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Coronavirus**Study: Asypmtomatic Carriers Shed 21 Days, Have Mild Illness, Cause Severe Illness p184...6 More DP in US Today p183

 
NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 09:01 AM

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h/t commonground

[link to oklahoman.com (secure)]

Juvenile patient among 7 new flu deaths reported this week across Oklahoma

Excerpt:

Published: Fri, February 14, 2020 1:04 AM Updated: Fri, February 14, 2020 1:23 AM

-snip-

3rd Coronavirus test negative

A third person in Oklahoma has tested negative for the coronavirus, according to the Oklahoma State Department of Health.

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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 09:04 AM

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h/t gsgs

This is a link to the archives for the old FluWiki site. There are a LOT of good prepping threads if anyone needs some advice.

[link to magictour.free.fr]
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02/14/2020 09:06 AM

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Chinese Health Commission: Nearly 2,000 Chinese medical staff were infected by the virus and 6 died

Washington —

A senior Chinese health official announced Friday (February 14) that 1,716 medical workers were infected during the fight against the coronavirus, of which 6 died.

Zeng Yixin, deputy director of the National Health Committee of China, said at a press conference on Friday afternoon that 1,716 cases of medical cases were reported across the country, accounting for 3.8% of the nation's confirmed cases, of which 6 people died unfortunately.
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 09:11 AM

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JAPAN

[link to www3.nhk.or.jp (secure)]


Taxi driver with new virus infection attends New Year party with 100 people


February 14, 2020 16:25 New type pneumoniaLast month, about 100 Japanese men in their 70s who lived in Tokyo who were confirmed to be infected are the sons-in-law of a woman in her 80s living in Kanagawa prefecture who died from the new coronavirus. Was attending the New Year's party where people gather. The Tokyo Metropolitan Government is investigating the route of infection.

According to officials of the taxi union branch to which the driver belongs, the confirmed driver was participating in a taxi union branch New Year's Party on 18th of last month.

The New Year's party was held on a chartered houseboat, and about 100 people, including their drivers and their families, participated.

Also, after the New Year's party, several participants complained of fever and other symptoms, and one of the drivers who had been infected was hospitalized with pneumonia and was later discharged.



This is not saying 100 new confirmed, I think it's just a result of the translation.
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02/14/2020 09:12 AM

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New virus confirmed infected in Okinawa


February 14, 2020 15:45 New type pneumonia It has been confirmed that taxi drivers living in Okinawa Prefecture are infected with the new coronavirus. This is the first case of infection confirmed in Kyushu and Okinawa, and this woman may have been in contact with passengers when the Diamond Princess, a cruise ship with a confirmed outbreak of the new coronavirus, called at Naha Port. Is high.

According to the Okinawa prefecture, the new coronavirus was confirmed to be a 60-year-old taxi driver living in the prefecture.
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 09:14 AM

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JAPAN

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New virus confirmed infection of two people involved in taxi drivers in Tokyo

February 14, 2020 17:29New type pneumoniaThe Tokyo Metropolitan Government held a press conference and revealed that two people living in Tokyo had been newly infected with the new coronavirus. Both of them are men involved in taxi drivers who were confirmed infected on the 13th.

The Tokyo Metropolitan Government revealed this at a press conference on the evening of the 14th.

According to that, it was confirmed that two people living in Tokyo were newly infected with the new coronavirus.

Both men were found to be infected on the 13th, and were involved in a male taxi driver living in Tokyo. One was an employee of a houseboat, which was the venue for the New Year's party where the driver participated. Is an employee of a taxi union branch.

They are hospitalized, but they are not seriously ill.
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 09:25 AM

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New virus confirmed infected in Okinawa


February 14, 2020 15:45 New type pneumonia It has been confirmed that taxi drivers living in Okinawa Prefecture are infected with the new coronavirus. This is the first case of infection confirmed in Kyushu and Okinawa, and this woman may have been in contact with passengers when the Diamond Princess, a cruise ship with a confirmed outbreak of the new coronavirus, called at Naha Port. Is high.

According to the Okinawa prefecture, the new coronavirus was confirmed to be a 60-year-old taxi driver living in the prefecture.
 Quoting: NawtyBits


[link to www.scmp.com (secure)]

The driver in her 60s was believed to have driven passengers when the ship made a port call in Okinawa on February 1.

[snip]

The driver was highly likely to have come into contact with someone on the Diamond Princess
when it made a stop in Naha, the capital of Okinawa Prefecture, on February 1,
said the local government.
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 09:31 AM

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JAPAN

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Coronavirus: infected taxi driver had contact with Diamond Princess passengers in Japan

A taxi driver believed to have had contact with passengers from the luxury Diamond Princess Cruise was among four new coronavirus
cases seen in Japan

on Friday, as the first passengers from the quarantined vessel were allowed to disembark.

[snip]

Officials also confirmed two new cases in Tokyo, both of whom had contact with a taxi driver in his 70s whose infection was announced on Thursday. One of the new cases was a worker on a boat where the Tokyo taxi driver had held a party on January 18 with his wife, the Tokyo government said.

The fourth person was a farmer in his 70s who was treated at a hospital in western Japan where a doctor was recently confirmed to have been infected, local officials said on Friday, adding that the two apparently never had any contact.


Wakayama Governor Yoshinobu Nisaka said, however, he did not think infections were spreading inside the Saiseikai Arida Hospital in Yuasa, where the man was briefly hospitalised from last week.

A local government official warned that infections could be spreading outside of the medical facility as the man developed symptoms before he visited the hospital on February 6.

[snip]

The new cases came as Japan on Friday began allowing elderly passengers on board the Diamond Princess who tested negative for the new coronavirus
to finish their isolation in government-designated lodging onshore.

Passengers aged 80 or older in poor health or confined to windowless inner cabins on the Diamond Princess were given the green light to move from the ship to accommodation on land.

The first of them departed the massive cruise ship on Friday afternoon, travelling in buses with blacked out windows.

At the wheel, one driver was dressed in a head-to-toe white protective suit, complete with goggles and mask.

A government official said 11 people had left, but declined to say whether more would depart Friday or offer further details.

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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 09:38 AM

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HONG KONG

[link to www.info.gov.hk (secure)]

Public hospital daily update on Wuhan-related cases
******************************************
The following is issued on behalf of the Hospital Authority:

As at noon today (February 14), public hospitals had reported to the Department of Health the admission of 36 patients (20 male and 16 female, aged 12 months to 93 years) in the past 24 hours who met the reporting criteria of severe respiratory disease associated with a novel infectious agent. Specimens of the patients concerned have been sent for testing. There are 114 patients under isolation currently.

The Hospital Authority will maintain close contact with the Centre for Health Protection to monitor the latest developments and to inform the public and healthcare workers on the latest information in a timely manner.

Ends/Friday, February 14, 2020
Issued at HKT 17:58
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Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2020 09:42 AM
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Re: Coronavirus**Study: Asypmtomatic Carriers Shed 21 Days, Have Mild Illness, Cause Severe Illness p184...6 More DP in US Today p183
So if 60% are to get infected 40% will not.

So if 2% mortality of infected, then total 1.2% of humanity will die.

That’s about the number that die each year anyway, isn’t it?

Will be a “double down” year for a year or so.

Not terribly alarming when viewed in that light.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 40081156


Yeah... 1.2 % when treated in hospitals. Do you have 1.2 bilion ventilators and oxygen concentrators? Not to mention 2 bilion IVs+ beds and service?
NawtyBits  (OP)

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Hong Kong

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DH appoints officers from disciplinary forces to assist in spot checks on persons under compulsory quarantine
*************************************************************​*****************
The Department of Health (DH) today (February 14) appointed officers from the Correctional Services Department (CSD), Hong Kong Customs and Excise Department (C&ED), the Fire Services Department (FSD) and the Immigration Department (ImmD) to assist in enforcing the Compulsory Quarantine of Certain Persons Arriving at Hong Kong Regulation (Cap 599C) so as to ensure that persons under compulsory quarantine stay at their dwelling places for the compulsory quarantine.

Apart from persons exempted under the Regulation, the DH will issue quarantine orders to all people (including Hong Kong residents, Mainland residents and visitors from other places) entering Hong Kong from the Mainland and people who have been to the Mainland in the past 14 days preceding arrival at Hong Kong (even if they enter Hong Kong via other places). People under quarantine should stay at home or the dwelling places for a 14-day compulsory quarantine. Health officers and police officers are both authorised to enforce the Regulation.

[snip]

Apart from conducting spot checks, the Government has various measures in place to monitor whether persons under quarantine are complying with the quarantine order. The Office of the Government Chief Information Officer can make use of a location-sharing function of communication software and video calls to monitor the location of those under compulsory quarantine. The DH also makes telephone calls to persons under quarantine to ensure that they are staying at their dwelling places.

All persons under quarantine must strictly comply with the quarantine order. The Government will demand anyone not staying at their place of quarantine at all times to either wear an electronic wristband or be transferred to a quarantine camp depending on the circumstances. The Government may consider prosecuting persons who do not comply with the quarantine order. People contravening the quarantine requirement are subject to a maximum penalty of imprisonment for six months and a fine of $25,000 upon conviction.

Ends/Friday, February 14, 2020
Issued at HKT 19:30
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Singapore

[link to www.channelnewsasia.com (secure)]

9 new COVID-19 cases in Singapore, including 6 linked to Grace Assembly of God cluster


SINGAPORE: Singapore reported nine more confirmed cases of COVID-19 on Friday (Feb 14), the Ministry of Health (MOH) said in a daily update.

Of them, six are linked to a cluster from the Grace Assembly of God church, director of medical services at MOH Kenneth Mak said at a press conference.

This brings the total number of novel coronavirus cases in Singapore to 67, with six patients in critical condition.
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 09:50 AM

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Singapore


[link to www.moh.gov.sg (secure)]


Two more confirmed cases of COVID-19 infection have been discharged from hospital today (Cases 30 and 45). In all, 17 have fully recovered from the infection and have been discharged from hospital.

[snip]

Links between previous cases found

3. Further epidemiological investigations and contact tracing have uncovered links between previously announced and new cases. This was made possible with the assistance of the Singapore Police Force.

Cases 8 and 9, as well as Cases 31, 33 and 38, are linked to The Life Church and Missions Singapore (146B Paya Lebar Road). This is a possible cluster involving five cases (Cases 8, 9, 31, 33 and 38).

Nine of the confirmed cases (Cases 19, 20, 21, 24, 25, 27, 28, 34 and 40) are linked to the cluster associated with Yong Thai Hang (24 Cavan Road).

Three of the confirmed cases (Cases 30, 36 and 39) are linked to the private business meeting held at Grand Hyatt Singapore from 20 to 22 January.

Four of the confirmed cases (Cases 42, 47, 52 and 56) are linked to the Seletar Aerospace Heights construction site.

Thirteen of the confirmed cases (Cases 48, 49, 51, 53, 54, 57 and 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 66, 67) are linked to the Grace Assembly of God.
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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Delaware

n/t commonground

[link to www.delmarvapublicradio.net (secure)]

UD Student Cleared of Coronavirus, Second Awaits Test Results

A student at the University of Delaware has tested negative for the coronavirus.

University officials say that the student is being released from the hospital and is doing well.

A second student is still awaiting results from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The Wilmington News Journal reports that the Division of Public Health is monitoring 13 people who came back from China.
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Japan

[link to www.straitstimes.com (secure)]



TOKYO - A surgeon and a patient at the same Wakayama hospital, near Osaka, have been infected with the coronavirus, officials said on Friday (Feb 14), with three other new cases surfacing in Tokyo and Okinawa.

[snip]

None of the new cases have cited any recent overseas travel, let alone to Wuhan, the epicentre of the outbreak. This has left officials perplexed as to how an emerging bunch of cases around Tokyo and in Wakayama - which borders Osaka - have occurred.
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5:15 pm Feb 14

77 COVID-19 clusters were confirmed in Beijing, among which 70 were family gatherings, according to an official from Beijing's disease control center

3:35 pm Feb 14

A total of six medical workers had died as a result of COVID-19 as of Tuesday, accounting for 0.4% of the total fatality rate; there are 1,716 infected medical workers in total, 3.8 percent of all infections: China’s top health authority

3:19 pm Feb 14

14 of 311 Chinese nationals were confirmed infected with #COVID19 on Diamond Princess cruise ship: Chinese Embassy in Japan


11:40 am Feb 14

Yunmeng County in #Hubei announced wartime controls would begin on Friday, making it the third area in the #COVID19-engulfed province to launched such measures, following Shiyan and Dawu.

11:15 am Feb 14

28 recovered COVID-19 patients were discharged from hospital in Shanghai on Friday. Six of them are willing to donate blood plasma for further research to combat novel coronavirus.
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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h/t shiloh

Another possible COVID-19 case in the South Bay


As of Friday morning, there’s been no word from county health officials about the person’s quarantine status or how they might have become infected.

There are a lot of questions Friday morning regarding a possible case of COVID-19 in the South Bay. A person was being evaluated at Sharp Chula Vista Medical Center and has been released.

Sharp Healthcare officials say a person under investigation for possible COVID-19 was discharged from Sharp Chula Vista Medical Center Wednesday, but that person is under supervision of county health officials. The health provider directed all additional questions to the county Health and Human Services agency.

As of Friday morning, there’s been no word from county health officials about the person’s quarantine status or how they might have become infected.

eta: [link to www.cbs8.com (secure)]

Last Edited by NawtyBits on 02/14/2020 11:36 AM
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 11:22 AM

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New CDC Numbers

[link to www.cdc.gov (secure)]

15 +

347 -

81 pending

443 total

States with PUI: 42
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NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 11:23 AM

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CDC telcon 12:30 eastern

I'll to get on it.
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NO Newsroom
@BNODesk
NEW: Honghu, a city in Hubei province, has been put on lockdown due to coronavirus, officials say

[link to twitter.com (secure)]



"wartime control measures"

Last Edited by NawtyBits on 02/14/2020 11:45 AM
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eve Lookner Retweeted
Yanzhong Huang
@YanzhongHuang

Situation in Wuhan seems more serious than we thought: more than 100,000 hospital beds are required by the 20th.

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Global Times
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The first 11 passengers aged over 80 on the quarantined cruise ship in Japan have disembarked and been taken to a university for quarantine after testing negative for #COVID19: Japanese report

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India

ANI
@ANI
Kerala Corona virus update: 130 people removed from the list of home quarantine. 2288 people under observation across the state. 2272 on in-home quarantine.408 samples sent for testing, 379 results negative; Condition of 16 people monitored in hospitals is stable

twitter

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Jeremy Konyndyk
@JeremyKonyndyk
·
1h
Very admirable candor from @CDCDirector
here:

- COVID19 likely to persist beyond this season
- Not at all under control
- Community transmission is likely
- May become endemic like seasonal flu

- But we lack the kind of countermeasures we have for flu

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

[link to edition.cnn.com (secure)]
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Jeremy Konyndyk
@JeremyKonyndyk
·
1h
Very admirable candor from @CDCDirector
here:

- COVID19 likely to persist beyond this season
- Not at all under control
- Community transmission is likely
- May become endemic like seasonal flu

- But we lack the kind of countermeasures we have for flu

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

[link to edition.cnn.com (secure)]
 Quoting: NawtyBits


Jeremy Konyndyk
@JeremyKonyndyk
Replying to
@JeremyKonyndyk
and
@CDCDirector
In perspective: best available data suggest this virus is ~2x as transmissible as flu and ~10-20x as deadly. Community transmission could be extremely dangerous.

eremy Konyndyk
@JeremyKonyndyk
Replying to
@JeremyKonyndyk

@CDCDirector
and
@CGDev
Over the past few days there has been a distinct shift in USG messaging on COVID19 - no longer "risk to the US is low." Much more frankness on what could be coming - very constructive. Kudos.

Jeremy Konyndyk
@JeremyKonyndyk
·
15m
Replying to
@JeremyKonyndyk
What I still do wish they’d say more explicitly is that this is the bat-signal (pun definitely intended) to frontline health systems to begin gearing up for a coming surge. And that Congress should urgently pony up money to facilitate that.
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WWJBD-What Would Jimmy Buffett Do

"If it's wet and not yours, don't touch it." Oregon H1N1 Summit speaker
NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 12:02 PM

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Re: Coronavirus**Study: Asypmtomatic Carriers Shed 21 Days, Have Mild Illness, Cause Severe Illness p184...6 More DP in US Today p183
Global Times
@globaltimesnews

The Chinese banking regulator ordered Friday banks to offer more loans covering a wider range of small and micro-sized businesses amid the outbreak of novel #coronavirus pneumonia, as many face a cash crunch due to business suspensions.

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I am a professional paranormal investigator, evidence posted on my Facebook page:

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WWJBD-What Would Jimmy Buffett Do

"If it's wet and not yours, don't touch it." Oregon H1N1 Summit speaker
NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 12:10 PM

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Re: Coronavirus**Study: Asypmtomatic Carriers Shed 21 Days, Have Mild Illness, Cause Severe Illness p184...6 More DP in US Today p183
QuickTake by Bloomberg
@QuickTake
A taxi driver in Bangkok who was the first identified case of human-to-human transmission of the #coronavirus in Thailand has recovered and is back at work.

He spoke to China's state broadcaster CCTV about not harboring blame

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I am a professional paranormal investigator, evidence posted on my Facebook page:

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WWJBD-What Would Jimmy Buffett Do

"If it's wet and not yours, don't touch it." Oregon H1N1 Summit speaker
NawtyBits  (OP)

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02/14/2020 12:27 PM

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Re: Coronavirus**Study: Asypmtomatic Carriers Shed 21 Days, Have Mild Illness, Cause Severe Illness p184...6 More DP in US Today p183
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WHO underestimates the spread of the Coronavirus

The coronavirus probably has a stronger ability to spread than the World Health Organization has estimated so far. This according to a review of previous studies of the coronavirus' transmissibility performed not least by researchers at Umeå University in Sweden.

"Our review shows that the coronavirus is at least as transmissible as the SARS virus. And that says a great deal about the seriousness of the situation," says Joacim Rocklöv, professor of sustainable health at Umeå University and one of the authors of the study, published in the scientific Journal of Travel Medicine.

The World Health Organization estimates that the coronavirus has a transmissibility, expressed as a reproduction number, of between 1.4 and 2.5

[snip]

The earliest studies of the coronavirus indicated a relatively low transmissibility. Thereafter, the transmissibility rose rapidly to stabilise between 2-3 in the most recent studies. The reproduction number in the studies summed up to a mean of 3.28, and a median of 2.79, which is significantly higher than the World Health Organization's estimation of 1.4-2.5.

"When looking at the development of the corona epidemic, reality seems to correspond well to or even exceed the highest epidemic growth in our calculations. Despite all intervention and control activities, the coronavirus has already spread to a significantly higher extent than SARS did," says Joacim Rocklöv.
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WWJBD-What Would Jimmy Buffett Do

"If it's wet and not yours, don't touch it." Oregon H1N1 Summit speaker
Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2020 12:34 PM
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Re: Coronavirus**Study: Asypmtomatic Carriers Shed 21 Days, Have Mild Illness, Cause Severe Illness p184...6 More DP in US Today p183
Didn't see this on this thread, apologies if it's a dup. Have been going back and forth this morning.

Thread: Exclusive: Chinese doctors say Wuhan coronavirus reinfection even deadlier

That thread is about reinfection of the virus, which was admitted in the SCMP (Chinese official news) awhile ago. This, out of Taiwan, says the "reinfection" is worse than the original illness. First the links.

[link to www.scmp.com (secure)]

[link to www.taiwannews.com.tw (secure)]

Now, a very important idea that has me just about ill. You know that HIV has stages. It's described in an African paper, which I'll try to dig up for you. First stage, flu-like, similar symptoms to this corona virus, BTW. About 4 weeks.

Then the silent phase. No symptoms.

Third phase is the killer. This is concerning, because AIDS is very slow - can take a decade or more to kill. This one seems faster, but we may just be seeing tip of iceberg.

[link to www.scmp.com (secure)]

There are other reports, from medical authorities, but this one has the symptoms and events clearly delineated.

Except for the rash. A couple people I know developed what looked like measles spots - or acne -- but they didn't have that. Wonder if that's what this looks like. No doubt in my mind that we have it here, just wonder if we'll just carry on a decade or more before we croak.
Woodenboat

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02/14/2020 12:47 PM

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Re: Coronavirus**Study: Asypmtomatic Carriers Shed 21 Days, Have Mild Illness, Cause Severe Illness p184...6 More DP in US Today p183
Do not violate the International Health Regulations during the COVID-19 outbreak

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"...countries cannot implement additional health measures exclusively as a precaution but must rather ground their decision making in “scientific principles”, “scientific evidence”, and “advice from WHO”.1 Many of the travel restrictions being implemented during the COVID-19 outbreak are not supported by science or WHO. Travel restrictions for these kinds of viruses have been challenged by public health researchers,4,  5,  6 and WHO has advised against travel restrictions, arguing they cause more harm than good."

Thoughts: The problem is that the virus is spreading faster than either science or the ability of the WHO to make the right decisions. The IHR would rather see all humanity perish together rather than any one nation survive, because, you know, racism.





GLP