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What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)

 
Anonymous Coward
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02/22/2020 04:38 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
(everyone's going to get it)
 Quoting: Sikhed

That's false no matter how many times you keep posting it to make yourself feel better.
Anonymous Coward
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02/22/2020 04:39 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
Statistically speaking, if we blindly accept the ridiculously fake numbers that have been reported by CCP propaganda and pretend that those fake numbers are true, most victims recover with just flu-type symptoms.
 Quoting: Sikhed

I added the part in bold to highlight your unspoken presumption.

I think it's unreasonable to accept the CCP's numbers as true. Not just the number of total cases, but the number of deaths and the mortality rate, too.

It is totally possible, and perhaps even likely, that this kills 50% or more of infected people within, say, 2-3 months of them getting infected.

A 50% death rate explains China's unprecedented reaction and draconian measures; a 2% death rate does not...not even close.

All the 3rd party studies using the numbers supplied by the Chinese are fundamentally flawed. GIGO--Garbage In, Garbage Out.
Anonymous Coward
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02/22/2020 04:39 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
(everyone's going to get it)
 Quoting: Sikhed

That's false no matter how many times you keep posting it to make yourself feel better.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77347779


This^^^is a CCP SHILL fresh back from arfternoon smoko.
Anonymous Coward
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02/22/2020 04:57 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
Now we know what the FEMA camps are for


I am a paramedic in a medium sized community in the Pacific Northwest. If you're wondering how communities such as mine are already prepared or are preparing to handle a pandemic outbreak, the answer is not at all. No healthcare systems in my area, and I would speculate the whole of America- are adequately equipped to handle an outbreak similar to what we are seeing in Wuhan.

The way it works currently is that when a disaster is declared (such as a hurricane), FEMA gets activated and will send personnel, ambulances and supplies to a disaster zone. Those personnel and ambulances come from other communities across the USA.

If the entire USA is dealing with an outbreak simultaneously, there will be no spare resources coming from those typical locations. There is very little 'surge' capability. Similar to how a grocery store stocks just enough eggs to meet consumer demand on any given day, healthcare systems are prepared to handle the standard amount of patients on any given day. Most emergency rooms are already full on your typical Friday.

It gets worse.

1) There is minimal stockpiling of supplies such as masks, gowns, or gloves. Like the rest of corporate america, our healthcare system uses as-you-need-it supply systems, meaning stock is already low. This also applies to medications. ALL medications. Think about THAT for a minute.
2) The kind of protection you see healthcare workers wearing in the videos from China is not typically available to ambulance personnel or typically anyone outside of a major hospital. Certainly stocks of that level of protection is not prevalent enough for every healthcare worker to wear, each and every day.
3) Nationwide, standard ambulances are not equipped to handle highly infectious airborne diseases, and typically do not have any disinfectant UV light systems. The same for your typical hospital room/bed.
4) Standard hospitals have just a few negative pressure rooms capable of isolating airborne patients. Thats just a few rooms in communities of thousands and millions.

So how will the USA contain an outbreak? Answer: we won't. At a certain outbreak level, we probably won't even bother to isolate patients.

Most containment efforts and supplies will probably come fromTHE MILITARY. I don't know for sure, but they are probably the only ones with enough resources/supplies to do it. Maybe they have all the supplies stockpiled somewhere already. Maybe they don't. But that means a military unit/response in every community, everywhere. Regardless if the military is prepared or not, the reponse would be the same, as they serve the dual role of maintaining societal order.

I anticipate the breakdown of local healthcare systems entirely. Workers, such as me, will hesitate to show up to work knowing that there is little adequate protection gear. If you were in my shoes, would you come to work? Something to think about, at least. As a patient, would you even want to get in my ambulance and go to my ER? Are you going to call 911? Where is YOUR hazmat suit? You won't be protected from the last patient that was on the bed either. I hope this isn't the time you have chest pain or any kind of trauma, because good luck.

I hesitate to make these predictions- because everything is so speculative and its perhaps too easy to imagine the worse case scenario. On the plus side, I would calculate that any Wuhan level outbreak that happens in the USA wouldn't happen everywhere simultaneously, (at least at first) allowing resources to be concentrated at the site of each outbreak. How many resources are available from the military is anyone's guess, so who knows what it would take to overwhelm the system.

YOU SHOULD BE GETTING READY RIGHT NOW. If you're waiting for the CDC, or the WHO, or Trump, or your favorite news network to tell you to get ready, well spoiler alert: they won't. Not until the LAST MINUTE. The emptying of every Wal-Mart of toilet paper and bottled water isn't going to help anyone in the long term, and societal panic just leads to high crime and economic crashes. Like one of those black Friday videos x 1000, with everyone losing their job and 401k too.

Go do some research on 'preparing for when shit hits the fan.' Make a plan for you and your family. DO NOT PANIC, but act rationally, according to your plan. Plan for your plan to have hiccups and fail. What are your contingencies? What are you going to do? BE PREPARED.

You are NOT ready right now.

If you get ready now and nothing happens with this virus, the worse that happens is that you're just more prepared for the next hurricane or wild fire or whatever happens in your area. Your efforts are literally money in the 'bank'.

I leave you with this to think about too: it doesn't matter if the virus hits your town or state or not, people just have to BELIEVE its a threat and society will break down all the same.

Let's all pray that this will not get crazy.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6815293
galvanic

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02/22/2020 08:50 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
I work for a California state agency. I saw this coming a month ago and arranged for my group to have remote access to their desktops so we could work from home if necessary. I didn't give a specific reason, just said we should have a continuity of business plan in place. My true reason for doing so was this virus.

Our agency had a presentation for the entire department regarding safety about two weeks ago. They allowed questions to be asked of the deputy directors by staff. One of the questions was about the Coronavirus and what they were doing to prepare. The answer was they hadn't been advised to do anything out of the ordinary, asidd from the usual COB plans they'd make, say for a fire or flood. They did say they were keeping close tabs on the situation. They are taking this seriously. I just don't think they're getting much from the Governor, the feds or even the Office of Emergency Services.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78258115


My experience after working with the above following a large wildfire is that they are seldom if ever proactive - only reactive following a disaster, and then help moves very, very slowwwwwly.
galvanic
Anonymous Coward
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02/22/2020 08:59 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
i worked in the medical system for 15 years as a clinic manager.

this is spot on and the US medical system is a marketing conjob.

private practices will refuse patients or shit down if theres an out break

and the public medical system is total crap.

you all we be on your own just like you were before, but unless you had a real illness never realized it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75874858



I don't think the medical system is complete crap, its just not prepared to handle something of this scope.

Many people are going to die.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6815293


bitchesbetrippingtfo5
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78502656
United States
02/22/2020 09:41 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
"If you are on your own do try to get

a PROFESSIONAL Patient ADVOCATE."


That was great advice, thank you.

Did you see this COOKIE? We need to get you one.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 75270270
United States
02/22/2020 09:57 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
Excellent post - should be pinned, IMO.
 Quoting: galvanic


Excellent post - should be pinned, IMO.
 Quoting: galvanic


i think that’s what we have here is a fake alert sent out to the elite to run to the bunkers and prepare . no way in hell they would release anything until the elite are safe away from the surface . my guess if it’s real it won’t be released until later this year
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 6815293
United States
02/22/2020 10:38 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
I am a paramedic in a medium sized community in the Pacific Northwest. If you're wondering how communities such as mine are already prepared or are preparing to handle a pandemic outbreak, the answer is not at all. No healthcare systems in my area, and I would speculate the whole of America- are adequately equipped to handle an outbreak similar to what we are seeing in Wuhan.

The way it works currently is that when a disaster is declared (such as a hurricane), FEMA gets activated and will send personnel, ambulances and supplies to a disaster zone. Those personnel and ambulances come from other communities across the USA.

If the entire USA is dealing with an outbreak simultaneously, there will be no spare resources coming from those typical locations. There is very little 'surge' capability. Similar to how a grocery store stocks just enough eggs to meet consumer demand on any given day, healthcare systems are prepared to handle the standard amount of patients on any given day. Most emergency rooms are already full on your typical Friday.

It gets worse.

1) There is minimal stockpiling of supplies such as masks, gowns, or gloves. Like the rest of corporate america, our healthcare system uses as-you-need-it supply systems, meaning stock is already low. This also applies to medications. ALL medications. Think about THAT for a minute.
2) The kind of protection you see healthcare workers wearing in the videos from China is not typically available to ambulance personnel or typically anyone outside of a major hospital. Certainly stocks of that level of protection is not prevalent enough for every healthcare worker to wear, each and every day.
3) Nationwide, standard ambulances are not equipped to handle highly infectious airborne diseases, and typically do not have any disinfectant UV light systems. The same for your typical hospital room/bed.
4) Standard hospitals have just a few negative pressure rooms capable of isolating airborne patients. Thats just a few rooms in communities of thousands and millions.

So how will the USA contain an outbreak? Answer: we won't. At a certain outbreak level, we probably won't even bother to isolate patients.

Most containment efforts and supplies will probably come fromTHE MILITARY. I don't know for sure, but they are probably the only ones with enough resources/supplies to do it. Maybe they have all the supplies stockpiled somewhere already. Maybe they don't. But that means a military unit/response in every community, everywhere. Regardless if the military is prepared or not, the reponse would be the same, as they serve the dual role of maintaining societal order.

I anticipate the breakdown of local healthcare systems entirely. Workers, such as me, will hesitate to show up to work knowing that there is little adequate protection gear. If you were in my shoes, would you come to work? Something to think about, at least. As a patient, would you even want to get in my ambulance and go to my ER? Are you going to call 911? Where is YOUR hazmat suit? You won't be protected from the last patient that was on the bed either. I hope this isn't the time you have chest pain or any kind of trauma, because good luck.

I hesitate to make these predictions- because everything is so speculative and its perhaps too easy to imagine the worse case scenario. On the plus side, I would calculate that any Wuhan level outbreak that happens in the USA wouldn't happen everywhere simultaneously, (at least at first) allowing resources to be concentrated at the site of each outbreak. How many resources are available from the military is anyone's guess, so who knows what it would take to overwhelm the system.

YOU SHOULD BE GETTING READY RIGHT NOW. If you're waiting for the CDC, or the WHO, or Trump, or your favorite news network to tell you to get ready, well spoiler alert: they won't. Not until the LAST MINUTE. The emptying of every Wal-Mart of toilet paper and bottled water isn't going to help anyone in the long term, and societal panic just leads to high crime and economic crashes. Like one of those black Friday videos x 1000, with everyone losing their job and 401k too.

Go do some research on 'preparing for when shit hits the fan.' Make a plan for you and your family. DO NOT PANIC, but act rationally, according to your plan. Plan for your plan to have hiccups and fail. What are your contingencies? What are you going to do? BE PREPARED.

You are NOT ready right now.

If you get ready now and nothing happens with this virus, the worse that happens is that you're just more prepared for the next hurricane or wild fire or whatever happens in your area. Your efforts are literally money in the 'bank'.

I leave you with this to think about too: it doesn't matter if the virus hits your town or state or not, people just have to BELIEVE its a threat and society will break down all the same.

Let's all pray that this will not get crazy.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6815293


I have a heart condition (anomalous coronary artery) and also also on ORT (Opioid replacement therapy). I take Metoprolol and suboxone daily. Aside from an act of God I am ready to die when the fan has begun to aerosolize the shit. Or even perhaps before :)
 Quoting: AquaAscending


You can manage the blood pressure without the metoprolol with diet and lifestyle changes, and there is no time like the present to get sober. I believe you can do it!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77733365
United States
02/22/2020 10:45 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
As long as Trump is going around the country doing his rallies, I’ll asume were all safe from the Coronavirus.
girlie45

User ID: 76604177
United States
02/22/2020 10:54 AM

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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
I work for medical professionals in the service industry, there are a few homes that I go to every few weeks. I have a policy that I can not go into any room with closed doors. Since the outbreak, one home, in particular, will NOT let me go into two rooms.

It's an ER doc. I believe he is preparing.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 76984449
United States
02/22/2020 11:37 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
So it's a gamble. We're all surfing angel' s breath.

If we prep, it could cause a panic for no reason.

And we're fucked.

If we don't prep, we're fucked.

Seems to me we are all at the mercy of each other and the institutions we've built.

THIS IS NOT THE TIME FOR POLITICAL ASSHOLERY!!! LJS
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75878101


Prep silently. No one needs to know what you are doing. My family doesn’t. I grab extras at the store when I go. We’ve got books puzzles and games to keep boredom at bay.

If anyone has health conditions know what to do for them. If anyone is pregnant know how to deliver a baby. We have the time to learn now.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 76984449
United States
02/22/2020 11:56 AM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
get ramen noodles for sure
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77666173


Why are people so set on Ramen noodles for survival? They are awful. Salty, flavourless
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78179084


Because when you need food the salt and fat in them is good. And they are cheap. Better than starving. And you can add all sorts of stuff to the soup as well like herbs or any leftovers.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 76984449
United States
02/22/2020 12:00 PM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
I work for medical professionals in the service industry, there are a few homes that I go to every few weeks. I have a policy that I can not go into any room with closed doors. Since the outbreak, one home, in particular, will NOT let me go into two rooms.

It's an ER doc. I believe he is preparing.
 Quoting: girlie45


You mean all the doors in a house have to be open or you won’t go into that house?
NOYB

User ID: 26878633
United States
02/22/2020 09:42 PM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
This needs to be read.
NOYB
M R E

User ID: 71630411
United States
02/22/2020 11:33 PM

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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
Nice post OP, we are already prepped and have been for years. I'll lose some weight, but that's not entirely a bad thing. We have room for family, (immediate) and a well for water. Our water table is so high we can literally dip a bucket for water. We are very rural on 13 acres, and deer are all to plentiful. We also have 2 freezers full of food.
 Quoting: Sodbuster


cool2
would rather have it & not need it then need it & not have it
PENG

User ID: 75187082
United States
02/23/2020 09:38 PM
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Re: What a pandemic level COVID response for the USA will look like (Spoiler- its not good)
Good post. Thanks OP

Btw, anyone have a link to the thread on the military OP who posted about the stages of economic collapse? It was a recent post and I can’t find it.
"May the road rise up to meet you.... May the wind be always at your back..."





GLP