One small addendum, since I see many people arguing that we test now more.


Do we test more today then back in March? Yes, absolutely. About 3 times more.

Do we test more today then 6 weeks ago? No, we don't.


6 weeks ago, Europe daily new cases were under 40k.

Today, we will hit 150k.

A 4 times increase in cases in 6 weeks. Talk about exponential, something that most people still don't understand.


The new daily cases in 2 weeks from now will be in the range of 250k, in Europe. And that is an optimistic number.


We are now, at the beginning of second wave and cold season, ABOVE with the PEAK of first wave, in most European countries.

I will triple the peaks in Spring, to account for 3 times more testing :


The 7 day moving average in France was peaking in the spring at 4,537. Triple that and we get 13,611. It is 17,936 yesterday.

U.K. : 4,999. Triple that. 15,000. They were yesterday at
15,766.

Belgium : 1,453, triple that to 4,359. They were yesterday at 5,564.

Netherlands : 1,120, tripled to 3,360. They were yesterday at 6,596.

Romania, Poland, Ukraine, Czechia...MUCH WORSE then that.


Only Italy makes an exception...but they will quickly catch up, because exponential factor. They were couple weeks behind a month ago, they are now maybe a week behind.


It started guys. Make no mistake about it.