrc, getting close to sub 900mb, seems to be around 909mb currently and dropping, unless an ewrc happens I still expect 145-150kts in the coming hours this evening and a peak between 180-200mph sub 900mb storm eventually.





GLP