Severe Weather Outbreak & Geomagnetic Storm Underway. Mass Casualty Event | |
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DOORBERT IS ALIVE (OP) User ID: 84280174 ![]() 03/22/2023 05:02 PM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm watch has been added beginning March 24th due to a large coronal hole now facing Earth. A solar wind stream flowing from this zone is predicted to reach our planet by Friday and could contribute to nice displays of aurora at higher latitudes. Current solar wind conditions remain enhanced with a speed above 500 km/s. Sky watchers should be alert, especially towards the end of the week. [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] DOORBERT IS ALIVE |
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DOORBERT IS ALIVE (OP) User ID: 84280174 ![]() 03/23/2023 04:38 PM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2023 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z [link to www.spc.noaa.gov (secure)] ...Lower MS Valley... The air mass will destabilize across this area well into the evening, which will remain open warm sector with the cold front stalling to the west. Severe weather is most likely late in the day and evening as low-level moisture remains favorable, gradual cooling aloft occurs, and the low-level shear increases substantially. The fact that convergence will be subtle may be beneficial to the supercell tornado threat, and deepening bands of convection may eventually produce tornadoes from northern LA into central MS. Even if storms in this area remain isolated, impressive hodographs with 0-1 SRH over 300 m2/s2 will favor supercells and tornadoes, perhaps tracking for long distances given the lack of cold/stable air. Therefore despite perhaps a weaker model signal over these southern areas, the Moderate Risk has been maintained. DOORBERT IS ALIVE |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 85478636 ![]() 03/23/2023 04:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Day 3 Convective Outlook Quoting: DOORBERT IS ALIVE NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0234 AM CDT Wed Mar 22 2023 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Supercell thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards, including strong tornadoes, are possible across the Lower Mississippi Valley on Friday. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov (secure)] and? |
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DOORBERT IS ALIVE (OP) User ID: 84004714 ![]() 03/24/2023 05:45 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Mesoscale Discussion 0319 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023 [link to www.spc.noaa.gov (secure)] Areas affected...parts of central and northern Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 73... Valid 240846Z - 241045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 73 continues. SUMMARY...Storms ongoing across parts of WW 73 are expected to shift east-northeastward and eventually out of the existing watch boundaries. Limited severe risk expanding toward the DFW metroplex as these storms progress, will warrant consideration of WW issuance. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a vigorous/locally severe band of storms moving east-northeastward across the Big Country of Texas, with its progression roughly coincident with the advance of the surface cold front. With a moist/amply unstable airmass just atop a weakly stable surface-based layer, expect the convection to persist. However, severity of the convection is uncertain, with the low-level stability tempering wind risk to some degree, and radar trends over the past hour or so suggestive of only marginal hail/wind. Without an apparent mechanism that would lead to a substantial increase in storm organization/intensity, severe risk will likely remain limited/isolated -- and thus need for a downstream WW remains uncertain at this time. ..Goss.. 03/24/2023 DOORBERT IS ALIVE |
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DOORBERT IS ALIVE (OP) User ID: 84004714 ![]() 03/24/2023 01:23 PM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There could be some long duration, very powerful tornadoes from this event. DOORBERT IS ALIVE |
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