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Message Subject
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WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
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Poster Handle
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Anonymous Coward |
Post Content
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For the curious ones that are anxiously waiting the new numbers from China :
The total number of confirmed cases that will be reported next by the Chinese government will be 8,099, give it a 1-2% error.
The REAL and total number of the infected people (asymptomatic and confirmed) in China is roughly 700,000 people, most of them in the 1-2 day incubation period.
Quoting: deplorable recollector Assuming by today there are 700,000 infected in China, and the outbreak began the first week of December, the daily multiplier would be 1.261 or a monthly multiplier of 1,050. That being said, SARS had a RO of 2.4 in China, and dropped to approximately 0.7 in the developed world. If 2019-nCoV has a RO of 3.8 in China, the RO in the 1st World should be around 1.11 - assuming the effect of distance, cleanliness, and protective measures affect nCoV as they did with SARS. A RO of 1.11 is a monthly multiplier of 1.5X infected.
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