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The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78490509
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02/17/2020 05:49 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
A friend today took a car to a dealership (I know they are expensive) - anyway, they were told they needed a new muffler, new brakes and roters (sp?) and a transfer case and something else (the transfer case and something else amounted to $400, the total estimate was $3,000. Sounds high to me and to them.

Wondering if car dealership/garages are getting their money while they can since new stock may be slow to come into the US, if at all?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77590476


go to an independent shop and pay for a second opinion. do the brakes yourself - it's easy.

if your 4wd works, the transfer case is fine.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


also, unless you're in a commie state with emissions tests for registration, or you don't like the buzzing or noise, just live with the rusty muffler. unless it's a nice car or something and he wants it kept up. or get a sawzall and a slip on muffler and save yourself some money - again, easy thing to fix.

you'll pay big bux for a dealership to do such simple work.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


Telling someone that it's easy to fix their own exhaust system is TERRIBLE advice!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78418920


well im no stranger to automotive work, welding, machining, and fabrication, so to me it's actually pretty sound advice. and it's just a muffler, it's not brain surgery. literally the tail end of the whole assembly and the easiest to replace, most aren't even welded on they're just slip ons.

lol, what's wrong, never turned a wrench?
T-Man
Entitled title

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Netherlands
02/17/2020 05:50 PM

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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
could this be a good moment to start a production company? ghehe
yerpvana

User ID: 77155497
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02/17/2020 05:51 PM

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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
After the u.s economy is fkd then china will come calling for the debt to fix their country totally crushing the u.s banking system.

Was it worth them releasing a bioweapon .. maybe to them.

Last Edited by messagehalted on 02/17/2020 05:52 PM
All my post are theatrical artistic writing .
Anonymous Coward
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Australia
02/17/2020 05:51 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
Oh I don't know.. since the enemy of Communism is Capitalism, it seems like a pretty clever thing to do to spread capitalism there in this way, undermining the communism at it's route: the consumer.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78489110


communism and capitalism are controlled by the same people.


its just a different way for the owners of the world to control stupid people.
Don Draper from Nantucket  (OP)

User ID: 57553864
United States
02/17/2020 05:52 PM

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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
[link to www.zerohedge.com (secure)]


The global supply chain Armageddon is happening. The economies of the world are more interconnected than ever. There are many 'single points of failure' in these complex and global operations, of which many of them originate in China.

A new poll via Shanghai's American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) discovered that 50% of US firms operating in China say shutdowns of factories have impacted their global operations due to the Covid-19 outbreak, reported Reuters.

About 78% of these firms warn that their staffing is currently short at the moment, which would prevent the resumption of full production, leading to massive shortages of products in the next several months for Western markets.

Many of these companies, about 109 in total, have operations in Shanghai, Suzhou, Nanjing, and across the Yangtze River Delta, are regions currently experiencing mass quarantine of citizens, industrial hubs shuttered, and transportation networks halted.
 Quoting: Don Draper from Nantucket


Research the 30-90-120-180 days payment schedules for most products and freight. As with many individuals, businesses have financial situations that mirror it takes different multiples of the payment schedules for the system to fail. Most of China was prepared somewhat for the 30 day failures as they were backstopped by companies prepared for the new year. However once 90 days of zero economic activity crosses the finish line, wholesale failures of the market will ensue.
Cascading failures are happening right now, that is why so many business are opening with "reduced capacity", this is to keep that markets and the population quiet for just a little while longer. Reduced capacity could be 10 guys showing up to turn on the lights and pushing brooms for ten hours. Nothing gets done because critical components are not there but hey the factory is open.
Don't even talk about outsourcing production to India, I shudder to think of the quality control of anything from there that is rushed into production.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77439123


THIS^^^^^ Very good point!
PLATA BITCHEZZZZZZ

UPGRADE UNAVAILABLE

The Rolling Stones said it best...

"What's confusing you is the nature of my game"
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77439123
United States
02/17/2020 05:53 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
I would shop around on the exhaust.
Last time I needed work, just grabbed the welder and run a bead for repair, but before that on another car I got the muffler from the y pipe back installed for less than the components separately.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 66740592
Germany
02/17/2020 05:53 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
I don't know about food supplies, but the effects in China of the virus are directly affecting me in the form of it causing delays and manpower reduction on the staffing for a game I have been enjoying a lot recently, Conqueror's Blade, who yesterday posted a note about it.

In the same way, other things will get affected, not just material supplies.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78489110


I'd be happy enough if this thing only affected internet video gaming, but I suppose it will not be just that getting affected.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78490509
United States
02/17/2020 05:56 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
...


go to an independent shop and pay for a second opinion. do the brakes yourself - it's easy.

if your 4wd works, the transfer case is fine.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


Yes, the wife wants to take it to an independent garage but the husband thinks only the dealer can do a good job. I would think he could do the brakes himself. But, either way car dealership or independent garage, I believe they will start charging more because they know their supply parts are going to dwindle (just in time) and who knows when they will be getting new parts.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77590476


if they are white collar and this is a new or expensive vehicle i could see how they would be fine with letting a dealership do it.

but word to the wise - dealerships will charge a premium price, but that doesn't mean premium service.

i've called them out on SIMPLE things they did wrong, things that absolutely shouldn't have happened.

once i had them flush/fill my coolant in a dodge cummins as i didnt have time and didnt want to deal with the mess/disposal.

i get it home, check the freeze point, and it's around 0*f, it should be somewhere around -40 or so, can't remember the specifics, but MUCH lower. they said my floatmeter wasn't accurate and they'd use the optical meter - and sure enough, my gauge was accurate, my BLOCK would've cracked that winter for certain if I hadn't caught this.

i held them to it and they fixed it but i do not trust dealerships, AT ALL.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


A lot of dealerships do not even have full certified mechanics doing the work. You have the 5 guys who have certificates on the walls but when you read them they are only good for oil changes and tires.
There can be 1 actual mechanic who "supervises" the other guys. The shop can charge full rates on wiper changes even while only paying ten dollar an hour guys to do the work.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77439123

that is very true. i saw this firsthand working in a toyota dealership years and years ago.

that's why i didnt trust them and re checked it myself. the only thing id say in their defense is that a cummins the thermostat won't open forever because unless that engine is towing or in boost it's just not working hard enough to even get warm hence all that cardboard you see on grills - you'll NEVER get it warm enough just idling it in the parking lot to get the huge amount in the block and radiator so you don't have dilution.

you basically have to do the job several times to be sure it's all properly mixed with premix 50/50.

but yeah you are right - thankfully with a big DIY culture and resources like youtube if you want to take a chance and figure stuff out these days its better than ever to learn and fix stuff.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78488591
Italy
02/17/2020 05:57 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
In my country, Oirland I remember delivering housing concrete complex...Really, Paddy as you "built" the world and yet you allow me to deliver concrete structure built in China for Dubliner to live in...

Just so very stoopid Paddy, stoopid.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
02/17/2020 05:59 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
No one will understand what’s happening til it’s way too late!! God brings confusion to this world! A gold coin will buy you a loaf of bread maybe!!
Anonymous Coward
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France
02/17/2020 06:01 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
Apple warns coronavirus will hurt iPhones supplies

[link to www.bbc.com (secure)]
DeplorableDoomsdayGuy​®

User ID: 78194907
United States
02/17/2020 06:03 PM

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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
clappaclappa

FUCK GLOBALISM
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73574056


This may just be it's death knell.
 Quoting: Don Draper from Nantucket


Problem <-you are here.

Reaction

Solution

Never let a good crisis go to waste.

Last Edited by Pinochet'sChopperPilot on 02/17/2020 06:04 PM
Come on and take a free ride.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77195896
United States
02/17/2020 06:14 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
China is the worlds manufacturer, how do they produce when conservatively half the population is quarantined, a quarter is sick or dying and another quarter is missing or otherwise indisposed?

Answer: YOU DON'T!

For How long: TOO LONG!

Any Questions?

hiding
 Quoting: ReefRaider


the marketplace will fill the void, people will just be shocked at what it costs to pay for american quality since they havent done it for so long.

go look at a REAL pair of leather, stitch sole work boots made in the USA, that lasts for 5, 10, 15 years and are recraftable, and see what prices they are asking.

Then look at the total garbage most people buy at walmart for fifty bucks every three months and think THAT is normal.

Those people will have a major perception adjustment coming if the only game in town is domestic, expensive, and good quality when they are use to crap at low prices.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


Only issue with this is that it could crash the American economy due to the major price increase all at once. A price increase slow and drawn out could be sustained but not all at once !!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 31126728
United States
02/17/2020 06:20 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
A friend today took a car to a dealership (I know they are expensive) - anyway, they were told they needed a new muffler, new brakes and roters (sp?) and a transfer case and something else (the transfer case and something else amounted to $400, the total estimate was $3,000. Sounds high to me and to them.

Wondering if car dealership/garages are getting their money while they can since new stock may be slow to come into the US, if at all?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77590476


go to an independent shop and pay for a second opinion. do the brakes yourself - it's easy.

if your 4wd works, the transfer case is fine.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


Maybe change the oil in the transfer case before replacing.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77439123
United States
02/17/2020 06:23 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
I was wondering that supposed protests blocking trains in both East and Western Canada are being prepped as the excuse for why there is shortages of finished products from China in Canada?
I tried to look into it but it seems that the claim is that a handful of people who are unconnected to any real groups and a little disconnected from reality on both ends of the country are coordinated and trying to bring a stop to the Canadian economy.
If true, umm, how can they block railines completely?
Arrest them. They still have railroad police in Canada. The rails are a special section of Canadian law akin to crown lands.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77831020
United States
02/17/2020 06:24 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
I guarantee apple slave factories have not slowed one bit
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 72498308


Foxcon still shut down,and the government is considering orders to keep it that way.Never mind...they gave the order earlier today,just hit appleinsider 15 minutes ago.

Authorities order Foxconn to keep Chinese facilities closed ... the ongoing coronavirus threat, and how the date for reopening stores is still to be determined.

[link to appleinsider.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78323780


Short Apple stock!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77439123
United States
02/17/2020 06:25 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
A friend today took a car to a dealership (I know they are expensive) - anyway, they were told they needed a new muffler, new brakes and roters (sp?) and a transfer case and something else (the transfer case and something else amounted to $400, the total estimate was $3,000. Sounds high to me and to them.

Wondering if car dealership/garages are getting their money while they can since new stock may be slow to come into the US, if at all?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77590476


go to an independent shop and pay for a second opinion. do the brakes yourself - it's easy.

if your 4wd works, the transfer case is fine.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


Maybe change the oil in the transfer case before replacing.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 31126728


If you can get a "new" transfer case and something else installed for $400 that would be a steal. I am pretty sure that your muffler bearings are worn out too.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 31126728
United States
02/17/2020 06:28 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
A friend today took a car to a dealership (I know they are expensive) - anyway, they were told they needed a new muffler, new brakes and roters (sp?) and a transfer case and something else (the transfer case and something else amounted to $400, the total estimate was $3,000. Sounds high to me and to them.

Wondering if car dealership/garages are getting their money while they can since new stock may be slow to come into the US, if at all?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77590476


go to an independent shop and pay for a second opinion. do the brakes yourself - it's easy.

if your 4wd works, the transfer case is fine.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


Last year I had to have some work done on my A/C. Local shop quoted me about $2600, they only use manufacturers parts and charge shop manual time no matter how long it takes. They couldn't get to it for a week so I tried the dealer. The dealer did it the next day (Saturday) for under $900, they had an aftermarket compressor sitting on the shelf (it was the same manufacturer that makes the OEM parts). Also the dealer checked to make sure the compressor blades hadn't disintegrated so they didn't replace a bunch of other stuff downstream from it. Local guy was just going to replace all that stuff because "the compressor blades always blow up".
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77439123
United States
02/17/2020 06:38 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
A friend today took a car to a dealership (I know they are expensive) - anyway, they were told they needed a new muffler, new brakes and roters (sp?) and a transfer case and something else (the transfer case and something else amounted to $400, the total estimate was $3,000. Sounds high to me and to them.

Wondering if car dealership/garages are getting their money while they can since new stock may be slow to come into the US, if at all?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77590476


go to an independent shop and pay for a second opinion. do the brakes yourself - it's easy.

if your 4wd works, the transfer case is fine.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490509


Last year I had to have some work done on my A/C. Local shop quoted me about $2600, they only use manufacturers parts and charge shop manual time no matter how long it takes. They couldn't get to it for a week so I tried the dealer. The dealer did it the next day (Saturday) for under $900, they had an aftermarket compressor sitting on the shelf (it was the same manufacturer that makes the OEM parts). Also the dealer checked to make sure the compressor blades hadn't disintegrated so they didn't replace a bunch of other stuff downstream from it. Local guy was just going to replace all that stuff because "the compressor blades always blow up".
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 31126728


Or he did a recharge on it with materials that cost him all of ten bucks, and you didn't notice cause you never look at stuff under there and all he did was wash the components.
And if it was a small leak, you will not notice it for 2-3 years and by then you will either sell the car, or forget and just think that it is just an old car. Dealers almost never carry "after market" parts. They only carry regular stock parts from their own sources.
OOPs did I mention that I worked in a garage??? And brother in law is a mechanic for one of the major chains?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78093136
Poland
02/17/2020 06:44 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
I don't know about food supplies, but the effects in China of the virus are directly affecting me in the form of it causing delays and manpower reduction on the staffing for a game I have been enjoying a lot recently, Conqueror's Blade, who yesterday posted a note about it.

In the same way, other things will get affected, not just material supplies.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78489110


brainless retard here worried his gaming experience is not the same since there are less Chinese gamers online. They are fucking dying you out there you twisted piece of shit. You have people starving to death jumping out of fucking windows. Sorry you are so inconvenienced you soulless trash.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78093136
Poland
02/17/2020 06:49 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
After the u.s economy is fkd then china will come calling for the debt to fix their country totally crushing the u.s banking system.

Was it worth them releasing a bioweapon .. maybe to them.
 Quoting: yerpvana


nobody will escape, It will either be the virus that gets you or extreme economic pain. In either case I foresee very difficult times ahead.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 76026754
United States
02/17/2020 06:50 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
very stupid mistakes will and already have took place to put the economy and money in front of the virus.

It will be very devastating to the world as a whole.
 Quoting: buck007


hesright
 Quoting: Don Draper from Nantucket


We are foolishly unprepared in the USA. Too much partisan bickering and vitriol to get the job of real leadership done.

After 12 years of the mulatto magician & Commander Cheetoh McAlphaCawk, Americans are like a house of bitchy girls with their periods in sink and only one bathroom.

Even if this isn't the one, it has revealed the failures of communism, paper assets, and electing assholes based upon arbitrary promises we all know they won't keep.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 9648205
United States
02/17/2020 06:52 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
After the u.s economy is fkd then china will come calling for the debt to fix their country totally crushing the u.s banking system.

Was it worth them releasing a bioweapon .. maybe to them.
 Quoting: yerpvana


THAT could be a "perfect storm" scenario... especially when we tell China to go suck eggs when they ask for any of their investment capital or gold to be paid back.

I can't believe Bitcoin isn't skyrocketing right now. Maybe that's just another worthless asset, what do I know?
Maddrummerboy

User ID: 77406019
United States
02/17/2020 06:59 PM

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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
Apple warns coronavirus will hurt iPhones supplies

[link to www.bbc.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490177


xxxcite
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78470982
United States
02/17/2020 07:06 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
Isn't NAFTA great ?!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 66721050
United States
02/17/2020 07:06 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
why the fuck do we even need 'an economy'?

the 'economy' is just a giant elaborate system for sucking the life energy out of your soul for their own gain.

all i need is a fucking house, a few years worth of food,

which a non exploitative system could produce easily with modern technology.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78486401


Why stop there.

Join the Free Shit Army and git all kinds of free shit.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77439123
United States
02/17/2020 07:08 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
why the fuck do we even need 'an economy'?

the 'economy' is just a giant elaborate system for sucking the life energy out of your soul for their own gain.

all i need is a fucking house, a few years worth of food,

which a non exploitative system could produce easily with modern technology.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78486401


Why stop there.

Join the Free Shit Army and git all kinds of free shit.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 66721050


Yeah, people tend to forget that somebody needs to build that house, grow that food, not I said the rabbit, not I said the pig, not I said the SJW.
And the little Red Hen said very well,
Starve in the F$#%ing cold.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 66721050
United States
02/17/2020 07:10 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
Apple warns coronavirus will hurt iPhones supplies

[link to www.bbc.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78490177


xxxcite
 Quoting: Maddrummerboy


It is truly The End.

I'm calling it right now.

Oh wait, no iphone...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78490966
United States
02/17/2020 07:17 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
Should I get a year's supply of those good and cheap WalMart China smoked oysters now?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75394950


Better get a few dozen cases of pickled bats too.
 Quoting: Katipo2017


1rof1
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 66721050
United States
02/17/2020 07:24 PM
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Re: The GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN ARMAGEDDON is happening!!
I don't know about food supplies, but the effects in China of the virus are directly affecting me in the form of it causing delays and manpower reduction on the staffing for a game I have been enjoying a lot recently, Conqueror's Blade, who yesterday posted a note about it.

In the same way, other things will get affected, not just material supplies.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78489110


I'd be happy enough if this thing only affected internet video gaming, but I suppose it will not be just that getting affected.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 66740592


Maybe with everything changing you can finally get a job.





GLP