TORNADO OUTBREAK II

Just got off the phone with my chaser in Glenn Heights. School damaged, Apartments GONE. People trapped.

Watched it all through the night on the net..

Weather channel's been showing some of the TX damage. Devastating !!!

Little Rock, a tornado looks possible by 12pm or so your time.

Please take note.

ATTN: TESSA

12pmCDT map, Q1

[link to www.owsweather.com]

If you are in level 3 or 4 you are in danger of possible tornadoes by this time, likely associated with the squalline where it dropped tornadoes in TX.

Why was this unpinned? The worst isn't over for many of our GLPers.
.

Holy shit what a storm front!


Re-pin!

:the_iron_m: BUMP

Wide awake here is NC Arkansas... Looks like squall line is coming

Between Harrison and Mountain Home. We have a poster from here there in the "boonies" Embedded rotation in this, take cover now despite no warning issued yet.

I read this this morning:
[link to www.cnn.com]

and it made me remember this thread

Trust me, It's about to go down this evening and night in spots. This isn't even close to over.

The SPC has moved the moderate risk farther south. Is St Louis out of the woods for today?

Im awake Kevin!! Im in Conway AR I will be watching this thread closely today!!

Tessa stay safe in NLR!

Ill have a full report assessment up in 30 minutes.

It will span from 10-12pm to midnight. 12 hour period.

Kevin I want to say THANK YOU for doing this!!!!!!!

Kevin....did you get ANY sleep last night? It seems you've been on this thread a lot with not much break through the night.

Its raining again in Western Central Arkansas......woke up at 6am and got the dog out right before it started coming down again.

Where are you located 409801?

A bit south of Ft Smith Arkansas..... Everything really just missed us here. Some storms but nothing I would even consider bad

Be safe that is an area that has been hit really hard in the past!

Just wanted to say thank you, again, Kevin. Checking in again from Middle TN. Thank you for helping so many people.

Kevin our local news just said that our threat of tornadoes should be over with by noon. Do you agree?

Searcy County AR--

Tremendous amt. of rain. Looks like the squall line is getting closer.

My thanks, also, Kevin.

Over by noon? Well...

Heres the thing. If they are right, Kudos, but I'm getting indication of another line forming either on top, or West of LIttle Rock by the Evening.

Start of this period will be with the tornadic dynamics centering
over the Little Rock, Arkansas area. This is very much a trouble
spot as squalling to the East will be out of there. Most likely
leading to instability in the area. Surface low in the upper plains
deepening with time to allow backed surface winds toward it. This
means that any storm forming in this environment will produce a
tornado. A large area of level 4 will exist over the much of
Central/Eastern/Northern Arkansas today. This level 4 is not to be
taken lightly as it is working on what happened in TX the other day.
Latest satellite images suggest clouds hampering the
first part of the day in instability wise, however with time of the
day this should fade.
Fade it should, because by Evening time, this area is under a
dangerous situation. Why do I say this? Because a dryslot in
the mid levels moves in. This means aided instability over
Central/Eastern AR will give way to possibly a NEW developing
section or line of storms, extending from Northern AR/MO border,
Southward just West of LIttle Rock, and all the way to Eastern,TX.
This line would be in a favored environment for tornadic potential
so embedded tornadoes in this line as it matures is very possible.
At this same time, isolated cells possible ahead of this line
would put Memphis,TN at risk during this evening so remember this.
Evening time = possible tornadic activity in or around the Memphis
TN area. Level 3-4 is being detected and any storms going up in
that area would rotate instantly. Because of the seabreeze factor,
Southwestern Louisiana will have a marginal area of tornado risk
at this time, moving NE.
By after sunset, the line that would form just West, or over
Little Rock several hours prior will have moved Eastward toward the
Memphis,TN area. Level 3 exists inside of this and South winds
at the surface are present so indeed there is a chance of tornadoes
embedded in this line. Indications are the line will split into
a "leg" feature. What is a leg feature? Solid line on top, split
to 2 branches or legs on the Southern end. This is very evident
in wind flow around the line prior, and the Eastern line would
be the most tornadic. Line would extend all the way to the Central
and Southern Louisiana areas, including the Gulf Coast. Level 4
does exist as well in Northwestern Mississippi so I wouldn't be
surprised of embedded rotation, bow segments or tornadoes in
this line. Damaging winds are a def in this but we don't forecast
straight line winds. None-the-less, these storms will be having
embedded tornadoes in them. A dangerous setup in which
the squall line associated with Super Tuesday's tornado event this
year had. Little Rock will be clear by this time.
By well into the night, around 10pmCDT or Midnight, this line would
weaken in tornadic just a bit as it crosses Western TN, however
the Western and Northern Mississippi areas will hold on to level 4.
Winds coming at the line at the surface due South in that area, so
the chance of embedded tornadoes is a sure bet. Northern
Impulse splits off to level four in the Western Kentucky area,
having crossed Memphis and Western TN, moving NE hours before.
This is a level 4 outline and Kentucky should take that seriously
with embedded tornado chances in it. Indications of a slight South
Southwestern surface flow is making me think it could be a linear
type line in those parts, but tornadoes, embedded should also
be forecasted, especially when you have such high shear levels
in the atmosphere.
Tornado potential does make it to Southern IL/IN as well, however
on a more marginal chance at level 2.


Tornado Labs outlines..Remember first one is around noon CDT and increasing every few hours with each map. Last one is generally around midnight tonight..

[link to www.owsweather.com]

[link to www.owsweather.com]

[link to www.owsweather.com]

[link to www.owsweather.com]

[link to www.owsweather.com]




Kevin

So what about the Ft smith AR area?? Rain is letting up a bit looks like we're about done??

Apparent Tornadoes Hit Texas, Oklahoma
Severe.Weather

2 hours ago

SAN ANGELO, Texas — An apparent tornado with winds of up to 70 mph moved through West Texas early Thursday, tearing shingles from roofs, shattering glass and flipping vehicles.

Paramedics were dispatched throughout the city, but San Angelo police didn't have a number of injured.

The storm pelted the city with quarter-sized hail just after midnight with winds of up to 70 mph, said Hector Guerrero, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in San Angelo.

The National Weather Service received reports of cars and a tractor trailer flipped over. At least one building downtown was damaged and power lines were down in some areas, Guerrero said.

Shortly after, the storm system moved out of the area, Guerrero said. San Angelo is about 110 miles southeast of Midland.

Hours earlier, two apparent tornados also moved through another section of West Texas, and there were also reports of a tornado in Oklahoma, where one woman died when her car skidded off the road in heavy rain.

In Breckenridge, 125 miles west of Dallas, at least five homes were destroyed and minor injuries were reported, police said.

Robbie Dewberry, an administrator at Stephens Memorial Hospital, said the hospital treated three people for storm-related injuries. He said the hospital was operating on emergency backup power.

Crews with Oncor Electric Delivery were surveying the extent of the damage in Breckenridge, where about 3,500 customers were without power, Oncor spokesman Neal Blanton said.

KTVT-TV of Dallas-Fort Worth showed footage of damage at the small airport in the town. A twin-engine plane sat amid the crumpled sheet metal that had been a hangar.

Several outbuildings were also damaged, but officials could not immediately confirm that the damage was caused by a tornado, said Jessica Schultz, a National Weather Service meteorologist.

Another possible tornado hit Palo Pinto County between Graford and Oran, meteorologist Jennifer Dunn said. Officials said roofs had been blown off a few homes and trees were down in Oran, about 80 miles west of Dallas.

In Oklahoma, meteorologist Andrew Taylor said there were two reports of a tornado in Choctaw County in the southeastern part of the state, although no damage was reported. Taylor said the reports could have been about the same tornado.

Flooding caused the Oklahoma Department of Transportation to close five highways in the state, and the National Weather Service issued flood warnings for several eastern Oklahoma waterways.

Heavy rain and flash flooding were also reported in Arkansas. Entergy Arkansas said it opened spillway gates at the Remmel Dam in Hot Spring County to release excess water from Lake Catherine, about 50 miles southwest of Little Rock.

In Polk County, along the Oklahoma state line, U.S. 71 was covered with as much as a foot of water, while state Route 375 had 6 inches of water on it, the weather service said. Sheriff's officials said workers at the hospital in Mena were putting sandbags in place to keep water out of the emergency room.

Meanwhile, a small tornado caused scattered damage in southwest Michigan, authorities said.

No injuries were reported, but authorities said several horses were trapped inside a barn damaged by the stormy weather early Wednesday.
[link to www.comcast.net]

I'm in Middle TN too, and I will be watching this thread closely as long as I can. Any idea when this thing will be in this area?

Most of the Fort Smith area is out of the dynamics.

According to Kevin this is just the calm before the storm. Our local weather has been wrong before. We have had tornadoes and they said "oops, didn't see that coming." LOL