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Message Subject Super Typhoon Hagibis: 81 people dead, with 10 missing and 200 injured. Abe plans to declare Hagibis a 'severe disaster'!!!p14
Poster Handle Luisport
Post Content
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 20W (HAGIBIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TY 20W IS UNDERGOING EXTREME
RAPID INTENSIFICATION (ERI: 55KTS IN 24HRS) FROM 50KTS AT 060600Z TO
THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 130 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS A COMPACT AND SHARPLY-OUTLINED EYEWALL WITH A
PINHOLE 5NM EYE. THE MSI LOOP ALSO SHOWS THE SPIRAL RAIN BANDS ARE
WRAPPING VERY TIGHTLY TOWARD THE EYEWALL RESULTING IN A
SUPER-CONDENSE AND SYMMETRIC SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
RADIAL OUTFLOW (PLUS VERY STRONG EQUATORWARD AND EASTWARD BIASES)
WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). SST VALUES OF 29-30C AND HIGH
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES ALSO SUPPORT THE ERI. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
IS HELD ON THE HIGH END OF AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM
T5.5/102KTS TO T7.0/140KTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG
THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO
THE NORTH.
 
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