Strong chance of asteroid impact on April 21st

ONE WENT THREW ON THE 16 TH,THIS ONE IS 45 FT LONG,HAS NO CHANCE OF HITTING,THERE HAS BEEN NO ALARM SOUNDED..OP JUST FULL OF SHIT WITH VERY LOW I,Q,.....NO DOOM..

ONE WENT THREW ON THE 16 TH,THIS ONE IS 45 FT LONG,HAS NO CHANCE OF HITTING,THERE HAS BEEN NO ALARM SOUNDED..OP JUST FULL OF SHIT WITH VERY LOW I,Q,.....NO DOOM..

They don't all just miss. Some, like the Chelyabinsk meteor, do hit.

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Uh no. Condition code does not tell you whether an impact is possible or not. It only tells you about the long term uncertainty. The asteroid was just found so it has high long term uncertainty. ALL newly found asteroids have high condition codes. The short term uncertainty is low, however, and we know it will not hit earth.

.2 LD

15 meters

Condition code 8

Doom on motheruckers


[link to spaceweather.com]

so several thousand near misses vs a couple hits....like i said statistically impossible.

so several thousand near misses vs a couple hits....like i said statistically impossible.

Solar Guardian that you?

comet me bro

it will miss us by 50,000 miles, I wonder how many come closer and people decide not to make a doom thread of them.... Another BS doom thread

No it's not. You seriously underestimate how huge space is, even just the space between the moon and earth. Why don't you crunch the numbers and tell us all how many earth's would fit in a spherical volume of space encircled by the moon's orbital radius? Now, given that there is only 1 earth within that space, and given an evenly distributed cluster of asteroids throughout that space with just enough asteroids to hit one earth volume a piece so that earth is hit exactly once, how many other asteroids within that space will miss? Do you see now why you're wrong?

.2 LD

15 meters

Condition code 8

Doom on motheruckers


[link to spaceweather.com]

Roughly 30 Earths side by side?

This one is BS.

However, has anyone looked to see if the moon could be hit?

Minimum miss distance for the moon is several times the miss distance for earth in this case.

No it's not. You seriously underestimate how huge space is, even just the space between the moon and earth. Why don't you crunch the numbers and tell us all how many earth's would fit in a spherical volume of space encircled by the moon's orbital radius?

Astro beat me to explaining that space is much larger than you think it is.

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Roughly 30 Earths side by side?

This is serious people

0.2LD is still quite a distance though. 47,780 miles.

1 LD is about 238,900 miles. 0.2 of that is 47,780 miles.

I'm not saying this isn't interesting, but I wouldn't call it DOOOOOOOM yet or a "strong chance"

Sure there is some uncertainty in the orbit, but still.... 47 THOUSAND + miles away at the closest....

DOOM OFF

This thing is NOWHERE near us. 0.2 Lunar distances means it's passing 47,780 miles above the earth! Think about how far that is

How far are the Geosynchronous Satellites above the earth???
Aren't they up around 50,000 miles???
Maybe it could hit a GPS Satellite...

Wrong. Try again.

Hint:
Volume of a sphere = (4/3)*pi*r^3