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Virus speed of spread.

 
Kingman-ArtModerator
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02/08/2020 11:24 AM

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Virus speed of spread.
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
Anonymous Coward
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02/08/2020 11:55 AM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Hysteria, fear, chemtrails.

Greatest ‘spreaders’ of Disease.
Kingman-ArtModerator  (OP)
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Hysteria, fear, chemtrails.

Greatest ‘spreaders’ of Disease.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61201905


We should know if the spread is as stated in about 2 to 3 weeks.

The infection levels will be enough to insure front page news.
Kingman-ArtModerator  (OP)
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02/13/2020 01:03 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
The new information out of china shows that the infection rate and death rate is greater than the projected rate produced by the chaos population formula.

Soon the corona virus will be the only news on the world's information channels.

You can calculate the virus infection rate yourselves.

Go read a book called "chaos,making a new science"

As of today there is no cure for the virus and because of the virus mutation rate it may not be possible to make one.

Global shutdown of all transportation would greatly help to buy time to search for a possible vaccine but none of the world governments have the ability to work together because of politics.
ShortStop

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02/13/2020 01:23 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


What is the r0 if it’s being sprayed on people?

Tupac-TN

Last Edited by ShortStop on 02/13/2020 01:25 PM
Kingman-ArtModerator  (OP)
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02/13/2020 01:34 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


What is the r0 if it’s being sprayed on people?

Tupac-TN
 Quoting: ShortStop

R0 is the reproduction rate of the virus in a humam cell.
4.08 is the high estimate with a 1.4 as the low estimate.
with the new information is shows that the rate of reproduction is much higher.

this all translates to an extremely fast spreading virus.
I think is is about to really take off ...
how fast? a few billion in 50 days is in the ballpark.

rockon
edit was for a missed word.

Last Edited by Kingman-Art on 02/13/2020 01:43 PM
Indiana Jones

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02/13/2020 01:37 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Not a fear monger, but it does appear to be accelerating.

There is so much information out there that can't be corroborated , it boggles the mind.

When the infected here in the lower 48 reaches 100, we are going underground
Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 01:41 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
[link to www.liveleak.com (secure)]
Jake

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02/13/2020 01:44 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
DARPA granted study

Corona has a R0 of 4.7 to 6.6


Thread: The Novel Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated R(0) 4.7 to 6.6


Global Killer????

Last Edited by Jake on 02/13/2020 01:46 PM
ToppDog

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02/13/2020 02:00 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
coughs & sneezes can spread germs at over 200 mph.
Theodesus

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02/13/2020 02:10 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23531633


Blue helmets coming soon and also the EUROGENDFOR as far as Europe is concerned.
solarbliss

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02/13/2020 02:18 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
The new information out of china shows that the infection rate and death rate is greater than the projected rate produced by the chaos population formula.

Soon the corona virus will be the only news on the world's information channels.

You can calculate the virus infection rate yourselves.

Go read a book called "chaos,making a new science"

As of today there is no cure for the virus and because of the virus mutation rate it may not be possible to make one.

Global shutdown of all transportation would greatly help to buy time to search for a possible vaccine but none of the world governments have the ability to work together because of politics.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


bump
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 02:50 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


ahhh

ahhh

ahhh
Anonymous Coward
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United States
02/13/2020 02:58 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


What is the r0 if it’s being sprayed on people?

Tupac-TN
 Quoting: ShortStop

R0 is the reproduction rate of the virus in a humam cell.
4.08 is the high estimate with a 1.4 as the low estimate.
with the new information is shows that the rate of reproduction is much higher.

this all translates to an extremely fast spreading virus.
I think is is about to really take off ...
how fast? a few billion in 50 days is in the ballpark.

rockon
edit was for a missed word.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Missed my point. Reproduction rate assumes human to human transmission (H2H). If the R0 goes too high then we may need to assume that the virus is being spread deliberately as in someone has a spray can of it and they are deliberately spreading it around. Too early to know.

angry
beeches

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02/13/2020 03:01 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
I wonder how this rate compares to the common cold
that Schiff dun sailed.....
Billxam, ABATE, AWHA

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02/13/2020 03:16 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Thread: LATEST model for COVID19 infection rate OUTSIDE China-South Korea and Italy(Updated)pg.79-MAJOR UPDATE pg.83-UPDATE pg.87
If you ever wonder why the liberals, democrats and leftists do what they do:

The major premise for tactics is the development of operations that will maintain a constant pressure upon the opposition – Saul Alinsky, “Rules for Radicals”

Accuse your enemy of what you are doing, as you are doing it to create confusion. – Marxist maxim

Proud member of A Brotherhood Against Totalitarian Enactments, Americans Who Hate Aging, proud supporter of attractive women.

[link to altrightnation.com]
wakemanlm

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02/13/2020 03:28 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just had a great conversation with an college professor about this. She is by no means an authority but is pretty sharp. This virus is a very peculiar one indeed. It’s much like HIV in the sense that people who are cured and test negative may still shed the virus and infect others but they’re not 100% sure on that yet. The virus is somewhat slow from infection simply because it’s mutating at a very alarming rate, but don’t let the slowness fool you bc it could mutate into a fast killing machine in very little time. The infection Chance is off the charts as people are being infected with almost no contact and the new theory is that most masks and protection shields are almost useless due to the super tiny microns size. As much as they know the virus is changing so fast that the new test kits may become useless overnight.

It was a very eye opening situation. IMO we need to stop all international travel immediately.
Nzreva
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02/13/2020 03:46 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
No deadly thing can hurt me.
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 03:48 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just had a great conversation with an college professor about this. She is by no means an authority but is pretty sharp. This virus is a very peculiar one indeed. It’s much like HIV in the sense that people who are cured and test negative may still shed the virus and infect others but they’re not 100% sure on that yet. The virus is somewhat slow from infection simply because it’s mutating at a very alarming rate, but don’t let the slowness fool you bc it could mutate into a fast killing machine in very little time. The infection Chance is off the charts as people are being infected with almost no contact and the new theory is that most masks and protection shields are almost useless due to the super tiny microns size. As much as they know the virus is changing so fast that the new test kits may become useless overnight.

It was a very eye opening situation. IMO we need to stop all international travel immediately.
 Quoting: wakemanlm


Its too late for that now.

Its already on EVERY major continent.

Its only going to spread now.

And spread fast.

This world is SO DOOMED.

Bout time too.
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 03:52 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Soon the corona virus will be the only news on the world's information channels.


 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Good, seeing as how the top trend right now is #Galentinesday

Even though the largest trade nation is on lockdown, the US military is mobilizing their Pandemic plans and the market is projected to be hit to the tunes of several hundreds of billions as a result.

But yeah, Galentines day or whatever. That's what we need to be talking about.

It's taking everything I have as a soul to not look at this virus eradicating current humanity as a bad thing lately. Really wrestling with that.
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 03:52 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Not a fear monger, but it does appear to be accelerating.

There is so much information out there that can't be corroborated , it boggles the mind.

When the infected here in the lower 48 reaches 100, we are going underground
 Quoting: Indiana Jones


100 is a good number for a nation of our size!retards2
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 03:54 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just had a great conversation with an college professor about this. She is by no means an authority but is pretty sharp. This virus is a very peculiar one indeed. It’s much like HIV in the sense that people who are cured and test negative may still shed the virus and infect others but they’re not 100% sure on that yet. The virus is somewhat slow from infection simply because it’s mutating at a very alarming rate, but don’t let the slowness fool you bc it could mutate into a fast killing machine in very little time. The infection Chance is off the charts as people are being infected with almost no contact and the new theory is that most masks and protection shields are almost useless due to the super tiny microns size. As much as they know the virus is changing so fast that the new test kits may become useless overnight.

It was a very eye opening situation. IMO we need to stop all international travel immediately.
 Quoting: wakemanlm


I suppose it's time again.

[link to broward.ghost.io (secure)]

the R0 is probably close to measles.
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 03:56 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just had a great conversation with an college professor about this. She is by no means an authority but is pretty sharp. This virus is a very peculiar one indeed. It’s much like HIV in the sense that people who are cured and test negative may still shed the virus and infect others but they’re not 100% sure on that yet. The virus is somewhat slow from infection simply because it’s mutating at a very alarming rate, but don’t let the slowness fool you bc it could mutate into a fast killing machine in very little time. The infection Chance is off the charts as people are being infected with almost no contact and the new theory is that most masks and protection shields are almost useless due to the super tiny microns size. As much as they know the virus is changing so fast that the new test kits may become useless overnight.

It was a very eye opening situation. IMO we need to stop all international travel immediately.
 Quoting: wakemanlm


I suppose it's time again.

[link to broward.ghost.io (secure)]

the R0 is probably close to measles.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78474507


Chimeric virus - "Combining two pathogenic viruses increases the lethality of the new virus".


natural virus does TWO things poorly ALL the time.
mobility and mortality.

by imposing order, an artificial virus
now does ONE thing well for a long time (mobility)
and then switches to doing SECOND thing well (mortality).

this is spreading so fast because it's designed
to circumvent what virologists believe.

.
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 05:13 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
It's doubling every 4 to 6 days
Kingman-ArtModerator  (OP)
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


What is the r0 if it’s being sprayed on people?

Tupac-TN
 Quoting: ShortStop

R0 is the reproduction rate of the virus in a humam cell.
4.08 is the high estimate with a 1.4 as the low estimate.
with the new information is shows that the rate of reproduction is much higher.

this all translates to an extremely fast spreading virus.
I think is is about to really take off ...
how fast? a few billion in 50 days is in the ballpark.

rockon
edit was for a missed word.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Missed my point. Reproduction rate assumes human to human transmission (H2H). If the R0 goes too high then we may need to assume that the virus is being spread deliberately as in someone has a spray can of it and they are deliberately spreading it around. Too early to know.

angry
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77507525

Actually it is you who has missed the point.

The numbers are based upon h2H transmission which has been
positively verifed. No one is running around with a spray can of virus.
ZoieCow
H2 and H1 fighters and proton pump inhibitor are the only
possible partial defense against the corona.
If you have them on hand and start the dosage as per instructions then the mortality rate percentage is greatly reduced for you and you end up with a better chance of survival. once this gets really rolling the supplies will be gone.

Stay away from crowds as much as possible.

Last Edited by Kingman-Art on 02/14/2020 12:44 AM
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 05:18 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
How many deaths utsidr of China?
wakemanlm

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02/13/2020 05:52 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
How many deaths utsidr of China?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 71124074


This doesn’t matter bc the virus that we have here in the US and UK and other countries is the earliest form. The virus has mutated several times since then. The think to watch is the spread of the virus in other countries more so than deaths.
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2020 06:01 PM
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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


What is the r0 if it’s being sprayed on people?

Tupac-TN
 Quoting: ShortStop

R0 is the reproduction rate of the virus in a humam cell.
4.08 is the high estimate with a 1.4 as the low estimate.
with the new information is shows that the rate of reproduction is much higher.

this all translates to an extremely fast spreading virus.
I think is is about to really take off ...
how fast? a few billion in 50 days is in the ballpark.

rockon
edit was for a missed word.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Missed my point. Reproduction rate assumes human to human transmission (H2H). If the R0 goes too high then we may need to assume that the virus is being spread deliberately as in someone has a spray can of it and they are deliberately spreading it around. Too early to know.

angry
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77507525


THIS I am increasingly sure this is a global effort by tptb to contain the globe under martial law. They have to keep the numbers consistently up R0 - suddenly China revamped their ‘ calculation methods’ as soon as a dip was being observed. I am sure There are complicit states around the world who are also actively participating in the ‘spread’ - the top four states up to Japan.
Jungleboogie

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02/13/2020 06:23 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Hysteria, fear, chemtrails.

Greatest ‘spreaders’ of Disease.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61201905


We should know if the spread is as stated in about 2 to 3 weeks.

The infection levels will be enough to insure front page news.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Be much more worried if you or those you are close to are infirm, elderly, young, or weak immune/always sick.


Keep in mind mortality rate is only 3%, not much higher than the common flu.

People die from the symptoms, not the virus itself. Anti-biotics to treat pneumonia are going to be hard to find.

All-in-one flu symptom suppressants will be important too.
Embrace the cognitive dissonance.
Crypto-Tard

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02/13/2020 07:13 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
 Quoting: Jake


I was told **14**
I am a "conspiracy theorist.” I believe men and women of wealth and power conspire. If you don't think so, then you are what is called "an idiot.” If you believe stuff but fear the label, you are what is called "a coward.”

--David B Collum

"The point of modern propaganda isn't only to misinform or push an agenda. It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth."

--Garry Kasparov
Crypto-Tard

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02/13/2020 07:14 PM

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Re: Virus speed of spread.
Missed my point. Reproduction rate assumes human to human transmission (H2H). If the R0 goes too high then we may need to assume that the virus is being spread deliberately as in someone has a spray can of it and they are deliberately spreading it around. Too early to know.

angry
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77507525


This is exactly what is happening. It's also being intentionally spread and sprayed on people using various delivery mechanisms.
I am a "conspiracy theorist.” I believe men and women of wealth and power conspire. If you don't think so, then you are what is called "an idiot.” If you believe stuff but fear the label, you are what is called "a coward.”

--David B Collum

"The point of modern propaganda isn't only to misinform or push an agenda. It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth."

--Garry Kasparov





GLP