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high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world

 
NDFarm

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05/12/2020 08:59 PM
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high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world
[link to www.usatoday.com (secure)]

A high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world, which makes it difficult to relax stay-at-home orders without putting most Americans at risk.

Dr. Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, said the initial wave of outbreaks in cities such as New York City, where one in five people have been infected, represent a fraction of the illness and death yet to come.

"This damn virus is going to keep going until it infects everybody it possibly can," Osterholm said Monday during a meeting with the USA TODAY Editorial Board. "It surely won’t slow down until it hits 60 to 70%" of the population, the number that would create herd immunity and halt the spread of the virus.
Yellow Bird in TX

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05/12/2020 09:05 PM
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Re: high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world
Isn't he just a fucking ray of sunshine....

Last Edited by TexasWind100 on 05/12/2020 09:05 PM
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2020 09:08 PM
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Re: high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world
[link to www.usatoday.com (secure)]

A high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world, which makes it difficult to relax stay-at-home orders without putting most Americans at risk.

Dr. Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, said the initial wave of outbreaks in cities such as New York City, where one in five people have been infected, represent a fraction of the illness and death yet to come.

"This damn virus is going to keep going until it infects everybody it possibly can," Osterholm said Monday during a meeting with the USA TODAY Editorial Board. "It surely won’t slow down until it hits 60 to 70%" of the population, the number that would create herd immunity and halt the spread of the virus.
 Quoting: NDFarm


So keep the sick and vulnerable safe
and protected, but let the main healthy
part of society get back to work.


Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2020 09:25 PM
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Re: high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world
[link to www.usatoday.com (secure)]

A high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world, which makes it difficult to relax stay-at-home orders without putting most Americans at risk.

Dr. Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, said the initial wave of outbreaks in cities such as New York City, where one in five people have been infected, represent a fraction of the illness and death yet to come.

"This damn virus is going to keep going until it infects everybody it possibly can," Osterholm said Monday during a meeting with the USA TODAY Editorial Board. "It surely won’t slow down until it hits 60 to 70%" of the population, the number that would create herd immunity and halt the spread of the virus.
 Quoting: NDFarm


Do you notice the word "policy" in the title of that center he works at? That means it's a politcally-driven privately funded thinktank that globalist billionairres like Bill Gates uses for propaganda. I'll bet his doctoral degree is in gender studies or lesbian dance therapy. Universities that study infectious diseases never put "policy" in the name.

Guys like him take their talking points from the UN or the WHO & regurgitate it from behind these front organizations.
NDFarm  (OP)

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05/12/2020 09:28 PM
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Re: high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world
If he's right that it will keep spreading this coming winter will be something nobody is prepared for.
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2020 09:50 PM
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Re: high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world
It doesn't make sense for this to spread to 60% of the global population when the Spanish flu spread to 25% in 1918, completely unhindered by modern intervention, all I can think of is the more interconnected travel, but if it spread throughout the entire planet anyway... Also h1n1 in 2009 spread everywhere and is estimated to have infected 10-20% of the global population. The 60% herd immunity is for schools and crowds, a floor of an office building with a couple hundred people at cubicles, I haven't seen anything showing viruses infecting 60% of the global population.

1918 influenza virus itself wasnt deadly, it was the weakening effects of it that paved the way for bacterial pneumonia that was deadly, which was responsible for over 90% of the deaths.

Remember also total infected wasnt 25% in every area, it was higher in urban areas and lower in rural areas.

So with that in mind, 25% infected, with a lower death rate by the actual virus due to 90%+ bacterial pneumonia cause of death, and higher infection rates in urban areas vs rural areas, taking into consideration the timeframe and modern medicine, supported by the estimated 10-20% global infected from h1n1 in 2009, 20% global infection is a good metric for total spread, with up to 30% in urban areas and as low as 2-3% in rural areas.

Think about this too, we're saying its very contagious, with asymptomatic/presymptomatic transmission, but we're also saying that it's likely due to those aspects that there was community spread undetected immediately from China in at least December. So how many cases and deaths went completely undetected, even with an estimated 1 in 5 infected in NYC.





GLP