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SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5

 
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 06:08 AM
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SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
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Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1216 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2019

Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA TO NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms capable of strong wind gusts are expected
across much of the eastern US today -- particularly from areas along
and east of the central and southern Appalachians to the mid
Atlantic and Carolinas coastal areas.


...Discussion...

Strong mid-level short-wave trough is forecast to eject across the
MS Valley into the OH Valley by 01/00z as 130kt 500mb speed max
translates into OH. In response, intense 12hr 500mb height falls,
approaching 130m, will overspread areas immediately ahead of the
short wave. Very strong large-scale forcing for ascent is expected
to contribute to a band of frontal convection that will surge across
the Central/Southern Appalachians into the Middle
Atlantic/Carolinas.

Early this morning, moistening boundary layer was advancing north
across the Gulf States and Carolinas where 70F dew points are now
evident. This air mass is expected to move into portions of southern
VA prior to frontal passage. Additionally, LLJ is forecast to
strengthen across KY by sunrise then shift east of the higher
terrain by late afternoon in response to the progressive trough.
While pre-frontal boundary layer conditions will gradually moisten
through the period, forecast lapse rates will limit buoyancy within
a strongly sheared environment. Even so, forecast soundings ahead of
the wind shift suggest convection that develops along the front will
be at, or near-surface based as far north as the NY/PA border.
Earlier thoughts regarding the prospect for damaging winds with a
frontal squall line remain. Latest thinking is frontal convection
will begin to increase in coverage/intensity by 18z from eastern KY
into southwest PA, then an upward-evolving squall line with
potentially damaging winds should surge east toward the Delmarva,
extending south into southern VA, possibly into NC by early evening.
Linear storm mode certainly favors straight-line wind damage as
storm motions are forecast to be quite fast. A few embedded
tornadoes can not be ruled out due to the strength of the wind
fields.

..Darrow/Bentley.. 10/31/2019
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 06:11 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/31/2019 06:17 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
An enhanced risk for severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes, is in place for portions of the Mid Atlantic tomorrow, October 31st. Please check back for updates at [link to www.spc.noaa.gov (secure)] …
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/31/2019 06:18 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 06:20 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


DOOOOOOOMMMMM LOUIE LOUIE is BAAAAAACK
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/31/2019 06:21 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
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Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 06:24 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


Today is your day Count Doomula !
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 06:25 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


Today is your day Count Doomula !
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77989930


TODAY IS LOUIE DOOOOOOOOOOOM DAY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/31/2019 06:29 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


Today is your day Count Doomula !
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77989930


TODAY IS LOUIE DOOOOOOOOOOOM DAY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77609203


Sorry?
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 06:31 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


bump
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
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Turtle Flower

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10/31/2019 08:41 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


I'm in SC and this is the first I've heard of it. Thanks, Luis flower
"In order to arrive at what you are not,
You must go through the way in which you are not."

-TS Eliot

[link to www.turtlesvoice.com]

Momma Said Write A Book About It - New novel [link to www.amazon.com (secure)]

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Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/31/2019 08:47 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


I'm in SC and this is the first I've heard of it. Thanks, Luis flower
 Quoting: Turtle Flower


Take care! hf
Turtle Flower

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10/31/2019 11:35 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
Local news caught up to you Luis, they are saying we could drop over 30 degrees in a couple hours this evening, which wouldn't suck as it's 80 out there right now. Strong winds and possible thunder storms, but I heard it from you first. The clouds out there are zipping across the sky right now, and we're having some decent wind gusts.
"In order to arrive at what you are not,
You must go through the way in which you are not."

-TS Eliot

[link to www.turtlesvoice.com]

Momma Said Write A Book About It - New novel [link to www.amazon.com (secure)]

[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 11:44 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
Watched the weather this AM, and glad I did. Going to have super sustained high winds later today/tomrrow. For winds not associated with a left over Hurricane or a massive Northeaster that reaches way inland that is VERY unusual for here.

The good news is that hopefully these winds will clear out many, hopefuylly most, of the weak branches of trees BEFORE we are in hard winter weather so that for the people who have branches /trees that come down cutting off their electric it is NOT during freezing weather condition.

Nature doing it's thing ... cleaning out the weak so that the strong can survive and grow.
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 11:52 AM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport



Anybody who ain't got their eyes on the weather and the immediate or even short-term forecast deserves whatever they get.
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 12:39 PM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5

Tornado Warning continues for Pennington Gap VA, Dryden VA, Jonesville VA until 12:30 PM EDT


Tornado Warning including New Tazewell TN, Tazewell TN, Pennington Gap VA until 12:30 PM EDT
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 12:53 PM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
A tornado watch has been issued for parts of KY, NC, TN, VA, WV until 7 PM EDT

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
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10/31/2019 12:54 PM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
NWS SPC
✔
@NWSSPC
11:14am CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Enhanced Risk: parts of nc, va, wv, md, dc, pa [link to go.usa.gov]
Oaken Paw
It's the wood that makes it good

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10/31/2019 12:55 PM

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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
I'm in Southwest VA.

UGH
Everything has got to be a THING today
Penny Peppers

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10/31/2019 12:57 PM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


I'm in SC and this is the first I've heard of it. Thanks, Luis flower
 Quoting: Turtle Flower


He's better than the paid forecaster actors
There's never a dull moment here on planet earth, unless GLP ceased to exist...

Oh, and Biden can't dress himself....
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 01:01 PM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
One day you'll get your doom Luis, one day...I know that you're impatient, but good things come to those who wait
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76937792


I don't want doom, i just want to warn people and get them informed.
 Quoting: Luisport


I'm in SC and this is the first I've heard of it. Thanks, Luis flower
 Quoting: Turtle Flower


He's better than the paid forecaster actors
 Quoting: Penny Peppers


I hope so... afro
Arnie

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10/31/2019 01:06 PM

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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
I personal-pin all of Luisport's threads;
he has information from everywhere, with real people in the areas commenting. Better than the weather channel...he keeps us all very well informed with hurricane / weather / fire

meerghug
AKA Auntie Arnie
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 01:24 PM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
WOUS64 KWNS 311713
WOU5

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 685
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
113 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2019

TORNADO WATCH 685 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

WVC001-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-039-041-043-045-04​7-055-059-063-067-075-081-083-085-087-089-091-095-097-101-105​-109-312300-
/O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0685.000000T0000Z-191031T2300Z/

WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
FAYETTE GILMER GREENBRIER
HARRISON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MCDOWELL
MERCER MINGO MONROE
NICHOLAS POCAHONTAS RALEIGH
RANDOLPH RITCHIE ROANE
SUMMERS TAYLOR TYLER
UPSHUR WEBSTER WIRT
WYOMING
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
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Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 01:42 PM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
Tornado Watch
Expires: 10/31/19 7:00 PM EDT

WOUS64 KWNS 311713
WOU5

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 685
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
113 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2019

TORNADO WATCH 685 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NCC005-009-189-312300-
/O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0685.000000T0000Z-191031T2300Z/

NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGHANY ASHE WATAUGA
Boaty

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10/31/2019 01:43 PM

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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
Snowing here in Wisconsin.
````````````````
````__/\__``````
~~~\____/~~~~
.~~..~~~....~​~~
~..~~~....~~~~

Thoughts do not come from you nor God; you do not create thoughts; you are not your thoughts; every thought is a lie.
- 2 Corinthians 10:5 - [link to www.biblegateway.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
The weather is fake.
Anonymous Coward
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10/31/2019 01:46 PM
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
Good. Maybe those candy beggers will stay home tonight.
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Re: SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE: Upstate [New York] man found dead after flash flood sweeps him away!!!p5
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GLP