Hi OP,

I've been following your thread since the beginning. Thanks for providing your detailed analysis.

Regarding your latest projection - I agree about the Fall season.

The one thing that can make a substantial differnece is if everyone shifts to N95 masks. Even KN95 masks would work for most cases.

If even half of the people (the maskers) and not the anti-maksers wore their masks that should break the back of this virus. What happens if you have a 50-60% reduction in carrier vector with an R0 4.4-6.7. It then becomes 2.2 - 3.3; Add in the already existing and immune people and you drop down closer to or hopefully under 1.

How do we get people to wear N95s! these cloth masks where everyone has to wear masks to protect other people is just plain stupid. It helps just a little bit but when viewed in the big picture it is not enough.