Godlike Productions - Discussion Forum
Users Online Now: 2,181 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 1,119,475
Pageviews Today: 1,560,334Threads Today: 423Posts Today: 7,664
12:49 PM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)

 
JADR+
Offer Upgrade

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 12:41 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
(Update: It seems you can use this to detect electoral fraud)

The method that works is:

1) Last names - not full names - (or whatever is a simplest shortest way to identify the candidate . E.G: Beto is better than O'Rourke - Mccain is better than John or John Mccain)
2) Date range starts from beginning of campaign to 1 week after the election.
3) Always Filter by geographical area where election takes place
(Country, state, county etc..)

You do that, 9 out 10 times - the results match reality.

Note: the predictive system starts to breaks down when there are less than 500,000 voters, or when the election is too tight (candidates within 3% of each other.)





2004 election

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

2008 election:

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

2012 election:

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

2016 election:

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

2020 election: (past 90 days)

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]


butthurt9

Last Edited by JADR+ on 08/26/2020 12:23 AM
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 12:48 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Note: 2008 was an overwhelming win for Obama
The last 2 elections were very tight
the coming election looks like a total red tsunami.
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
sonofthemorning

User ID: 78050364
United States
08/24/2020 12:51 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Seems reasonable and the trends being more reliable than polls seem to ring to true too
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 12:59 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Seems reasonable and the trends being more reliable than polls seem to ring to true too
 Quoting: sonofthemorning


Indeed!
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 01:07 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Any comments from Biden supporters?
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
AsKnownAs
User ID: 78071531
United States
08/24/2020 01:15 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Holy moly! That's a trouncing!
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 01:19 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Holy moly! That's a trouncing!
 Quoting: AsKnownAs 78071531


A total massacre!!!

Last Edited by JADR+ on 08/24/2020 01:26 AM
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 01:31 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Someone else noticed this, 3 years ago!


I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 01:49 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)

I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:13 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Marjory Taylor Green VS John Cowan

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:18 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Brian Kemp vs Stacy Abrams

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77337151
United States
08/24/2020 02:21 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Interesting OP

Seems plausible
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:24 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Klobuchar vs Jim Newberger. (2018)

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]


Seems to work even for senate elections

Last Edited by JADR+ on 08/24/2020 12:36 PM
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:29 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Republican Mark Harris VS Dan McCready



[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Last Edited by JADR+ on 08/24/2020 12:40 PM
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78715086
United States
08/24/2020 02:32 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Are you comparing trump to Hillary in 2020?
Double check that.
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:33 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Are you comparing trump to Hillary in 2020?
Double check that.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78715086


[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Trump to Joe Biden 2020
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77337151
United States
08/24/2020 02:35 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Are you comparing trump to Hillary in 2020?
Double check that.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78715086


[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Trump to Joe Biden 2020
 Quoting: JADR+


Compare Trump and Kamala 2020
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78715086
United States
08/24/2020 02:37 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
[link to trends.google.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77606890
United States
08/24/2020 02:37 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
You see that USA map? Haha lots of red!!

Also, thank you for sharing
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:38 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Are you comparing trump to Hillary in 2020?
Double check that.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78715086


[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Trump to Joe Biden 2020
 Quoting: JADR+


Compare Trump and Kamala 2020
 Quoting: Agent Kitty


Kamala is a one hit wonder

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77606890
United States
08/24/2020 02:39 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
No wonder the shills and trolls are begging us not to vote haha
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77606890
United States
08/24/2020 02:39 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Are you comparing trump to Hillary in 2020?
Double check that.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78715086


[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Trump to Joe Biden 2020
 Quoting: JADR+


Compare Trump and Kamala 2020
 Quoting: Agent Kitty


Kamala is a one hit wonder

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]
 Quoting: JADR+


Oh that’s not good for her... haha they looked her up and said NO THANK YOU!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78715086
United States
08/24/2020 02:40 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
If you cherry pick the search terms you can get the outcome you want.
Another shit theead from OP.
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:47 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78715086


Use Trump instead of Donald Trump - people search for
"Trump" - that's his brand

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

The major predictor is how long the search term dominates ...

So if Biden were to dominate Trump for the next 1 month , Trump would be in serious trouble.

Last 7 days:

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Last 30 days:

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:48 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
If you cherry pick the search terms you can get the outcome you want.
Another shit theead from OP.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78715086


If you keep it to the last name ... answers are consistent
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77963234
United States
08/24/2020 02:49 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
WOW - lots of red in the graph and chart.
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 02:55 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
WOW - lots of red in the graph and chart.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77963234


To validate this ... just find past senate & congress elections, set the date filter and punch in the last names of the politicians

See what you get.

Prediction .. the winner will always dominate over time on google trends.

Try it with contested elections ...

Last Edited by JADR+ on 08/24/2020 02:58 AM
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77606890
United States
08/24/2020 02:57 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
If you cherry pick the search terms you can get the outcome you want.
Another shit theead from OP.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78715086


Didn’t like what you saw huh? Had to get nasty? Lol November going to be rough month for you
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 03:03 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Gillum Vs Desantis

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Last Edited by JADR+ on 08/24/2020 12:43 PM
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 03:06 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
Sinema Vs McSally

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Last Edited by JADR+ on 08/24/2020 12:45 PM
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+
JADR+  (OP)

User ID: 78331155
Australia
08/24/2020 03:12 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
If you cherry pick the search terms you can get the outcome you want.
Another shit theead from OP.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78715086


Didn’t like what you saw huh? Had to get nasty? Lol November going to be rough month for you
 Quoting: lionright


On top of that - the media is obsessed with Trump

+ No one trust the media anymore

= There is no such thing as bad publicity!

(= $billions worth of air time for free)

Last Edited by JADR+ on 08/24/2020 03:13 AM
I'm a J & proud zio.

OrangeManBad NFTs: [link to opensea.io (secure)]

FE Challenge: Provide a formula which calculates the exact distance between 2 GPS coordinates that does not use the Earth's radius of 6,371 km in it's assumptions

JADR+





GLP