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Forecasters Predict 6-8 Hurricanes in 2010 Atlantic Season

 
mopar28m
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12/09/2009 11:36 PM
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Forecasters Predict 6-8 Hurricanes in 2010 Atlantic Season
[link to www.foxnews.com]

MIAMI, Dec 9 The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season will produce 11 to 16 tropical storms, including six to eight hurricanes, the Colorado State University storm forecast team predicted on Wednesday.

"We foresee a somewhat above-average Atlantic basin hurricane season," veteran Colorado State University forecaster William Gray said in a statement.

The noted hurricane forecasting team said three to five of the storms would become "major" hurricanes of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson intensity scale.

The forecast issued by the university in December 2008 for the 2009 hurricane season turned out to be off the mark.

The forecasters had expected the 2009 season to produce 14 tropical storms, of which seven would become hurricanes. The 2009 season that ended Nov. 30 saw nine storms, including three hurricanes, and was the quietest since 1997.

Atlantic hurricane activity this year was below average, due in part to El Nino, the eastern Pacific warm-water phenomenon that tends to suppress Atlantic hurricanes.

"We anticipate the current El Nino event to dissipate by the 2010 hurricane season and warm sea-surface temperatures are likely to continue being present in the tropical and North Atlantic during 2010 conditions that contribute to an above-average season," Gray said.

No hurricanes hit the United States in 2009 for the first time in three years. Two systems, Claudette and Ida, brought tropical storm-force winds to U.S. shores.

The Colorado State forecast team offered its 2010 predictions in a range rather than the specific numbers it had used in the past, following the lead of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. climate agency.

An average Atlantic season has about 10 tropical storms, of which six become hurricanes.
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Anonymous Coward
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12/10/2009 07:31 AM
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Re: Forecasters Predict 6-8 Hurricanes in 2010 Atlantic Season
The forecast issued by the university in December 2008 for the 2009 hurricane season turned out to be off the mark.

The forecasters had expected the 2009 season to produce 14 tropical storms, of which seven would become hurricanes. The 2009 season that ended Nov. 30 saw nine storms, including three hurricanes, and was the quietest since 1997.
 Quoting: mopar28m


I predict the sun will come up tomorrow.

And unlike these guys, I hereby guarantee that my prediction will be correct.
John Donson
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03/02/2010 08:48 AM
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Re: Forecasters Predict 6-8 Hurricanes in 2010 Atlantic Season
Living in Florida, I have become astute at predicting how the Summer storm season shapes up. Last year, all the "experts" were predicting 10-11 storms. I try to concentrate on Florida only, and I said we'd get one tropical storm. We got one! This year, with El Nino in effect, you can expect a later start to the Summer storm season. El Nino will give way around June and then expect storms to form in the lower Caribbean and upper Atlantic. Florida will get 1 glancing cat1 hurricane in the extremities of the state, but no major damage. There will also be 2 trop storms that form just off the coast before making landfall and proving to be just a rain event.
Anonymous Coward
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03/02/2010 08:49 AM
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Re: Forecasters Predict 6-8 Hurricanes in 2010 Atlantic Season
I predicted zero (0) last season, and I was right.
Anonymous Coward
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04/02/2010 03:33 PM
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Re: Forecasters Predict 6-8 Hurricanes in 2010 Atlantic Season
The 2010 Hurricane Season in the Atlantic Ocean will begin on June 1, 2010, and end on November 30, 2010.

Accuweather.com released its early hurricane season forecast on March 12, 2010. According to Chief Long-Range Meteorologist and Hurricane Forecaster Joe Bastardi, the 2010 hurricane season will be busier than the 2009 season. Bastardi predicts that the 2010 season will bring 15 tropical storms and 5 hurricanes.

He expects 2 or 3 hurricanes to make major landfall in the U.S. The Accuweather.com forecast is based on a weakening El Nino, warmer ocean temperatures, weakening trade winds, and higher humidity levels than in 2009.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center will announce storm watches and warnings 12 hours earlier than in previous hurricane seasons. The earlier lead time will give those living in coastal areas more time to prepare and evacuate.


NOAA will issue its initial forecast for the 2010 season on May of 2010.

[link to latimesblogs.latimes.com]
Anonymous Coward
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04/02/2010 03:36 PM
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Re: Forecasters Predict 6-8 Hurricanes in 2010 Atlantic Season
"Forecasters", you said "Forecasters"?
uh uh
Anonymous Coward
04/02/2010 03:37 PM
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Re: Forecasters Predict 6-8 Hurricanes in 2010 Atlantic Season
I will have to consult EAT and let you know.





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