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Dramatic economic breakdown proceeding in China

 
Nasty figures.
User ID: 545393
Australia
11/07/2008 06:10 AM
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Dramatic economic breakdown proceeding in China
Things are getting worse by the day. People seeking "Doom" just do a bit of forward thinking and figure it out.




Dramatic economic breakdown proceeding in China


November 6, 2008 (LPAC)--The devastating consequences of a failure to adopt the New Bretton Woods proposals of Lyndon LaRouche, in the near term, are being writ large in the ongoing economic breakdown in China. The latest details reported are as follows:

*

A senior official of the State Council told the China Daily on Nov. 6, that ``major economic gauges indicate that we have entered into an excessive economic slowdown and need a radical stimulus package right now.'' He said he was ``shocked by the October growth rate, which is below zero, which means more closures, bankruptcies and job cuts.'' (emphasis added)

``In steel and iron, at least 30% of firms have already stopped production,'' the official, who demanded anonymity, continued, ``and this is hitting other industries.''
*

A senior official from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ziu Hongren, warned on Nov. 5 that China's industry is facing a ``grim situation,'' and that the global financial crisis will have a deep impact on the industrial and information technology sectors.

He said that the electricity, textile and non-ferrous metal industries have already sustained heavy losses, with 18.35% of large industrial companies losing money during the first eight months of the year. Industrial output growth fell to 11.4% in September, the lowest since April 2002. Power generation and oil production grew a mere 3.4% and 3.7% respectively, while steel output fell 9% year on year. In the first three quarters, the value of industrial exports rose 15.7%, which was 6% points down from a year earlier.
*

The official news agency Xinhua reported Nov. 6 that half of the autumn harvest from China's largest cotton platnation area in Xinjiang remains unsold, due to the slowdown of the textile and other industries on China's east coast. The price of cotton has crashed from 13,722 yuan/ton in August to just 2000 yuan/ton in October. Not only regular farmers, but impoverished migrant workers will be hit hard, since the cotton plantations employ millions of them seasonally.
*

China Daily reported Nov. 6 that already ``several hundred'' shoe factories have shut down just in the city of Dongguan, a center of the export industry, as orders have fallen by 30-40%, and production costs soar by over 20%. Last year China exported 73% of the world's shoes. Factory owners from Hong Kong and Taiwan are simply closing factories down and skipping town, leaving tens of thousands of workers without any livelihood.

[link to www.larouchepac.com]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 545393
Australia
11/07/2008 06:20 AM
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Re: Dramatic economic breakdown proceeding in China
"REORGANIZATION IN BANKRUPTCY"

Bankruptcy? That word seems to be a dirty dirty, filthy word for mainstream news outlets and commentators. Akin to Bart Simpson saying C**t during prime time televison.


Put The System Into Bankruptcy Now: The Bailout Is Killing The Economy!


Put The System Into Bankruptcy Now: The Bailout Is Killing The Economy!

November 6, 2008 (LPAC)--The continuing attempt to impose a monetary solution to the bankruptcy of the financial system is not just corrupt and incompetent, but it is also killing what remains of the global economy. Trillions of dollars have been pumped into the banks in the U.S. and Europe, but these banks are nevertheless restricting the issuance of credit to crucial areas of the economy. Of particular importance is the banks' shutting off of letters of credit and credit lines to the shippers who move raw materials and more finished goods around the world. The banks are thus shutting down world trade in a foolish--and suicidal--effort to save themselves.

The reason the banks are not lending is fairly simple: they are hopelessly bankrupt, sitting on losses far beyond anything they have admitted, far beyond what many bankers can imagine--they are in survival mode, desperate to take in all the money they can, while giving out as little as possible. We are talking here primarily of big international banks, whose speculative activities in the securities and derivatives markets have give them losses multiple orders of magnitude greater than their capital bases, banks which are integral parts of the Anglo-Dutch Liberal financial system. The financiers, determined to save themselves no matter what happens to the rest of humanity, are willing to sacrifice the services and infrastructure upon which human life itself depends, an approach which is both genocidal and suicidal. Such a policy cannot be tolerated by any society which wishes to survive.

The only way to save humanity from a plunge into a new dark age worse than that of the 14th Century is to put the Anglo-Dutch Liberal monetary system through bankruptcy proceedings, canceling all derivatives obligations, freezing the mountains of unpayable debt to be dealt with at our convenience, and providing a flow of U.S. Federal credit to fund the development projects and other programs necessary to protect the people and restart real economic activity.

The bankers who are restricting world trade are clearly insane, and if we tolerate their actions, so are we. Still, even at this late date, we can turn the situation around and launch the world on the path toward a new Renaissance. We know what the oligarchs will do, but the choice is really up to us.
[link to www.larouchepac.com]




LaRouche: All Negotiations Pertaining To The Current World Financial-Economic Crisis Are a Disgusting Waste of Time
[link to www.larouchepac.com]

By Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr.

November 6, 2008 (LPAC)--ALL NEGOTIATIONS PERTAINING TO THE CURRENT WORLD FINANCIAL-ECONOMIC EMERGENCY ARE A DISGUSTING WASTE OF TIME UNLESS THEY ARE PREMISED ON REPLACING THE PRESENT WORLD MONETARY SYSTEM, THROUGH A PROCESS IN REORGANIZATION IN BANKRUPTCY, TO A CREDIT-SYSTEM MODELED ON THAT PROVISION WITHIN THE U.S. FEDERAL CONSTITUTION. ANY PROPOSED REFORM WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF EXISTING MONETARY SYSTEMS IS, IN EFFECT, AN ACT OF INSANITY.

If your proposed expert does not agree, it is urgent that he, or she, be prepared to improve their understanding during the interval between the special meeting with some circles on November 11 and the webcast on November 18. Any contrary approach would be the equivalent, in global economic terms, of administering aspirins as a suggested cure for a the global-economic equivalent of a new pandemic of bubonic plague.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 545393
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11/07/2008 07:09 AM
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Re: Dramatic economic breakdown proceeding in China
China seems to be getting hammered most of all.



PRESS RELEASE

An Economic Breakdown Crisis, Not a 'Recession': Drastic Fall in Physical Goods Production Worldwide

Oct. 31, 2008 (EIRNS)—A severe contraction in physical economic production is underway worldwide, including closing of capacity across all key sectors, not just output. World agro-industrial capacity, which in recent decades was producing below breakeven internationally, in terms of real needs for national economies, is now on its way down below primitive survival levels, to the phase of complete breakdown and social collapse.

The following items are indicative of the process and patterns, though not comprehensive. In each of the instances reported, the sudden deflationary plunge in commodities prices is frequently cited as the proximate cause of any one particular sector's "downturn"—for some goods, prices have dropped by 50% in only a matter of weeks—but the overall dynamic is not price, and certainly not lack of demand, but the down-spiralling of all essential economic activity due to inaction on the emergency measures of the type proposed by Lyndon LaRouche.

Steel and Industrial Metals

* STEEL. All major producers are cutting back output. Arcelor Mittal is reducing steel production 15% worldwide, with major reductions set for Europe; for example, a 50% output cut at its second-largest production site, near Marseilles.

China's largest producer, Hebei Iron and Steel Group, said last week that it will cut production a further 10-20% over its prior 20% cutback in September. Already, smaller mills are closing operations outright. In the steel center of Tangshan, in Hebei Province, 60% of the small steel mills have halted production.

In Russia, Evraz, one of the nation's largest steel producers, will cut production by 25% at its Russian and Ukrainian plants, beginning in November. Severstal, the giant steelmaker, slashed production for October by 25-30% at plants in Russia, Italy, and the USA. Magnitogorsk, Russia's third-largest steelmaker, cut its October production of rolled steel by 15%.

India's Tata Steel will cut its crude steel output by 20%, or one million tons, over the next three months.

* IRON ORE. Vale do Rio Doce, the world's largest iron ore producer, and second-largest nickel producer, announced significant output cuts to begin Nov. 1. The company, citing a 20% reduction in world steel output, said in October that they will reduce iron ore production by 30 million tons, and cut their nickel output in Indonesia by 20 percent. They are making reductions in other operations at sites around the world, including in production of manganese ore and aluminum.

* ALUMINUM. The Aluminum Corp. of China (Chinalco), one of the nation's largest, announced Oct. 2 that it is cutting its electrolytic aluminum production capacity by 18%, as of Oct. 23. Its capacity was 3.5 million tons in 2007, and will be reduced by 720,000. Its action will contribute to a 10% drop in the total production of electrolytic aluminum in China.

* COPPER. In Chile, the world's largest copper producer, panic is reigning over the plunge in copper consumption internationally. The nation produced 10% less copper in September than a year earlier. Excondida, the world's largest copper mine, owned by BHP Billiton, is cutting processing capacity.

The biggest copper processor in China, a subsidiary to the Aluminum Corp. of China, announced that it will produce far less than capacity this year. Its output might reach only 105,000 tons of copper products, when capacity is 120,000 tons. The company is Chinalco Luoyang, based in Luoyang, Henan Province.

* ZINC. In North Korea, zinc exports to China have been almost the only foreign revenue producer, and are now cut back drastically.

In Bolivia, in the major mining province of Potosi, 80% of the region's zinc and silver mines are out of operation at present. The workforce of 25,000 has been cut in half. Where are the miners to go? Many are seeking to resume farming which they left years ago; they are planting potatoes, since the shutdown occurs during seeding season. It is reported that some miners are asking to be sent to the Chapare to join the ranks of coca producers, as occurred during the 1980s, when Jeffrey Sachs was economics adviser to then-Finance Minister, and later President Sanchez de Lozada.

In Canada, zinc mining operations will be suspended in British Colombia (Myra Falls) and Quebec (Langlois) by Breakwater Resources, the company announced Oct. 28.

In Russia, Chelyabinsk Zinc, the nation's largest producer, will cut 2009 output down to 150,000 tons, from 165,007 tons of zinc and alloys in 2007.

* TIN. There is a big decline in world consumption, especially in the United States. Of world production in recent years, Indonesia accounted for over 30%, and China 40%. Now, smelters everywhere are sharply cutting production. Whereas in 2005 Indonesia produced 137,000 tons; in 2007 this was down to 102,000; this year maybe only 80,000 tons will be produced.

Timber and Construction Materials

* LUMBER. North America. One of the biggest producers on the continent, West Fraser Timber Co., in Vancouver, announced this week that its output has been down 13% in the recent period. The decline in forestry overall has been going on for two years, but in recent months, turned into a bust because customers cannot get credit.

* WALLBOARD. In the United States, the output has been at 60% of capacity over the past 12 months.
[link to www.larouchepub.com]





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