Nicholas landed in Texas as Hurricane 1, NHC monitoring 2 systems in Atlantic | |
Maddrummerboy User ID: 69764054 United States 08/25/2021 03:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/25/2021 03:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | · 6m From Louisiana to Texas, final preps are being urged by officials in the eventuality that a strong hurricane makes a fast approach as soon as this weekend. Quote Tweet National Weather Service @NWS · 33m Now is the time to prepare along the Gulf Coast as we watch a disturbance likely to form in the Caribbean Sea that may impact the U.S. early next week twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/s… [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/25/2021 03:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/25/2021 05:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Model rain potential next 10 days. Concerning GFS slows system after landfall keeping tropical rain threat well after landfall for portions of Gulf Coast. GFS develops hot spots near LA coast of 20-25". WPC rain next 7 days pushing 10-15" is in the ballpark too. #99L #LAwx [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Whiskey*Tango User ID: 80681215 United States 08/25/2021 05:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I’ve said a few times here, east Texas is full of dead trees because we had that week of sub zero temperatures. Lots of dead oaks and pines as well as various trees I can’t identify. I’d imagine the power going out would last longer because I’d expect tree crews would not be as plentiful. Prepare folks, this could really suck. |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/25/2021 10:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 07:29 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 17m The @NHC_Atlantic is now giving Invest #99L a 90% chance of development. This is expected to form into a tropical depression or storm by later today or tomorrow. [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 07:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here are the 00z major global models and their ensemble members/means. Also the strike probability. As you can see they are zeroing in on the Louisiana coast for #Invest99L [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 07:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Keep an eye on this, as you know forecast models can change, but this one is worth watching, Quoting: FireFleye [link to coolwx.com] [link to weather.rap.ucar.edu] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 07:35 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Even though most model guidance is trending east it is still too early to know the exact track, intensity and timing. Everyone along the gulf coast needs to be prepared for potential landfall late Sunday-Monday @KHOU #khou11 Hurricane hunters set to take flight at 10am (our time) [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 07:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 505 AM EDT Thu Aug 26 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion of the system south of Jamaica. 1. Updated: Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better organized in association with a trough of low pressure located less than 200 miles south of Jamaica. Environmental conditions remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression or storm is expected to form later today or tomorrow. This system is forecast to move northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the Cayman Islands tonight, near Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Friday, and into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Given the recent developmental trends, Tropical Storm Warnings for the Cayman Islands and Tropical Storm Watches for western Cuba could be required later today. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and flooding will be possible over portions of Jamaica and the Cayman Islands today and tonight, and will likely spread across Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday. In addition, this system could bring dangerous impacts from storm surge, wind, and heavy rainfall to portions of the coasts of Louisiana, Texas, and the Mexican state of Tamaulipas late this weekend and early next week. However, uncertainty remains large since the system has yet to form. Interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of this system and ensure they have their hurricane plan in place. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 07:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't like to post spaghetti plots before a storm has even formed, but a striking number of models are bringing similar solutions to what is likely to be Hurricane #Ida [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 08:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Plot shows that water temps of 80°F+ (~26.5°C) extend several hundred feet below the surface in the eastern Gulf. This in association with the Loop Current. That deep source of hurricane fuel is one of many variables that must be considered when forecasting storm intensity. [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 08:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | · 15m With very warm Gulf waters & minimal wind shear in the Gulf, there are really no obstacles for #99L to overcome. Rapid intensification is a very real threat with this system as it enters the Gulf. The latest HWRF illustrates a scenario where rapid intensification occurs with 99L. [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Remedial_Rebel User ID: 78258400 United States 08/26/2021 09:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Data Buoys showing gulf water temps at 85F+ [link to www.ndbc.noaa.gov (secure)] Last Edited by Remedial_Rebel on 08/26/2021 09:27 AM |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 01:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Invest 99L has now been upgraded to a tropical depression. #TD9 will likely be named #Ida later today. [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 05:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | National Hurricane Center @NHC_Atlantic · 2m 520 PM EDT Update: Air Force hurricane hunters find depression has strengthened into Tropical Storm #Ida. [link to twitter.com (secure)] 336 WTNT64 KNHC 262116 TCUAT4 Tropical Storm Ida Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021 520 PM EDT Thu Aug 26 2021 ...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS DEPRESSION A TROPICAL STORM... Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate that the depression has strengthened to Tropical Storm Ida. The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. SUMMARY OF 520 PM EDT...2120 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 79.8W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICA ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES Last Edited by FireFleye on 08/26/2021 05:30 PM |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 05:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | · 1m CycloneALL EYES ON THE GULF! Water wave#IDA expected to form any moment now. Multi-model agreement that it will be a “MAJOR” HURRICANE as it approaches Gulf Coast Sunday (Louisiana?). This modelDown pointing backhand indexhas a 941 mb low just off the coast which equates to a CAT 4 (130-140mph) storm! @NHC_Atlantic [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 08:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Governor John Bel Edwards issues a State of Emergency for the State of Louisiana for preparations of #Ida [link to twitter.com (secure)] · 45m Gas lines are jam packed ahead of #Ida in #BatonRouge. Employees are directing traffic at #Costco. @WBRZweather @WBRZ @DrJoshWX #lawx [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 08:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | @GasBuddyGuy The State of Louisiana has issued a State of Emergency effective immediately. GasBuddy is preparing to activate our Fuel Availability tracker. We'll have more information in the morning. [link to twitter.com (secure)] Last Edited by FireFleye on 08/26/2021 08:26 PM |
Gemini Rising User ID: 79569244 United States 08/26/2021 08:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 10:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Grocery stores and gas stations are packed here in Metairie. It looks like all of Louisiana is in the cone of doom. I am ready. Quoting: Gemini Rising Good to hear you are ready, Louisiana Red Cross @ARCLouisiana · 5h For up to date resources and shelters in your area, dial 2-1-1 and follow @211Louisiana for additional information for AARP Louisiana @AARPLouisiana · 2h Sandbag locations parish-by-parish: [link to twitter.com (secure)] [link to www.wafb.com (secure)] Last Edited by FireFleye on 08/26/2021 10:20 PM |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 10:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 10:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Louisiana Red Cross @ARCLouisiana · 3h For health and mental health resources, follow @LADeptHealth [link to twitter.com (secure)] [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
FireFleye (OP) User ID: 80099288 United States 08/26/2021 10:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | National Hurricane center Info [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)] Last Edited by FireFleye on 08/26/2021 10:36 PM |
Superkicker User ID: 80400756 08/26/2021 10:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Superkicker User ID: 80400756 08/26/2021 10:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Superkicker User ID: 80400756 08/26/2021 10:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Keep an eye on this, as you know forecast models can change, but this one is worth watching, Quoting: FireFleye [link to coolwx.com] [link to weather.rap.ucar.edu] If that coolwx model holds up, Biloxi is toast again. So glad I left!!! Superkicker |
Superkicker User ID: 80400756 08/26/2021 10:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Superkicker User ID: 80400756 08/26/2021 10:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |