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NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think

 
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NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Coronavirus going to hit its peak and start falling sooner than you think

By Michael Fumento
March 8, 2020 | 8:52pm |


Nations are closing borders, stocks are plummeting and a New York Times headline reads: “The Coronavirus Has Put the World’s Economy in Survival Mode.” Both political parties have realized the crisis could severely impact the November elections — House, Senate, presidency. And sacré bleu, they’ve even shuttered the Louvre!

Some of these reactions are understandable, much of it pure hysteria. Meanwhile, the spread of the virus continues to slow.

More than 18,000 Americans have died from this season’s generic flu so far, according to the latest data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In 2018, the CDC estimated, there were 80,000 flu deaths. That’s against 19 coronavirus deaths so far, from about 470 cases.

Worldwide, there have been about 3,400 coronavirus deaths, out of about 100,000 identified cases. Flu, by comparison, grimly reaps about 291,000 to 646,000 annually.

China is the origin of the virus and still accounts for over 80 percent of cases and deaths. But its cases peaked and began declining more than a month ago, according to data presented by the Canadian epidemiologist who spearheaded the World Health Organization’s coronavirus mission to China. Fewer than 200 new cases are reported daily, down from a peak of 4,000.

Subsequent countries will follow this same pattern, in what’s called Farr’s Law. First formulated in 1840 and ignored in every epidemic hysteria since, the law states that epidemics tend to rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern or bell-shaped curve. AIDS, SARS, Ebola — they all followed that pattern. So does seasonal flu each year.

Clearly, flu is vastly more contagious than the new coronavirus, as the WHO has noted. Consider that the first known coronavirus cases date back to early December, and since then, the virus has afflicted fewer people in total than flu does in a few days. Oh, and why are there no flu quarantines? Because it’s so contagious, it would be impossible.

As for death rates, as I first noted in these pages on Jan. 24, you can’t employ simple math — as everyone is doing — and look at deaths versus cases because those are reported cases. With both flu and assuredly with coronavirus, the great majority of those infected have symptoms so mild — if any — that they don’t seek medical attention and don’t get counted in the caseload.

Furthermore, those calculating rates ignore the importance of good health care. Given that the vast majority of cases have occurred in a country with poor health care, that’s going to dramatically exaggerate the death rate.

CONTINUED AT:
[link to nypost.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:11 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
The peak will be in May.
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:12 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
The peak? Lol, wtf is that? Most will be dead in a few weeks from the chaos that’s about to fire off.
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:14 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
You have to be a tard to believe anything they say
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:14 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
The peak? Lol, wtf is that? Most will be dead in a few weeks from the chaos that’s about to fire off.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76208295


OK doomer.

crazyjak
BRIEF

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03/09/2020 06:15 PM

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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
So we are down about 17%, we have until 30% before all of last year's gains are wiped out...we may have to do 2019 all over again!
I never forgive and I never forget

I am a licensed firearm holder. I will, under protection of law, use lethal force if attacked.

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midijeep

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03/09/2020 06:16 PM

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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Thread: Coronavirus Prediction - 03022020
Scorpionica

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03/09/2020 06:17 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Two words

(and they aren't "seasonal" and "common", words that describe what the author of that article is talking about)

but rather

"Novel" and "Pandemic"
"An unfailing experience of mundane events in harmony with the changes occurring in the heavens has instructed and compelled my unwilling belief." Johannes Kepler

"And God said, Let there be lights in the firmament of the heaven to divide the day from the night; and let them be for signs, and for seasons, and for days, and years..." Genesis 1:14
wYw
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03/09/2020 06:18 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
So NY POST is fake news when they report on the crimes committed at the Trump Foundation but now they’re gospel and to be trusted when their offices are literally right down the street from Wall Street........
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:20 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Clearly, flu is vastly more contagious than the new coronavirus, as the WHO has noted.
 Quoting: Doc Savage


bsflag
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:21 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
So NY POST is fake news when they report on the crimes committed at the Trump Foundation but now they’re gospel and to be trusted when their offices are literally right down the street from Wall Street........
 Quoting: wYw 76459720


Right? That article sounds like it was written by some of the propaganda experts in China.

"Nothing to worry about - it's no worse than the flu."

propoganda
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:22 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
A flutard must have written this article. The flutards logic is flawed. Flu does not start with one case. It is an ongoing disease that traverses the globe with the winter season where hundred of thousands if not millions are infected already at any one time. Covid-19 just started around November with a single individual and will take some time to get to the infection rates of the flu but with what appears to be a 20 to 30 times fatality rate.
GA Girl

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03/09/2020 06:26 PM

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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Who the hell wrote that? If we don't stop the virus and it spreads liberally through the population, we aren't looking at tens of thousands of deaths, we are looking at millions. The nitwit.
Elihua

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03/09/2020 06:27 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
So NY POST is fake news when they report on the crimes committed at the Trump Foundation but now they’re gospel and to be trusted when their offices are literally right down the street from Wall Street........
 Quoting: wYw 76459720


Right? That article sounds like it was written by some of the propaganda experts in China.

"Nothing to worry about - it's no worse than the flu."

propoganda
 Quoting: Blue_Triquetra


And isn't there still THE AIDS?

Also, where are comparative analysis against other BIOWEAPONS?
ADNI AChD
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:29 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
And once again the media jist downplay downplay downplay. Ignorance and idiocy deserves to he corrected and by are you all in for a correction in a few months.
MrCoolone

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03/09/2020 06:34 PM

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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Who is getting sick, and how sick? A breakdown of coronavirus risk by demographic factors

[link to www.statnews.com (secure)]

Crazy Nancy loading up the coronavirus appropriation bill with a bunch of liberal pork.
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:34 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Only FAKE NEWS and STOOGES use Chinese statistics in a way that portrays them as accurate. The Chinese are full of shit. Hundreds of millions are infected there and millions are dying and dead.
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:35 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
The media outright denied this for months then switched up to the it's just a flu line guess what flu is 0.1% fatality rate this virus is 5% fatality rate with an intact health care system.
ACME_MAN

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03/09/2020 06:35 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Ets(zetas as well as The Resistance) are echoing this as well. Probably too late for the economy though.

Last Edited by ACME_MAN on 03/09/2020 06:35 PM
FEAR NOT!! . . . Elvis will soon be coming home! ; )
Fighting for Truth, Justice and the ACME way!! ; )
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Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:37 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Influenza A viral replication peaks approximately 48 hours after inoculation and declines slowly, with little virus shed after about six days

2019-nCov can take more than 20 days to peak, and patients shed at a high rate

Quality journalism from the NY times yet again

norespect
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03/09/2020 06:39 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
You have to be a tard to believe anything they say
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78564843


^^^This


That article is absurd.

The assumption that flu is "vastly" more contagious because more people have gotten flu than cv19 in the same period is retarded.

Flu is endemic in the population while cv19 is new. Cv19 has several characteristics that make it terrifying to epidemiologists. Latency in both host and environment is one example.
Chaosisfreedom

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03/09/2020 06:40 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Fukken delusional.

This is happening. Deal with it.
Order is tyranny, chaos is freedom.
Tassie Lurker

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03/09/2020 06:41 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
The NY Post author better let the Italians know that this virus is nothing to worry about and the flu is worse...

Has these people seen the videos of the hospitals coming out of northern Italy? They are shocking...

Doctors and nurses are all infected, everyone in the hospitals are infected, I don't remember ever hearing about everyone in a hospital catching the flu before...

Last Edited by Tassie Lurker on 03/09/2020 06:42 PM
What you may think is gone... might come back to haunt you.
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:43 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Coronavirus going to hit its peak and start falling sooner than you think

By Michael Fumento
March 8, 2020 | 8:52pm |


Nations are closing borders, stocks are plummeting and a New York Times headline reads: “The Coronavirus Has Put the World’s Economy in Survival Mode.” Both political parties have realized the crisis could severely impact the November elections — House, Senate, presidency. And sacré bleu, they’ve even shuttered the Louvre!

Some of these reactions are understandable, much of it pure hysteria. Meanwhile, the spread of the virus continues to slow.

More than 18,000 Americans have died from this season’s generic flu so far, according to the latest data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In 2018, the CDC estimated, there were 80,000 flu deaths. That’s against 19 coronavirus deaths so far, from about 470 cases.

Worldwide, there have been about 3,400 coronavirus deaths, out of about 100,000 identified cases. Flu, by comparison, grimly reaps about 291,000 to 646,000 annually.

China is the origin of the virus and still accounts for over 80 percent of cases and deaths. But its cases peaked and began declining more than a month ago, according to data presented by the Canadian epidemiologist who spearheaded the World Health Organization’s coronavirus mission to China. Fewer than 200 new cases are reported daily, down from a peak of 4,000.

Subsequent countries will follow this same pattern, in what’s called Farr’s Law. First formulated in 1840 and ignored in every epidemic hysteria since, the law states that epidemics tend to rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern or bell-shaped curve. AIDS, SARS, Ebola — they all followed that pattern. So does seasonal flu each year.

Clearly, flu is vastly more contagious than the new coronavirus, as the WHO has noted. Consider that the first known coronavirus cases date back to early December, and since then, the virus has afflicted fewer people in total than flu does in a few days. Oh, and why are there no flu quarantines? Because it’s so contagious, it would be impossible.

As for death rates, as I first noted in these pages on Jan. 24, you can’t employ simple math — as everyone is doing — and look at deaths versus cases because those are reported cases. With both flu and assuredly with coronavirus, the great majority of those infected have symptoms so mild — if any — that they don’t seek medical attention and don’t get counted in the caseload.

Furthermore, those calculating rates ignore the importance of good health care. Given that the vast majority of cases have occurred in a country with poor health care, that’s going to dramatically exaggerate the death rate.

CONTINUED AT:
[link to nypost.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Doc Savage


QUITE LITERALLY THIS DECADES Y2K MOMENT.
GA Girl

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03/09/2020 06:44 PM

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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
They discovered an Atlanta itinerant teacher (teaches at three schools in Fulton County) has it. She got sick Friday and they sent her to the hospital. Confirmed today. So they let out school today for those three schools and the entire system is out tomorrow while they clean and assess the situation. It is not known where she got it. So folks, it is out in the population. Atlanta has it, everybody has it.
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:45 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Thread: COVID19 : This is not a seasonal sickness. It is ongoing. Progressive.
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:45 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
Crazy post in pigeon Chinglish from a weird thread.

It hinted that the virus has mutated becoming different from its original form



The TAO is not able be present.
He very occupyed. He in frequencies job.
Very hard reset dumped on this nation.
Nation never expect in return for our kind work in 2003/ 2008.
We got catch unaware, so very stupid action first few days.
Our people too celebrate world soldier games in Wuhan, not careful.
Too happy get ready for new lunar year cycle.
Too busy tryeing to find other business because of trade war, never think disease war.
Chinese People here still think like small children.
Beijing ruling people never think others use disease war after sars lost.
Now tough tough reset times bomb on our nation.
The TAO and soul people try smooth work to lessen hardship.
Try make very hot summer cool.

Covid disease first first very fixed, no change.
Then in 2 months, suddenly change.
Maybe weather or frequency change.
I think covid maker no expect virus soul frquency change.
Most Chinese people winter mucus sick, so virus attack wind energy.
Warm spring less mucus in lungs.
Virus change very strongly to second attack but I think people bodies get protection better.
So virus now very changed.
So maybe we can get a less hard reset to our economy and way of life

So virus changed.
We hope world people get ready.
Virus changed.
The weather and planet frequency changed virus.
The TAO said disease virus made in low spirit world then come into this world.
But planet frequency fight this low spirit virus, so virus now changed.
World people must take care.
All the best.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78190723


[link to godlike.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:46 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
The NY Post author better let the Italians know that this virus is nothing to worry about and the flu is worse...

Has these people seen the videos of the hospitals coming out of northern Italy? They are shocking...

Doctors and nurses are all infected, everyone in the hospitals are infected, I don't remember ever hearing about everyone in a hospital catching the flu before...
 Quoting: Tassie Lurker


but everyone in that dry cleaning place in my cousin vinnie DID catch the flu
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2020 06:46 PM
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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
The peak? Lol, wtf is that? Most will be dead in a few weeks from the chaos that’s about to fire off.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76208295


Just like how we were all supposidly going to die in three years if we dont all start panicking and accept the "new green deal" right?
beeches

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03/09/2020 06:49 PM

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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
A flutard must have written this article. The flutards logic is flawed. Flu does not start with one case. It is an ongoing disease that traverses the globe with the winter season where hundred of thousands if not millions are infected already at any one time. Covid-19 just started around November with a single individual and will take some time to get to the infection rates of the flu but with what appears to be a 20 to 30 times fatality rate.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75021818


not seeing that fatality info, do you have a link handy?
Covid WAS nothing... so now Soros orchestrates bricklaying
beeches

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03/09/2020 06:49 PM

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Re: NY POST: Coronavirus Is Going To Hit Its Peak And Start Falling Sooner Than You Think
The peak? Lol, wtf is that? Most will be dead in a few weeks from the chaos that’s about to fire off.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76208295


Just like how we were all supposidly going to die in three years if we dont all start panicking and accept the "new green deal" right?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 54764769


oh the irony!
Covid WAS nothing... so now Soros orchestrates bricklaying





GLP