New Storm Danny ! Dr Jeff says it's headed for Obama - GFS model have Danny tracking directly over Martha's Vineyard

[link to www.hurricanealley.net]

[link to www.tropicwx.com]

Uh Oh.

Judging by the complete disregard everyone in the NE showed with Bill. This could be bad.

We will see. My only prediction. No one in the NYC/Boston area gives a s*** til it's too late.

u r right...we dont give a rats ass...just more friggin rain

no doom here..move on

doom no doom

it's a hurricane

big friggin deal..

Youre gettin downright weather doomy!

please save your doom for something else bigger than this

we have seen noreasters stronger than this, and blizzards, and still we go on and might I say do a bit better than survive

get a life

10% chance of Category 2 at 72 hours.....

Why dont you just leave the thread then?

As long as its not 32 degrees -we need the rain right now !!

I'm wicked skeered Ice!

really!!!

I am just posting storm updates!!!

a named storm has always been followed on GLP !

more info!

[link to www.stormpulse.com]

Just curious ... did people in the NE talk s*** about the people who stayed in N.O. for Katrina?

what are you talking about??

. .

Hi, RT

Hurricane season ... always an exciting time at GLP.

.

AQ7

I don't know you but I like you!!

thanks for helping

ice

AQ's cool, youre cool....Im iffy

Just saying here in my part of the country (well away from coasts) everyone talked s*** (myself excluded) about "Why didn't they get out of town?"

Just curious if that happened in the NE as someday here they're going to be stuck in a similar boat.

No offence intended.

Many of the roads out were jammed to a standstill, there was flooding even before the storm hit....roads closed the whole shebang.

Nothing would please me more than to see a CAT 5 shoved right up the pie hole of New York and New England. Maybe it would shut you stupid fucks up for a change.

most of the folk in the New Orleans area left big time!!

many very poor folk that didn't own cars and just didn't believe it could get that bad stayed!!!!

not many places like New Orleans! all I am going to say

Danny is going to be so close to Nantucket, Chatham and yes....Orleans, MA
The RSOE map has it about a mile off the coast, at category 2 it would make a nice mess of things.

:DannyTrack:

Possible piling of water and flooding in Cape Cod...only good thing is that Danny will most likely go by like it was shot out of a cannon

good news

Dr Jeff update



The forecast for Danny
As Danny continues to plow through the upper low, the low will weaken, but will dump dry air into the storm through Thursday afternoon, slowing down development. By Thursday night, when Danny should be several hundred miles off the coast of northern Florida, the upper-level low may be weak enough and far enough away that Danny will find itself in a region with light upper level anticyclonic winds, which would favor more rapid development. Ocean heat content (Figure 1) is high enough to support a hurricane, until Danny gets to about New Jersey's latitude. Most of the intensity models, including the GFDL, HWRF, and SHIPS model, forecast that Danny will become a hurricane by Friday. However, this favorable environment will not last long, since a strong trough of low pressure will be approaching the U.S. East Coast on Friday. This trough will bring high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots by Friday night. This trough should be strong enough to turn Danny to the north, then northeast on Saturday. The models have come into better agreement keeping Danny offshore as it passes North Carolina, though the storm is certainly capable of giving the Outer Banks a direct hit. As Danny passes North Carolina, it should start heading north-northeast, with a landfall likely Saturday afternoon or evening somewhere between Massachusetts and Nova Scotia. At that time, Danny is likely to be a strong tropical storm or weak Category 1 hurricane, with winds in the 55 - 80 mph range. The latest runs of the GFDL and GFS model have Danny tracking directly over Martha's Vineyard, where President Obama is on vacation. It will be interesting to see if the president stays on the island for Danny.

As Danny passes North Carolina, it should start heading north-northeast, with a landfall likely Saturday afternoon or evening somewhere between Massachusetts and Nova Scotia. At that time, Danny is likely to be a strong tropical storm or weak Category 1 hurricane, with winds in the 55 - 80 mph range. The latest runs of the GFDL and GFS model have Danny tracking directly over Martha's Vineyard, where President Obama is on vacation. It will be interesting to see if the president stays on the island for Danny


Interesting to note as well...

According to our local weather guy here in NE he says Danny should be a cat 1 on Saturday and will make landfall, at the same time as Sen. Kennedy's funeral.

Ill see your 2 and raise it 3.