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TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7

 
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 04:50 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
it's NAM but... [link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 04:51 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
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Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 04:58 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
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Anonymous Coward
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10/17/2019 04:58 PM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
 Quoting: Luisport


973 mb

[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 04:59 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7


On the 3k NAM the squall-line re-strengthens over the SC/NC. Ooof.

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Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 05:00 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation of
up to 5 feet above ground level beginning Friday along the Florida
Gulf Coast from Indian Pass to Clearwater, where a Storm Surge
Warning is in effect. Residents in these areas should follow advice
given by local officials.

2. Tropical storm force winds are likely by Friday afternoon along
portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast, where tropical storm
watches and warnings are in effect. Regardless of the exact track
and intensity of the system, these winds will cover a large area,
especially east of the center.
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 05:02 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
Updated prediction.
PTC 16 Becomes subtropical storm Nestor tonight. This system makes landfall near Panama city with winds of 50 mph and gusts to 65. Severe and tornado threat south to fort myers. Coastal flooding down to the mouth of Tampa Bay. Wind gusts to 40 mph as far south as Satasota. 4-6 inch rains over the big bend and 1-3 for the bay area. 1-2 for central and east central florida .
NOLAangel

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10/17/2019 05:34 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
 Quoting: Luisport


Nothing would surprise me this time of year, for Florida. Hurricane Michael, last year did a whole lot of damage. Let's hope this stays mild.
Put God as the head of your life and everything else will work out.
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 06:00 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
From the 5pm discussion for PTC16.

"One change from the
previous global model guidance is the the ECMWF and GFS have backed
off of their forecasts of a separate baroclinic low to the north of
the disturbance. Instead, the global models are in reasonable
agreement that the disturbance, along with whatever vorticity
centers form along the front, will be part of a large low pressure
area that will affect portions of the northern Gulf coast and the
southeastern United States."
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 06:15 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 06:16 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
National Hurricane Center
✔
@NHC_Atlantic
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect along the Florida Gulf Coast from Indian Pass to Clearwater Beach where there is a danger of life-threatening storm surge of up to 5 ft above ground level. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local officials. #Sixteen
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 06:19 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
National Hurricane Center
✔
@NHC_Atlantic
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect along the Florida Gulf Coast from Indian Pass to Clearwater Beach where there is a danger of life-threatening storm surge of up to 5 ft above ground level. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local officials. #Sixteen
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


[link to twitter.com (secure)]

@NHC_Atlantic
Seguir Seguir @NHC_Atlantic
Mais
Potential Tropical Cyclone #Sixteen is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches from the central Gulf Coast and northern and central Florida to the eastern Carolinas, with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches.
Anonymous Coward
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10/17/2019 06:22 PM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
But I havent had read enough important posts from the Japan typhoon!
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 06:37 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
NWS in Ruskin is calling for gusts of 43mph for the Tampa area tomorrow night and 47mph on Sauturday
Luisport  (OP)

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10/17/2019 06:43 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
From the Miami NWS Disco...

The National Hurricane Center continues to issue updates about the
latest developments of the potential cyclone in the Gulf, which will
be the main player in the outcome of the weekend weather. Models are
in fair agreement in bringing the system in the Gulf near the region
by late Friday, with the aforementioned frontal boundary across
Central Florida gradually retreating northward as a warm front. This
will in turn allow the region to be in the warm sector for the
friday Night-saturday morning timeframe.

In general, and regardless of how close to the area the potential
cyclone may get, expect increasing thunderstorm activity across
SoFlo starting Friday night with the strongest cells capable of
producing gusty winds, dangerous lightning and locally heavy
rainfall. A few funnel clouds or waterspouts are also possible.
Anonymous Coward
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10/17/2019 06:45 PM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
I'm down in Clearwater area. It's 77 degrees and I'm so cold I need a jacket. I dont think it's coming near here.
Ohio chic

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10/17/2019 07:46 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
I’m in Sanibel right now :(
Peace, Love & Prayers
God bless America
And YES. I am a nurse!

SIDE NOTE- I find articles everywhere and post what I think GLP would like to know.
I do not necessarily believe or endorse some articles I find.
So do not bash the messenger
jt210

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10/17/2019 07:51 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
I’m in Sanibel right now :(
 Quoting: Ohio chic


You should be fine. A little cloudy and breezy on Saturday. So...

Party on!!

righton5

Last Edited by jt210 on 10/17/2019 07:51 PM
So, AOC was walking through the Bronx. She came upon a set of tracks. She said to herself, "Oh look, deer tracks." She looked again and said, "Oh wait, those are bear tracks". Pondered a little more and said, "Oh silly me, those are rabbit...." The train hit her.
Anonymous Coward
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10/17/2019 07:59 PM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
I'm currently sitting in the 8th floor of The Shores of Panama waiting for the storm. The gulf is a lake without waves and the sky is very gray. Leaving tomorrow evening at 7 30 pm.
MissCleo

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10/17/2019 08:24 PM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
This storm will be bringing me well needed rain in NC.
Op blows
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10/17/2019 11:46 PM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
STFU stain
Anonymous Coward
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10/17/2019 11:52 PM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
As of now, Tampa Bay is fine....


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serkok

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10/18/2019 03:24 AM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
bump
“In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.” - George Orwell
Richnick

User ID: 77486394
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10/18/2019 04:18 AM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
bump
Goofy for God
For by Him All Things Were Created

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10/18/2019 04:21 AM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
As always thank you for thread.


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this might change hiding
Job 37:13 He causeth it to come, whether for correction, or for his land, or for mercy.
Richnick

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10/18/2019 04:47 AM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- TALLAHASSEE
- WOODVILLE
- BRADFORDVILLE

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
- PEAK WIND FORECAST: 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH

- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO
57 MPH
- THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM
FORCE DUE TO POSSIBLE FORECAST CHANGES IN TRACK, SIZE, OR
INTENSITY.
- PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND
Inhuman Deviant

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10/18/2019 04:51 AM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
I'll lay on my balcony enjoying any wind, and the sound of the crashing waves here on Perdido Key/Pensacola.
Inhuman Deviant
KTee

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10/18/2019 05:12 AM

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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
Thanks Luisport


Live on the west coast of Florida, 30 mi N of Tampa.

I'll be keeping a close eye on this.

Water temps are 84+ degrees. It could develop faster than forecasted.

This buoy is all ready reporting 6.6 ft. waves.


[link to www.ndbc.noaa.gov (secure)]


5stars_4_u

bump
 Quoting: Remedial_Rebel


Looks like a messy storm for us here around Tampa. Hope it doesn't get any worse.
Act, and you shall have dinner; wait, and you shall BE dinner.
-Gowron, Klingon proverb, Star Trek: Deep Space Nine
Anonymous Coward
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10/18/2019 05:17 AM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
Not much variance predicted
[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]



Potential Tropical Cyclone SIXTEEN
As of 06:00 UTC Oct 18, 2019:

Location: 24.1°N 93.2°W
Maximum Winds: 35 kt Gusts: 45 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1008 mb
Radius of Circulation: 160 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 100 NM

Looks like its coming right at the observatory.

.
Anonymous Coward
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10/18/2019 05:19 AM
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Re: TROPICAL STORM NESTOR: Nestor triggered tornadoes in Florida leaving damage, thousands without power!!!p7
Lived in the panhandle for 45 years.

No one is even a little concerned about this storm.

We have stronger thunderstorms in May then this little system will produce.

To back that shit up-

Were setting Trusses with a crane before the rain gets here this morning!

Back to your regularly scheduled doom and gloom tard ride!





GLP