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What are the chances of a war between Ukraine and Russia?
If you had asked me 2 days ago, I would say pretty damn high. As of today, I can say it is a 100% chance that an armed conflict between Ukraine and Russia to take place, and sooner rather then later.
Russia CANNOT, I repeat, CANNOT afford to lose Crimea, and they will do everything to keep it.
To understand why Crimea is so important, please watch this video :
The geopolitical and strategic positioning of Crimea is but the main reason why a war is about to start between Ukraine and Russia.
Yesterday, Turkey basically said they are with Ukraine against Russia. Turkey, obviously, had the U.S. support on this.
Turkey doesn't give a flying fuck who controls Crimea...as long as it's not Russia. If it's the U.S., or better yet, a U.S. puppet-state called Ukraine that controls Crimea, the better.
Ukraine is a poor country, and they will control Crimea only in name, not in reality.
The second reason why the war is inevitable, is NWO desire to destabilize, or control, or even economically destroy Russia.
The 3rd reason is that the NWO wants to destroy any form of private business in Europe and U.S. The pandemic didn't managed to do it (yet), and if it did, it was only partial and not as much as NWO wanted.
A war that involves Russia will easily throw Europe in an economic crisis (just imagine how much oil and methane gas comes from Russia, which won't come once war starts and NATO is getting involved), which will have a great impact on U.S. economy.
The question is not if the war start, the question is, in my opinion, when and where does it end.
Best case scenario is Russia stopping at current border between separatists and Ukraine, basically securing Crimea and Azov Sea, much safer then it does it now. Obviously, the separatist areas in Ukraine, once under Russian military control, will have a referendum, and Russia gains new territories.
I don't see the above scenario happening, because no side involved (UKR, Russia, NATO, Turkey) will accept such an outcome.
The next "best" case scenario is Russia stomping UKR so hard, and moving so fast in occupying almost half of the Ukraine (the entire Donbass, Lugansk, going beyond Dnieper river) on a line that will stretch (and include) the following cities : Kharkov, Dnipro, Kryvyi Rih, Mikolaiv and Odessa.
If Russia manages to do this in a very short time, NATO will most likely not intervene militarily against Russia. Turkey is the wild card here (they will send their mercenaries from Syria, for sure), but I don't think they are that dumb to actually send the Turkish army against Russia.
Such a scenario is not very likely to happen. Russia is a behemoth compared to Ukraine, but will they be able to move to such an extent fast enough to discourage NATO to intervene (at least for a number of years) ?
What is REALLY WORRYING about this imminent war is that higher up in the US and NATO military actually BELIEVE that Russia can be defeated in a conventional war.
Whether they are right or not, if they actually get NATO in a direct war with Russia, with the INTENT of defeating Russia (using UKR, Poland and Turkey ground troops, and missile installations deployed on Romania's Black Sea shores), Russia will use at least tactical nukes against any NATO troops and strategic assets in the region.
If NATO still doesn't back the fuck down after this, the entire Europe will be targeted by Russian nukes.
This war against Russia was planned a long time ago, and it will start in a matter of weeks. Probably 2-3 weeks tops.
If it doesn't end FAST, with a CLEAR and DECISIVE Russian victory, before NATO is able to intervene (and I mean intervene significantly, not just some spy drones that delivers targets to UKR), the war will become regional, involving at least Russia, Belarus, UKR, Poland, Romania and Turkey.
If it drags on, and Turkey needs to defend against Russia, Greece will absolutely seize the opportunity.
Guys, what is taking place now in the region, is not a joke.
One of the targets that Russia considers a priority is the airport in my home town, which is basically a NATO airport (all upgrades in place to serve a high volume of flights, and any type of plane, no matter how big), but officially is a civilian airport.
It is 40 km off Ukraine, and it is the most eastern NATO airport in the region.
If and when they will suspend all civilian traffic, or if I see higher then normal military traffic, I'll make sure you guys get a heads-up, because things will go south really fast, and no matter where in the world you live, it will be the time to stock up, because the economy is going to get fucked, big time.
If my home town airport starts to be used by military, this means that the conflict will become regional, because the positioning doesn't have any strategic importance IF the war will be just in Eastern Ukraine.
Let's hope that this is just posturing in order to gain some leverage for some political gains.
But it doesn't look like it is. It really looks like this is it. Diplomacy failed, most likely because they (whoever they are, doesn't matter) wanted it to fail.
Quoting: deplorable recollector [ link to www.godlikeproductions.com] I remember when DR posted the above on 11 Apr 2021 when the whole world is still dropping jaws on India's Delta mass death and burning of corpse everywhere, I was thinking DR had totally lost his credibility and he is full of shit. His post is even way before Russia started her first exercise near Ukraine in Sep 2021. End up his prediction really came true. My only wish is that he is wrong on the Nuclear war part but I can't find any step down stone for both NATO and Russia to stop proceeding to the coming Nuclear war. Once again, thanks DR for giving me a head up on Covid and the coming Nuclear war. [ link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)] Zapad 2021 (Russian: Sep-2021) was a joint strategic exercise between the armed forces of the Russian Federation and Belarus, which took place from 10 to 15 September 2021. According to the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation, about 200,000 military personnel, up to 760 pieces of equipment and 15 ships took part in the exercises.[1]
My prediction was correct only on one single aspect : that a war between Russia and Ukraine will 100% happen. But I was wrong in many aspects, the most important one being Turkey siding with NATO. I couldn't have imagined that Russia can actually get Turkey on its side, because obviously Turkey is on Russia's side, given the multiple accords and meetings between the two. Turkey sending couple dozen Bayraktars to Ukraine (which everyone forgot about them, but at that point, every NATO stooge claimed that it's going to change things - which it didn't, Bayraktars proven to be ineffective in a very short time, because, since March, Ukraine didn't bought anymore of them from), and several dozens of APCs it's just making money, and in no way, shape or form would affect the outcome. The second aspect was Russia annexing Donetsk and Lugansk only. At that time, which was in April 2021, I didn't see the prospect of Russia going to annex more regions in Ukraine. The third one is half-half there. Russia did not stomped Ukraine (YET), taking over the cities of Kharkov, Dnipro, Kryvyi Rih, Mikolaiv and Odessa (YET), but as things look now, I will not put this possibility behind. As for the nuclear side...we are in the part of my prediction that considers that if this war doesn't end fast before NATO is able to intervene, and it seems that we are deep into this scenario, we are looking at an escalation that will extend the war over Ukraine borders, into Poland, Romania, Belarus and Baltic states. But there is STILL TIME for Russia to defeat Ukraine before NATO will be able to intervene, however, not much time, maybe 3-4 months. The main issue is that during this time, the U.S. is going to push Poland and Romania, as proxies, into the war against Russia, and if Russia doesn't respond decisively, the West gains another several months of using their new proxies (Poland and Romania) in war, so the U.S. will be able to move significant assets into the area, a move that will be matched by Russia. I don't think we're going to see a nuclear strike/strikes before there is serious fighting between Russia and the U.S. As long as there will be Russia vs proxies, and the U.S. doesn't enter massively into the conflict, there won't be any nuclear strikes. Let's just hope that there won't be a serious incident or escalation before spring, because that will really bring us right next to nukes being used, by either side.
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