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Message Subject Virus speed of spread.
Poster Handle Anonymous Coward
Post Content
Just heard on the news that the virus is now
accelerating at the rate of 10% to 14% per day!

If the rate stays constant then the 14% number
shows more than 2 billon infected in 50 days.

This fits with the chaos formula of population growth
with the f function in the formula of 4.08.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


What is the r0 if it’s being sprayed on people?

Tupac-TN
 Quoting: ShortStop

R0 is the reproduction rate of the virus in a humam cell.
4.08 is the high estimate with a 1.4 as the low estimate.
with the new information is shows that the rate of reproduction is much higher.

this all translates to an extremely fast spreading virus.
I think is is about to really take off ...
how fast? a few billion in 50 days is in the ballpark.

rockon
edit was for a missed word.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Missed my point. Reproduction rate assumes human to human transmission (H2H). If the R0 goes too high then we may need to assume that the virus is being spread deliberately as in someone has a spray can of it and they are deliberately spreading it around. Too early to know.

angry
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77507525


THIS I am increasingly sure this is a global effort by tptb to contain the globe under martial law. They have to keep the numbers consistently up R0 - suddenly China revamped their ‘ calculation methods’ as soon as a dip was being observed. I am sure There are complicit states around the world who are also actively participating in the ‘spread’ - the top four states up to Japan.
 
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