This week's Economist model results: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 93% Trump 7%

Last week's Economist model run:

Chance of winning the electoral college:
Biden 90%
Trump 10%

Chance of winning the most votes:
Biden 99%
Trump 1%

Estimated electoral college votes:
Biden 346
Trump 192

Thread: NEW ECONOMIST MODEL FORECAST: Chance of winning the electoral college: Biden 90% Trump 10%

It appears the gap continues to widen.

Chance of the Economist getting any statistical assumption or model correct ZERO. Serial failers.

yes 2016 hillary 80 popular 400 electoral these elites who say this don know anything bout american voters know bourt their pschppnants

Communist? or Economist? I forget... :)

These people never stop. No matter how many times they are proven wrong and made fools of they just don’t stop. It’s sad and pathetic.

2020 is the year of the failed models. Corona Virus models....all failures. Political models...all failures.

What people do not realize is that this time period has nothing in common with any other election year before. The situation is way more complex and fluid than anything we have ever seen.

Every time people touts the records of polls or predictors from the past it means absolutely nothing about right now. '

the fix is in at the Electoral College.

If people actually vote that senile, child-sniffing, life long crook into office... then this nation deserves the commie hellhole it gets.

And you base your expert opinion on what?

Trumpty dumpty has a great fall.

Guarantee that.

Get fucked you Hate America commie cocksucker.

newtgingrich
@newtgingrich
·
17h
Our choice this fall is not between President Trump and President Perfection. It is between President Trump and a nightmare that would end America as we have known it.

Hillary Clinton has got this. Probably. Very probably

[link to www.economist.com (secure)]

What a convincing rebuttal.

instead of looking at poll numbers look at turnout at rallies. that will give you a clear picture of voter turnout :)

^^^^The Economist, Rothschild Central Banking, New World Order owned globalist, China-friendly FAKE NEWS outlet

This poster forgets to tell you that.

Rothschilds Illuminati are the puppet masters who wanted you vaccinated, chipped and tracked like a cow.

Again, this poster forgets to tell you that.

However this poster wants you to think, "Orange Man Bad."

"Orange Man bad" is a Rothschild Banking puppet master, mind control order.

Isn't that right, commie? And you want all white conservative in FEMA camps.

Fuck off.

Slight difference. That was an article discussing polls. The 2020 Economist model is only partially reliant on poll spdata.

You can read about how it works, the algorithm and source code here:

[link to projects.economist.com (secure)]

If the Dems had Biden so far ahead they wouldn't need to continue intentionally destroying the country and rule of law in order to create a situation where they can stuff the boxes with fraudulent mailed in ballots. The Dems are desperate. All their actions are of desperation. Trump is cool as a cucumber. Behavior says the Dems are way behind and might be swept out of power entirely. Their Black Lives Matter terrorism is backfiring bigly.

Hey moron, I've just gotten an eight week lesson in the loot, burn, kill America we will live in if your TDS cult of Marxists gain the White House.

Shove your smug communism up your fucking ass. Fucks like you made this revolutionary times, so don't mince words when what you mean is you want my white Trump ass dead and buried.

You shit-eating Marxist piece of shit.

Brought to you by the Covid modelers??

Lol triggly puff posting Gingrich twats.

Lmmfao the biggest f$g in the gay ole pussy party.


Hell West just stole the black vote the Hispanics hate trump the Christians see thriught him and the young whites are smarter enough to use the internet.

What's trump got stupid fat old white geezers that watch Dobbs and hannity?

Yeah he done.

Yes Trigger we get your explainer. If you don't like what you read, you just call it Rothschild Illuminati "fake news" and it goes away.

Also, liberally apply that all-purpose but meaningless "orange man bad" slogan as needed.

Hillary! Get off GLP and take your meds!

"TDS". That's a convincing rebuttal as well, Trigger.

I'll bet none of those editors will take a $1000.00 bet at those odds that President Trump is a two-term president.

I'm good for that action.

Estimated electoral college votes
Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict a range of outcomes. The midpoint is the estimate of the electoral-college vote for each party on election day.

Electoral-college simulations
Our model works by simulating 20,000 different paths for the election, each time varying candidates’ vote shares to account for polling error, changes in turnout or the political environment and the effects of campaigning.

Chance of winning each state
Our model combines the national prediction with polls and political-economic factors at the state level. We take into account that states that are similar are likely to move with each other; if Donald Trump wins Minnesota, he will probably win Wisconsin too.

HERE IS A FUN ECONOMIST PAGE WHERE THEY EXPLAIN HOW THE FUCKED UP 2016 SO BADLY

[link to www.economist.com (secure)]