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Some Corona virus calculations.

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 74861002
United States
03/02/2020 07:25 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Someone can wake me up when it surpasses choking deaths which are five thousand a year or 14 per day.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78026040


wake up then... 3000 deaths in 90 days =12,000 in 360 days.
AT LEAST

dumbass
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78323304
Brazil
03/02/2020 07:31 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
There will be 300 million deaths
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78017652
United States
03/02/2020 07:33 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
spanish flu didn't kill that many people, really
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78017652


:rere23:
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42325232


really now

so then doctors didn't kill 30-40% of the patients by accidental poisoning with aspirin ?

and then secondary bacterial infections didn't kill another 20-20% ?


The only retard here is YOU

fucking asshat
Anonymous Coward
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03/02/2020 07:44 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
:fivestar:
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78307724
United States
03/02/2020 07:51 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
I don't think you did yourself any favors presenting the numbers the way you did. 89k+ are currently infected?
So 89k+3k dead+45k recovered = total amount of people the virus has hit?
139k people have had the virus?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78555603
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03/02/2020 07:59 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
March 2,2020

[link to gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com (secure)]

Current infected 89,254
Total dead 3,048
Total recovered 45,393
Total showing symptoms and getting treated 48,441

Some calcs.
3048 divided by 48,441 times 100 is 6.292 percent current kill rate.

This kill rate is more than 12 times "standard" flu.
Some standard flu types are :

H1N1 - Asian Influenza A Virus, Swine flu
H3N2 - Avian Influenza A Virus
H5N1 - Avian Influenza A Virus
H7N9 - Anhui Influenza Wildtype A Virus
RSV - Respiratory Syncytial Virus
Coxsacie Type B3 virus - Hand,Foot, and Mouth Disease
Cytomegalovirus - fever blisters and or jaw cancer.
SARS Corona virus

48,441 divided by 89,254 times 100 is 54.27 per cent.
Global health care system overloaded.

Assumption - A very high R0 factor of greater than 6.0
plugged into the population formula for the increase in virus will show
you the date of global infection.
Currently the virus doubles the people infected every 2.4 days.
This number can go up or down depending upon efforts.
Current world population is 7,768,183,780 from worldometers.
[link to www.worldometers.info (secure)]

7,768,183,780 times .006292 is 53,755,832.

Because the virus will build its own "fire break line" at some point
in time (it runs out of people to infect) and counter efforts are
being made by all or most nations, the number might be cut in half to only
26,877,916 dead.

The 1918 spanish flu killed about 20 to 50 million.
[link to www.history.com (secure)]


Finally, any vehicle (airplanes, boats, cars, trains) that has carried a infected active person is now a spreader of the infection.

How do you dis-infect the ventliation system of an airplane?
The next set of passengers to board the airplane will become infected when
the ventliation system is started.

rockon
Houston, we have a problem.

edit was to fix reversed numbers in post.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Only problem with your numbers is that you are not breaking it down by genome. The Coronavirus is clearly an aritifical, manufactured virus that is extremely deadly to persons of Han Chinese/East Asian genetic extraction but no more deadly than the common flu to all other genomes. Once you correct your numbers based on genome, you will understand why many of us are calling "bullshite" on the Coronavirus. Yes, it is a very dangerous virus, but not to Westerners, at least not any more dangerous than the common flu which kills on average of 153 Americans everyday.

It was obvious from day one that this was either a Chinese experiment gone wrong or a targeted bioweapon deployment against the Han Chinese genome. This question remains unanswered because the Deep State MSM has successfully diverted attention with the nonstop Coronavirus hysterics.
Anonymous Coward
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03/02/2020 08:04 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
My brother had a dream not too long ago that he was told Sucking on Pennies would prevent the corona virus. weird
Anonymous Coward
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03/02/2020 08:07 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
My brother had a dream not too long ago that he was told Sucking on Pennies would prevent the corona virus. weird
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78502751


Glad your mom will be safe
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78458193
United States
03/02/2020 08:19 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
March 2,2020

[link to gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com (secure)]

Current infected 89,254
Total dead 3,048
Total recovered 45,393
Total showing symptoms and getting treated 48,441

Some calcs.
3048 divided by 48,441 times 100 is 6.292 percent current kill rate.

This kill rate is more than 12 times "standard" flu.

 Quoting: Kingman-Art


Wrong. The kill rate is the dead divided by the total infected, which is 3.41%.

The flu kills about 646,000 each year globally, which is 0.009%.

Link: [link to www.medicinenet.com (secure)]

In the U.S. the current flu death rate is 0.05%, which is much higher than the global death rate of 0.009%.


.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78121322
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03/02/2020 08:26 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Also, you can't say it has a 6% kill rate when it isn't killing 6% of people that get it. You can say that out of cases 100% resolved it has killed 6%, assuming those numbers are correct.

If on the first day of flu season 1 person died and 1 person recovered while 500 people are still considered sick,you wouldn't say that this year's flu has a 50% kill rate.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78319822


It's not based on a 1 day example.

China has a population of 1.44 billion, based on their numbers...the numbers sick, and the number of deaths...

Average that out by multiplying by 12 months even though it's not even a full 12 months and it's dying out in China...

The USA has 331,002,651 million people.

125 children have died from the flu just this year.

6 lost to Coronavirus so far...

It's really not that hard to figure out.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78307724
United States
03/02/2020 08:30 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Also, you can't say it has a 6% kill rate when it isn't killing 6% of people that get it. You can say that out of cases 100% resolved it has killed 6%, assuming those numbers are correct.

If on the first day of flu season 1 person died and 1 person recovered while 500 people are still considered sick,you wouldn't say that this year's flu has a 50% kill rate.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78319822


It's not based on a 1 day example.

China has a population of 1.44 billion, based on their numbers...the numbers sick, and the number of deaths...

Average that out by multiplying by 12 months even though it's not even a full 12 months and it's dying out in China...

The USA has 331,002,651 million people.

125 children have died from the flu just this year.

6 lost to Coronavirus so far...

It's really not that hard to figure out.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78121322


Not sure what you are suggesting or what you are comparing
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78557282
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03/02/2020 08:38 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78121322
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03/02/2020 08:46 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Also, you can't say it has a 6% kill rate when it isn't killing 6% of people that get it. You can say that out of cases 100% resolved it has killed 6%, assuming those numbers are correct.

If on the first day of flu season 1 person died and 1 person recovered while 500 people are still considered sick,you wouldn't say that this year's flu has a 50% kill rate.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78319822


It's not based on a 1 day example.

China has a population of 1.44 billion, based on their numbers...the numbers sick, and the number of deaths...

Average that out by multiplying by 12 months even though it's not even a full 12 months and it's dying out in China...

The USA has 331,002,651 million people.

125 children have died from the flu just this year.

6 lost to Coronavirus so far...

It's really not that hard to figure out.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78121322


Not sure what you are suggesting or what you are comparing
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78307724


Based on the numbers that we have...

China says that 3,117 have died from Covid19. Multiply that by 12 months. (1 year) which is low since it's dying down in China after 3 months.

When multiplied by 12, we get 37,404 deaths.

56,000 people die from the flu...give or take..yearly.

Almost double that of Coronavirus.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
03/02/2020 08:50 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
How many Americans have been tested? Answer that question
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 49598504
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03/02/2020 08:50 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
How many Americans have been tested? Answer that question
Anonymous Coward
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03/02/2020 08:56 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Finally, any vehicle (airplanes, boats, cars, trains) that has carried a infected active person is now a spreader of the infection.

How do you dis-infect the ventliation system of an airplane?
The next set of passengers to board the airplane will become infected when
the ventliation system is started.
 Quoting: Kingman-Art


hesright
4th iteration

User ID: 78241455
03/02/2020 09:03 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Somewhere out there

the link between CV-19 and vaccine usage is being put together.

Unfortunately

its all done in some gov. secret squirrel lab or data base.
and that knowledge will be used against us.

Last Edited by 4th iteration on 03/02/2020 09:25 PM
Where B kath C
Anonymous Coward
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03/02/2020 09:05 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Someone can wake me up when it surpasses choking deaths which are five thousand a year or 14 per day.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78026040


Hey....Wake up!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77898480
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03/02/2020 09:17 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Also, you can't say it has a 6% kill rate when it isn't killing 6% of people that get it. You can say that out of cases 100% resolved it has killed 6%, assuming those numbers are correct.

If on the first day of flu season 1 person died and 1 person recovered while 500 people are still considered sick,you wouldn't say that this year's flu has a 50% kill rate.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78319822


This!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75682040


It seems to take longer to recover then to die, so the calculation might be biased towards a higher CFR.

Maybe use number of dead two or three weeks ago with current recovered number to make calculation.
Anonymous Coward
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03/02/2020 09:27 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Meh, compare it to the black plague and get back with me.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 53333777
United States
03/02/2020 11:48 PM
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Re: Some Corona virus calculations.
Someone can wake me up when it surpasses choking deaths which are five thousand a year or 14 per day.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78026040


Do you think it's not past 14/day? Do you honestly believe the CCP with their cases that effectively vanished into thin air?

The rest of the world will fast catch up to that. It's happening as we speak.
 Quoting: InfiniTea


14 a day in the USA - COVID is not killing 14 a day in the USA, sorry Sir.





GLP