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WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!

 
NawtyBits

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05/22/2013 03:58 PM

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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
Thoughts? The video seems to be discussed by someone with knowledge of the event...

[link to ultimatesurvival.net]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32703806


Don't listen to Dr. Ass. He said nothing would happen on February 15th, 2013 and we all know how that turned out.

What is interesting about the following recent an upcoming near earth asteroids (all the relevant data on them is available at [link to spaceweather.com] is that not only were all of them discovered only within the past week or so, but they all had or have relatively high orbital condition codes, which ranks orbital uncertainty between 0-9, with 0 being very certain, and 9 being highly uncertain. Not only that, but they all have a miss distance of under 10 LD, which is highly telling.

2013 JM22

2013 KQ1

2013 KA

2013 KT1

2013 KB

2013 KS1
 Quoting: LunaHominem


They have a longtime uncertainty, not uncertainty if they will hit or not this time. They will not!
I'm getting tired of people who can not find out the facts before they write a lot of nonsense here.
 Quoting: Polarlight 4928643


I went over this yesterday, but it bears repeating:
...


It's in reference to long term uncertainty, which is always high for a newly discovered asteroid. It says nothing about the chance for impact, especially in the short term.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro




Please:

1. Explain the marked term and provide a reference with a technical definition and/or explanation of it.

2. The "Uncertainty Parameter U" is a "long term uncertainty"? Explain it and provide a reference.

Thanks a lot.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 40249953


[link to www.minorplanetcenter.net]
You can be quite uncertain about the orbital period and time of perihelion passage of a newly discovered asteroid, but still extremely certain that it won't hit you in the short term shortly after its discovery. Short arc = high uncertainty, but if that short arc of observations is close to the time of its perigee that you're "worried" about, you can still be certain whether it will hit you or not. Despite 859 observations made prior to impact, which was one of the most successful and rapid observation campaigns in history, the uncertainty code for 2008 TC3 (which hit earth) was still at a 4.
[link to www.minorplanetcenter.net]
And that's after those 859 observations are taken into account. It was immediately known that it would hit us in the short term even with just a few observations and what would have been an even higher uncertainty parameter.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


In fact I should probably do a whole thread explaining this subject with examples like this.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


You should. But, it is a waste of text. There are those who won't believe anything you say. Dumbasses will be dumbasses.

Keep up the good work.
WWJBD-What Would Jimmy Buffett Do

"If it's wet and not yours, don't touch it." Oregon H1N1 Summit speaker
Polarlight
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05/22/2013 04:07 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
coffee4

Nice afternoon doom with my coffee!

It's probably nothing though.

Hey what would have happened if the meteor actually hit Russia?

What puzzles me is how it went unnoticed. Was it too small??
 Quoting: sdavis642


There's no doom, this rock safely passed by earth hours ago as it was predicted to. The Chelyabinsk meteor approached from the daylit side of earth. We can't discover asteroids with our telescopes, particularly small asteroids, in the middle of the day. We're only just now starting to put up space telescopes specifically to search the region of space between the sun and earth for undetected asteroids.
[link to www.asc-csa.gc.ca]
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Do you know if NEOSSAT working at 100% yet? Is the data available online like the data from Minor Planet Center?
Polarlight
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05/22/2013 04:09 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
The question was for Dr. Astro
"Do you know if NEOSSAT working at 100% yet? Is the data available online like the data from Minor Planet Center?"
Anonymous Coward
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05/22/2013 04:11 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
bsflag Its so far away!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35577046


yeh. and it's IN-COMING!
Dr. AstroModerator
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05/22/2013 04:17 PM

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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
The question was for Dr. Astro
"Do you know if NEOSSAT working at 100% yet? Is the data available online like the data from Minor Planet Center?"
 Quoting: Polarlight 4928643


As far as I know, NEOSSat hasn't had any discoveries yet.
[link to neossat.ca]
Also I cannot find an MPC code for NEOSSat, so they don't appear to even be contributing astrometric data yet.
[link to www.minorplanetcenter.net]
astrobanner2
Billxam

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05/22/2013 04:21 PM

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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
This is the same damn video I posted last week. Still going to be 700,000 miles away.

Thread: Full on Doom! .KB 2013; .0082 AU
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Anonymous Coward
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05/22/2013 04:30 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!




YESabduct
Anonymous Coward
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05/22/2013 04:33 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
...


Don't listen to Dr. Ass. He said nothing would happen on February 15th, 2013 and we all know how that turned out.

What is interesting about the following recent an upcoming near earth asteroids (all the relevant data on them is available at [link to spaceweather.com] is that not only were all of them discovered only within the past week or so, but they all had or have relatively high orbital condition codes, which ranks orbital uncertainty between 0-9, with 0 being very certain, and 9 being highly uncertain. Not only that, but they all have a miss distance of under 10 LD, which is highly telling.

2013 JM22

2013 KQ1

2013 KA

2013 KT1

2013 KB

2013 KS1
 Quoting: LunaHominem


They have a longtime uncertainty, not uncertainty if they will hit or not this time. They will not!
I'm getting tired of people who can not find out the facts before they write a lot of nonsense here.
 Quoting: Polarlight 4928643


"longtime uncertainty"??

I couldn't find that term in the NASA JPL glossary.

Sounds like you are shilling. The question is, do you shill on your own or do you work for Dr. Ass?
 Quoting: LunaHominem


He's just an astro hater, theres no shortage here. One of the more ignorant ones too, as he apparently doesn't know Astro wasn't wrong on Feb 15, or just wants to lie about it to discredit him. Its been stated over and over, but then who would he have to project hate onto? Astro was right, the asteroid being studied that day didn't hit Earth and passed by with no effects. What happened was an incoming object from the direction of the sun (a completely DIFFERENT object) went undetected and exploded over Russia. That has nothing to do at all with Astro assuring everyone of the idiots claiming the last hit were wrong, it was a completely separate event that occurred the same day.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 40165655


I don't hate anyone. Certainly not Dr. Ass. I love Dr. Ass. I am here to help him. He is a very sick man, but brilliant nonetheless. I am here to try to help rehabilitate him and to save him from the dark side.
Anonymous Coward
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05/22/2013 04:45 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
spock
 Quoting: JUST HERE


0.008 AU is 1.2 million kilometers, three times the distance to the Moon
VAK

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05/22/2013 04:50 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
good vid OP. they are always discovering surprise asteroids just the day before. who knows what's coming our way these days.
howdy
VAK

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05/22/2013 05:01 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
BREAKING:

RODS OF GOD KINETIC WEAPONS TO BE LAUNCHED AT THE SURFACE GOY TO DESTROY THEM AND TAKE FURTHER CONTROL.

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 40306148


Thats a bad scenario for the planet.GLP effect activated.
On a lighter note,rocks are falling...

[link to www.merriott-astro.co.uk]
 Quoting: moot
i checked that site today for the first time in a while because i thought business might pick up in the next few days. could be an exciting watch.
i've seen some strange patterns on those grids..
howdy
Anonymous Coward
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05/22/2013 05:02 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
I don't hate anyone. Certainly not Dr. Ass. I love Dr. Ass. I am here to help him. He is a very sick man, but brilliant nonetheless. I am here to try to help rehabilitate him and to save him from the dark side.
 Quoting: LunaHominem


You're nuts.
Neither Astro, nor anyone else, needs your "help", nutcase.

crazyjak
 Quoting: The Comedian


LOL!

Says the schmendrick with a sociopath as his avatar.
Anonymous Coward
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05/22/2013 05:27 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
If this is yet another asshole reading something and recording himself doing so, making up some bad science, I'm going to throw up. SO sick of retards recording themselves reading websites. Just post the damn link to the site instead of making a you tube video, attention whores.
Isis7

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06/08/2013 01:32 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
(2013 LR6) 2013-Jun-08 0.0007 0.3 7.2 m - 16 m 27.8 9.88

[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]
[link to neo.jpl.nasa.gov]

~~~~~~~~~~ ???


[link to youtu.be]

Last Edited by Isis7 on 06/08/2013 01:56 PM
Anonymous Coward
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06/08/2013 01:35 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
This shit again? No, 2013 KB is not a risk for impact today. Look at the close approach table. Minimum distance is about .008 au.
[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]
I solved the orbit of this asteroid myself, look at the delta column, that's the distance in au. It agrees with NASA; it won't hit us.
[link to 2005yu55.jimdo.com]
 Quoting: Dr. Astro



Yup, astroshill's keyword alert program let him know that a thread with the word "asteroid" needed to be addressed.

Why do you even bother?
Anonymous Coward
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06/08/2013 01:37 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
Lots of DOOM today……


I picked a hell of a day to quit sniffing glue


:baddaytoquit:
 Quoting: YaRight


lmao
 Quoting: G3


Dr. AstroModerator
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06/08/2013 01:40 PM

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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
This shit again? No, 2013 KB is not a risk for impact today. Look at the close approach table. Minimum distance is about .008 au.
[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]
I solved the orbit of this asteroid myself, look at the delta column, that's the distance in au. It agrees with NASA; it won't hit us.
[link to 2005yu55.jimdo.com]
 Quoting: Dr. Astro



Yup, astroshill's keyword alert program let him know that a thread with the word "asteroid" needed to be addressed.

Why do you even bother?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17326437


If I'm a "shill," then why was I right once again? Why would a "shill" bother? A shill wouldn't, an amateur astronomer might.
astrobanner2
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06/08/2013 01:49 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!


Yeah, dude.
 Quoting: NewThor


As always, loved it
Anonymous Coward
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06/08/2013 01:50 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
This shit again? No, 2013 KB is not a risk for impact today. Look at the close approach table. Minimum distance is about .008 au.
[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]
I solved the orbit of this asteroid myself, look at the delta column, that's the distance in au. It agrees with NASA; it won't hit us.
[link to 2005yu55.jimdo.com]
 Quoting: Dr. Astro



Yup, astroshill's keyword alert program let him know that a thread with the word "asteroid" needed to be addressed.

Why do you even bother?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17326437


yep dudes a ass
Anonymous Coward
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06/08/2013 02:06 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!
This shit again? No, 2013 KB is not a risk for impact today. Look at the close approach table. Minimum distance is about .008 au.
[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]
I solved the orbit of this asteroid myself, look at the delta column, that's the distance in au. It agrees with NASA; it won't hit us.
[link to 2005yu55.jimdo.com]
 Quoting: Dr. Astro



Yup, astroshill's keyword alert program let him know that a thread with the word "asteroid" needed to be addressed.

Why do you even bother?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17326437


yep dudes a ass
 Quoting: Eyewitness2theEnd


The both of you are utterly retarded. Astro has come into threads full of bullshit, and has shed scientific light, and has never been wrong. You should be fucking grateful to even have someone soo educated take time out of their day to address a bunch of crazy people who constantly think every fucking rock in the sky is barreling towards the earth.

He may act like an ass occasionally (when being attacked) but at least he can say he doesnt act like a fucking lunatic, can you say the same?
Isis7

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06/08/2013 10:04 PM
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Re: WARNING–BREAKING NEWS: NASA Finds Near Earth Asteroid–Impact Possible!!!!

[link to youtu.be]





GLP