Owning precious metals during hyperinflation? | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 39139603 United States 05/24/2014 11:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The precious metals are used during hyperinflation as a store of value. You wouldn't actually sell PMs during hyperinflation, you basically hold through the period until a fiat reset. If you had $1000 in cash and $1000 in PMs one day during hyperinflation. In a year that $1000 in cash would have only a fraction of its purchasing power left whereas the PMs would have "stored" the value of $1000 cash a year ago. |
Fact over Fiction User ID: 58429792 United States 05/24/2014 11:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have answered this question here before, but I would be delighted to answer it again for you. Unfortunately, we have a real world example of this hyper-inflation happening in Zimbabwe recently. There, the villagers cannot use Zimbabwe dolalrs to buy their food. They must have gold. They have to go down to the local rivers and pan for it all day long to buy thier bread, rice, soap, etc. That is all that is accepted in terms of money there. If you are not physically able to go pan for gold, somebody else must pan for you. Otherwise, you die. One villager says "If you want to buy bread, you need gold, if you want to buy rice, you need gold, if you want soap, gold. Gold, gold, gold." [link to www.youtube.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 34889995 United States 05/24/2014 11:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/24/2014 11:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The precious metals are used during hyperinflation as a store of value. You wouldn't actually sell PMs during hyperinflation, you basically hold through the period until a fiat reset. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 39139603 If you had $1000 in cash and $1000 in PMs one day during hyperinflation. In a year that $1000 in cash would have only a fraction of its purchasing power left whereas the PMs would have "stored" the value of $1000 cash a year ago. I'm afraid people who use this strategy may end up starving to death as very much "rich" people. |
Quasar User ID: 27323300 United States 05/24/2014 11:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If things do get so bad that no one will want it then you will probably not want to live too long anyway. However even if things go that bad in time the situation will start to normalize for those who are still alive and gold will then be used as a store of value once again... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 39139603 United States 05/24/2014 11:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The precious metals are used during hyperinflation as a store of value. You wouldn't actually sell PMs during hyperinflation, you basically hold through the period until a fiat reset. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 39139603 If you had $1000 in cash and $1000 in PMs one day during hyperinflation. In a year that $1000 in cash would have only a fraction of its purchasing power left whereas the PMs would have "stored" the value of $1000 cash a year ago. I'm afraid people who use this strategy may end up starving to death as very much "rich" people. Obviously, one must have a supply of food, gas, lead.....THEN go to PMs. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/24/2014 11:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have answered this question here before, but I would be delighted to answer it again for you. Quoting: Fact over Fiction 58429792 Unfortunately, we have a real world example of this hyper-inflation happening in Zimbabwe recently. There, the villagers cannot use Zimbabwe dolalrs to buy their food. They must have gold. They have to go down to the local rivers and pan for it all day long to buy thier bread, rice, soap, etc. That is all that is accepted in terms of money there. If you are not physically able to go pan for gold, somebody else must pan for you. Otherwise, you die. One villager says "If you want to buy bread, you need gold, if you want to buy rice, you need gold, if you want soap, gold. Gold, gold, gold." [link to www.youtube.com] I never heard that before, interesting. Would be possible to match the amount being sold to the exact value of each piece of gold? And wouldn't it be too much of a burden to check to make sure each and every piece of gold is real before each sale could be made? I don't know how all that would work in reality. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/24/2014 11:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 44065675 United States 05/24/2014 11:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/24/2014 11:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have answered this question here before, but I would be delighted to answer it again for you. Quoting: Fact over Fiction 58429792 Unfortunately, we have a real world example of this hyper-inflation happening in Zimbabwe recently. There, the villagers cannot use Zimbabwe dolalrs to buy their food. They must have gold. They have to go down to the local rivers and pan for it all day long to buy thier bread, rice, soap, etc. That is all that is accepted in terms of money there. If you are not physically able to go pan for gold, somebody else must pan for you. Otherwise, you die. One villager says "If you want to buy bread, you need gold, if you want to buy rice, you need gold, if you want soap, gold. Gold, gold, gold." [link to www.youtube.com] I never heard that before, interesting. Would be possible to match the amount being sold to the exact value of each piece of gold? And wouldn't it be too much of a burden to check to make sure each and every piece of gold is real before each sale could be made? I don't know how all that would work in reality. And, determining the actual value of a piece of gold takes expertise, I'm not buying this story without research, it's too illogical. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58429792 United States 05/24/2014 11:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have answered this question here before, but I would be delighted to answer it again for you. Quoting: Fact over Fiction 58429792 Unfortunately, we have a real world example of this hyper-inflation happening in Zimbabwe recently. There, the villagers cannot use Zimbabwe dolalrs to buy their food. They must have gold. They have to go down to the local rivers and pan for it all day long to buy thier bread, rice, soap, etc. That is all that is accepted in terms of money there. If you are not physically able to go pan for gold, somebody else must pan for you. Otherwise, you die. One villager says "If you want to buy bread, you need gold, if you want to buy rice, you need gold, if you want soap, gold. Gold, gold, gold." [link to www.youtube.com] I never heard that before, interesting. Would be possible to match the amount being sold to the exact value of each piece of gold? And wouldn't it be too much of a burden to check to make sure each and every piece of gold is real before each sale could be made? I don't know how all that would work in reality. OK - well if you have enough time to post this question, again, you have enough time to watch the first thirty seconds of the video where the bread merchants roll up in their truck and weigh the gold fragments that were panned from the river. They have a little electronic scale with them. Do you see? |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/24/2014 11:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I would go and study Germany before they went into hyperinflation and then their mark went boom. Study before and after who did the best, from what I read it was country people who raise their own food, it is better than bark off trees. Quoting: Wells It's common sense to me. Food and water will be the most valuable things during hyperinflation. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58449897 Australia 05/24/2014 11:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | During a hyper-inflationary period you're not gonna be able to trade precious metals directly for food very often. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58448612 In a hyper-inflationary almost everyone will only be focused on daily survival so who will you sell your precious metals to? If you have to sell your precious metals to foreigners under those conditions, you're probably gonna get a poor exchange rate on the trade provided that your currency can be exchanged at all during a hyper-inflationary period. Can a PM believer explain all this to me? OP why don't you buy "non-precious" metals that are always in demand? Like metalworking files. Everybody needs those. Imagine if you had a few thousand yuans worth of mill bastard files, after hyperinflation, you would have ONE! MILLION! YUAN! |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/24/2014 11:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have answered this question here before, but I would be delighted to answer it again for you. Quoting: Fact over Fiction 58429792 Unfortunately, we have a real world example of this hyper-inflation happening in Zimbabwe recently. There, the villagers cannot use Zimbabwe dolalrs to buy their food. They must have gold. They have to go down to the local rivers and pan for it all day long to buy thier bread, rice, soap, etc. That is all that is accepted in terms of money there. If you are not physically able to go pan for gold, somebody else must pan for you. Otherwise, you die. One villager says "If you want to buy bread, you need gold, if you want to buy rice, you need gold, if you want soap, gold. Gold, gold, gold." [link to www.youtube.com] I never heard that before, interesting. Would be possible to match the amount being sold to the exact value of each piece of gold? And wouldn't it be too much of a burden to check to make sure each and every piece of gold is real before each sale could be made? I don't know how all that would work in reality. OK - well if you have enough time to post this question, again, you have enough time to watch the first thirty seconds of the video where the bread merchants roll up in their truck and weigh the gold fragments that were panned from the river. They have a little electronic scale with them. Do you see? Youtube is blocked here, I'll take your word for it. Still, if I were a merchant I would accept legal tender over a piece of gold because again you need expertise to know whether it's real and the true value of it then you have to match what's being bought to the exact value of the gold. Every transaction would become a huge process that could be explosive if both sides didn't agree. You're gonna tell me that's gonna work? The merchants would probably spend so much time on the technical details of the trade, they wouldn't be able to make a profit no matter how customers were waiting. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/25/2014 12:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | During a hyper-inflationary period you're not gonna be able to trade precious metals directly for food very often. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58448612 In a hyper-inflationary almost everyone will only be focused on daily survival so who will you sell your precious metals to? If you have to sell your precious metals to foreigners under those conditions, you're probably gonna get a poor exchange rate on the trade provided that your currency can be exchanged at all during a hyper-inflationary period. Can a PM believer explain all this to me? OP why don't you buy "non-precious" metals that are always in demand? Like metalworking files. Everybody needs those. Imagine if you had a few thousand yuans worth of mill bastard files, after hyperinflation, you would have ONE! MILLION! YUAN! I would just invest directly in food and other necessities. Here's an interesting thought: What could be among the most prized possessions after TSHF? Tampons, cigarettes, toilet paper, toothpaste Now, that makes sense to me. Even if no one wants to barter with me, I can use that stuff myself. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58429792 United States 05/25/2014 12:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have answered this question here before, but I would be delighted to answer it again for you. Quoting: Fact over Fiction 58429792 Unfortunately, we have a real world example of this hyper-inflation happening in Zimbabwe recently. There, the villagers cannot use Zimbabwe dolalrs to buy their food. They must have gold. They have to go down to the local rivers and pan for it all day long to buy thier bread, rice, soap, etc. That is all that is accepted in terms of money there. If you are not physically able to go pan for gold, somebody else must pan for you. Otherwise, you die. One villager says "If you want to buy bread, you need gold, if you want to buy rice, you need gold, if you want soap, gold. Gold, gold, gold." [link to www.youtube.com] OK - so you can't see the video. Long story short...The bread sellers quickly weigh out 0.1 gram of gold on their electronic scale and hand over a loaf of bread in return. They charge four times the going rate of gold for the bread. The villagers have no alternative but to pay them what they want or they will starve. This is how they make a lot of money off the transaction. The people selling look jubilant in the video, and are laughing in the back of their truck. The villagers are miserable and pissed off because they know they have been getting screwed every day of their lives. End of story. I never heard that before, interesting. Would be possible to match the amount being sold to the exact value of each piece of gold? And wouldn't it be too much of a burden to check to make sure each and every piece of gold is real before each sale could be made? I don't know how all that would work in reality. OK - well if you have enough time to post this question, again, you have enough time to watch the first thirty seconds of the video where the bread merchants roll up in their truck and weigh the gold fragments that were panned from the river. They have a little electronic scale with them. Do you see? Youtube is blocked here, I'll take your word for it. Still, if I were a merchant I would accept legal tender over a piece of gold because again you need expertise to know whether it's real and the true value of it then you have to match what's being bought to the exact value of the gold. Every transaction would become a huge process that could be explosive if both sides didn't agree. You're gonna tell me that's gonna work? The merchants would probably spend so much time on the technical details of the trade, they wouldn't be able to make a profit no matter how customers were waiting. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 39139603 United States 05/25/2014 12:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | During a hyper-inflationary period you're not gonna be able to trade precious metals directly for food very often. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58448612 In a hyper-inflationary almost everyone will only be focused on daily survival so who will you sell your precious metals to? If you have to sell your precious metals to foreigners under those conditions, you're probably gonna get a poor exchange rate on the trade provided that your currency can be exchanged at all during a hyper-inflationary period. Can a PM believer explain all this to me? OP why don't you buy "non-precious" metals that are always in demand? Like metalworking files. Everybody needs those. Imagine if you had a few thousand yuans worth of mill bastard files, after hyperinflation, you would have ONE! MILLION! YUAN! I would just invest directly in food and other necessities. Here's an interesting thought: What could be among the most prized possessions after TSHF? Tampons, cigarettes, toilet paper, toothpaste Now, that makes sense to me. Even if no one wants to barter with me, I can use that stuff myself. Medicines, perhaps herbs for health issues would be very prized in a long term SHTF scenario. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58449897 Australia 05/25/2014 12:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58429792 United States 05/25/2014 12:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 974885 Canada 05/25/2014 12:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | However even if things go that bad in time the situation will start to normalize for those who are still alive and gold will then be used as a store of value once again... Quoting: Quasar If it weren't for Fukushima and the other 400+ nuclear plants all over the world, I may agree with you on that. Thanks for reading my posts. Figured out nucler plant angle while at Whataburger. Or maybe Evetts BBQ |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/25/2014 12:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The people selling the bread quickly weigh out 0.1 gram of gold for each loaf of bread. They charge four times the going rate for gold. This is how they make lots of money off the situation. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58429792 How do they know if the gold is real? How do they know the true value of it as not all is equal? Assuming they have the expertise to do the above, it's a time-consuming process each and every time. It would make the bread lines so slow that even wealthy people waiting in line may not get their bread before closing time. Remember, you can't have an unskilled person at the cash register like you can fiat currency, each person at the cash register has to have expertise and experience evaluating gold... Do you think those people are everywhere? I don't see how any of that is feasible at all. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/25/2014 12:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | However even if things go that bad in time the situation will start to normalize for those who are still alive and gold will then be used as a store of value once again... Quoting: Quasar If it weren't for Fukushima and the other 400+ nuclear plants all over the world, I may agree with you on that. Thanks for reading my posts. Figured out nucler plant angle while at Whataburger. Or maybe Evetts BBQ For people who want to read more about that "angle", there's more here: Thread: Radcon 5 alert in New Jersey It takes highly trained, skilled, knowledgeable people to run nuclear plants. There are over 100 nuclear plants in the USA. What could end up happening, due to the jet stream, is that some of the nuclear power plants in the USA will be undermanned due to illness and death before Fukushima Daiichi even needs to be evacuated. We could end up with nuclear plants breaking down because there aren't enough people with the skills and knowledge to man them. I picture mass death in the cities when society collapses for two main reasons: 1. Mass death and illness that's radiation related will lead to mass death and illness that's not radiation related due to things like starvation 2. People losing their will to do menial jobs when they know their lives could be over quickly At that point everything falls apart, there won't be enough food in the cities when basically no one's manufacturing and delivering the food. Even if people ARE manufacturing and trying to deliver the food, it will be an environment where people are stealing the delivery trucks so they can eat the food on the trucks, forget about it getting to the cities. Could it be that at point everybody throws in the towel together and says, "Let's make the most of the short time we have left" and then on the other hand when there's not enough food everyone will spend their time scrounging for food or hunting for it. In that environment, the power plants still have to be manned, how is that gonna be done? Even if you have a perfect plan like making the power plants the first priority and paying the people in the plants top dollar, these people could fall ill or die at any moment...and replacements will be nearly impossible to find. And that's just one relatively small aspect of this. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58429792 United States 05/25/2014 12:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The people selling the bread quickly weigh out 0.1 gram of gold for each loaf of bread. They charge four times the going rate for gold. This is how they make lots of money off the situation. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58429792 How do they know if the gold is real? How do they know the true value of it as not all is equal? Assuming they have the expertise to do the above, it's a time-consuming process each and every time. It would make the bread lines so slow that even wealthy people waiting in line may not get their bread before closing time. Remember, you can't have an unskilled person at the cash register like you can fiat currency, each person at the cash register has to have expertise and experience evaluating gold... Do you think those people are everywhere? I don't see how any of that is feasible at all. I don't understand your points at all. They do business with the same people every day. If somebody is caught passing off fake gold in that environment, I am sure they would be back the next day with some guns and kill the person who cheated them. It is the wild west. Instant street justice. On the video you would see how quickly they weigh it out on their electronic scales. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58449897 Australia 05/25/2014 12:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't understand your points at all. They do business with the same people every day. If somebody is caught passing off fake gold in that environment, I am sure they would be back the next day with some guns and kill the person who cheated them. It is the wild west. Instant street justice. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58429792 Lucky nobody is smart enough to figure out that they should run away after pulling their fake gold scam! Instant street justice the next day, works every time! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58429792 United States 05/25/2014 12:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't understand your points at all. They do business with the same people every day. If somebody is caught passing off fake gold in that environment, I am sure they would be back the next day with some guns and kill the person who cheated them. It is the wild west. Instant street justice. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58429792 Lucky nobody is smart enough to figure out that they should run away after pulling their fake gold scam! Instant street justice the next day, works every time! Since the world has been using gold to trade for thousands of years, it's amazing that you are just coming up with all these theoretical problems about trading with gold now, like, after the thousands of years it has been used. After reading your comments, I am starting to think you are right - using gold to trade cannot ever, nor has it ever, worked. You guys are really on the ball! Good catch! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24546513 United States 05/25/2014 12:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 58429792 United States 05/25/2014 01:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/25/2014 10:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't understand your points at all. They do business with the same people every day. If somebody is caught passing off fake gold in that environment, I am sure they would be back the next day with some guns and kill the person who cheated them. It is the wild west. Instant street justice. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58429792 Lucky nobody is smart enough to figure out that they should run away after pulling their fake gold scam! Instant street justice the next day, works every time! Since the world has been using gold to trade for thousands of years, it's amazing that you are just coming up with all these theoretical problems about trading with gold now, like, after the thousands of years it has been used. After reading your comments, I am starting to think you are right - using gold to trade cannot ever, nor has it ever, worked. You guys are really on the ball! Good catch! You're talking about doing trade in a hyperinflationary environment or after TSHF. Things will be different than how they were during most of history, obviously. Another problem that will be huge for gold investors who are trying to use their gold for trade: how do you take coins and bars and cut them into exactly the right pieces to buy the theoretical bread? Your arguments are lame, you can't compare almost anything in history to hyperinflation or TSHF in today's world. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 58448612 China 05/25/2014 10:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I bet 300 years ago people were sitting around arguing that paper money could never work, because all someone would need is a printing press and they could counterfeit all the money they wanted to... ha ha Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58429792 FAIL Your logic lacking, I never said gold can't work as money, I said that in the environment we're discussing it wouldn't work WELL. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 15286624 United States 05/25/2014 10:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |