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Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 70310267
United States
01/29/2020 09:12 PM
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Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
I've been researching number of daily flights out of China into USA and reading statistics on yearly visitors from China to USA and the numbers are alarming of how many people with the virus could have slipped in and are infecting others right now over the course of the last month.

Flights from China to USA
27 daily
810 monthly
9,720 yearly

Average passenger capacity of a Boeing 777 and Airbus A380 together is at 425 passengers we are looking at 11,475 people arriving from China to the USA daily.
324,250 passengers from China arrived here from Jan 1st unit today. 2 days left in the month

Now those numbers might be off somewhat but when you cross reference with number of visitor from China statistics they are close.

Those stats are:
3.5 million a year arrive from China into the USA. Including Westerners traveling on business or pleasure.
292,000 arrivals a month
9,722 arrivals a day

Average 10,000 a day or 300,000 a month we could be looking at

Monthly arrivals infection rate of:
.01% 300 infected travelers in the USA infecting others right now, who are in turn infecting others as they don't know etc etc etc.
.05% 1,500 infected
1% 3,000 infected

Daily arrivals infection rate:
.01% = 10 passengers a day arriving with infection
.05% = 50 passengers a day arriving with infection
1% = 100 passengers a day arriving with infection

Now these estimation of infection rates of passengers could be way off which, I hope dearly or we could be at this moment today crossing some of these numbers. No way in telling, only the experts in China have the true numbers.
Rumor is that this virus is highly contagious during incubation period up to 21 days without experiencing any symptoms.
Once this thing gets going in the wrong direction though, fucing huge.
And this is just USA estimation of arrivals, think Europe, Middle East, South East Asia, Canada, South America. How many Chinese are traveling daily all over the world

Something to ponder there
JustBobTX

User ID: 78221510
United States
01/29/2020 09:24 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
bump
My friends call me Bob.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77192674
Canada
01/29/2020 09:45 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
bump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77192674
Canada
01/29/2020 09:47 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
could be spreading super fast and nobody would even know due to incubation
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78411711
New Zealand
01/29/2020 09:54 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
Many countries have stopped issuing visas to Chinese nationals, USA needs to do the same but I believe due to trade deals we will ride this train together with China knowing it could be a massive derailment.
Money talks
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77409411
United States
01/29/2020 10:01 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
scary to think that we have quarantined the US citizens that were trapped in China and were flown out last night on a charter flight but full green light on all international flights originating in China
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77409411
United States
01/29/2020 10:08 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
somewhere I read that yesterday a man from China landed in the USA
(I don't know which airport) was suspect of being sick and and was told he needed to go have more testing at the done airport before he could enter USA and the Chinese man became irate, started yelling and screaming. I'll try and find the article and post here
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77409411
United States
01/29/2020 10:13 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
bumpbumpbump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78079924
United Kingdom
01/29/2020 10:29 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
scary to think that we have quarantined the US citizens that were trapped in China and were flown out last night on a charter flight but full green light on all international flights originating in China
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77409411


wtf explain that one to me
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78079924
United Kingdom
01/29/2020 10:36 PM
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Re: Possible Coronavirus On China Flights into US
If it goes nasty we have about 2 months before every damn walking soul on this earth takes notice. Plan on sheltering in place for months.
everyone needs to get a plan and needs to work the plan just in case.





GLP