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THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 667655
Ireland
11/18/2009 04:41 AM
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THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
I have served as a consultant to three very high tech aerospace firms. My specialty is conceptualizing advanced warfare especially as it relates to new cutting edge advanced weapon systems. What I see unfolding with a war on Iran is the most frightening set of circumstances I have ever seen; and I have been involved in advanced theoretical weaponry strategy and design for over 20 years.

Sometime in the weeks to months ahead, there will be a war launched against Iran. The war may be started by Israel, or by the United States, or by a NATO/EU/US embargo, or by some 'false flag' attack. What matters is that it will begin; and where it will take the world.

Regardless if the war begins with a limited number of air strikes against Iranian military and nuclear targets, or if an all-out several thousand target attack begins from day one the probabilities of the war becoming a major regional war within 48 hours are 90% or higher.

The Iranians will simply not allow Israeli and/or American military forces to attack its territory without a major response. Any significant counter-attack on Israel and/or American regional bases will trigger a much greater counter-response.

The Iranians have equipped and paid for, and trained, a massive unguided rocket and guided missile force in Lebanon (the largest such force in human history). These missiles are in-place as a MAD force (a MAD ~ mutually assured destruction ~ force is one that is a doomsday force; established to prevent the use of overwhelming military force by allowing a return "punch" of overwhelming military destructive force upon one's enemy). The total number of missiles and rockets in Lebanon are variously estimated at between 40,000 and 110,000. While many are unguided Katyusha rockets, many are longer ranged guided missiles. All are operated by Hezbollah Special Forces launch teams.

The Hezbollah Special Forces are in-effect a highly trained and well-equipped Iranian commando force of at least a Brigade in size. They man and protect a large number of mostly unguided and rather crude rockets, generally Katyusha 122mm artillery rockets with a 19 mile/30km range and capable of delivering approximately 66 pounds/30kg of warheads. Additionally, Hezbollah are known to possess a considerable number of more advanced and longer range missiles. During the 2006 war Hezbollah fired approximately 4,000 rockets (95% of which were Katyshas) all utilizing only "dumb" high explosive warheads. Some Iranian build and supplied Fajr-3 and Ra'ad 1 liquid-fueled missiles were also fired. It is believed that the larger and longer range missiles are directly under the control of Syrian and Iranian officers.

The combination of short to medium range rockets and guided missiles in Lebanon, and the longer range guided missiles in Syria, the smaller number of rockets and missiles in the West Bank and Gaza, and the longer range guided missiles in Iran present a massive throw weight of warheads aimed at Israel.

The 2006 Israeli-Hezbollah War (called the Second Lebanon War in Israel) was an attempt by Israel at eliminating the MAD counter-force in Lebanon. It was an attempt that failed. The Syrians had purchased (and supplied to Hezbollah) a large number of very nasty, relatively low cost Russian AT-14 Kornet solid fuel anti-tank guided missiles (ATGM) and the Iranian trained Hezbollah commandos dug in massive numbers of concrete bunkers and firing positions. After over 50 Merkava main battle tanks were hit, and the high tech American made warplanes and pinpoint weapons proved ineffective, the handwriting was on the wall. Either use neutron bombs or lose a large number of Israeli solders to remove the Hezbollah threat; or declare peace and walk away for the time being ~ the Israelis chose the latter.

It now appears that Israel has given up on the idea of a ground assault to remove the many rocket and missile launchers in Lebanon. A senior Israeli general has resigned with the complaint that the Army is not training sufficiently to fight in Lebanon. The alternative is the use of FAE (fuel air explosive) technology weapons and neutron bombs (a type of nuclear weapon that produces a higher short term radiological output and less blast output than normal nuclear weapons).

Any use of such WMD by the Israeli Army on the Hezbollah forces in Lebanon will likely automatically trigger the use of WMD warheads on whatever rockets/missiles remain operational (if their use has not already been authorized due to the nature and scope of Israeli and/or American attacks on Iran).

The bottom line of this is that Israel will face a truly massive number of rockets and missiles from Lebanon with radiological, chemical, biological and FAE weapons of mass destruction warheads. Additionally, a sizable number of such weapons/warheads will be fired from Gaza and the West Bank. The Syrians will be using larger more accurate guided missiles to shower WMD upon Israel as will the Iranians. To counter this, the Israelis will be using their Green Pine Radar system and a combination of Israeli and American anti-missile missiles. They will have good success in knocking down many incoming missiles but the sheer number of incoming weapons will totally overload all defensive measures.

Large parts of Israel will be contaminated with radiation with extremely long half-lives (many tens of thousands of years in some cases), with a mix of chemical, FAE, and biological nightmares thrown in for good measure. Total deaths will amount to one-third to one-half of the Israeli population with a large additional number being injured.

The Israeli response will be the nuclear annihilation of Syria, Iran, and parts of Lebanon with many tens of millions killed. Expect to see every city of any size destroyed. There will be insufficient people left in Syria, Iran, and large parts of Lebanon to even bury the dead. Radiation will spread around the world from the nuclear bombs.

Iranian sleeper teams in North America and western Europe will begin to "seed" the populations of these areas with a number (perhaps in the several dozens) of different man made killer viruses. People in movie theaters, churches, synagogues, shopping malls, subway stations, airports, etc., will be exposed without anyone knowing it at the time, to these advanced biowar viruses. About nine to ten days later the computer reporting systems in the western countries will begin to report back strange illnesses. That will trigger a host of measures to contain the advanced biowar viruses but it will simply be too late to prevent a massive outbreak of horrific illnesses. International travel and trade will effectively stop. People will be ordered to stay home from work and school with only critical job holders being allowed on the streets. Hospitals will be overcome with sick and dying people of all ages. The medical community will be among the first to die off. Where temporary hospitals are established in school gyms and other areas, the cross infection of several different genetically engineered viruses will ensure 100% morality of everyone in the temporary hospitals.

In the event that the neo-con nations have sought to expand the Georgia war by new attacks on Russian forces or by creating some naval incident in the Black Sea the probabilities of an quick expansion into a all-out Third World War involving Russian and NATO nuclear weapons will be at approximately 50%. Even without a global total war being initiated, Russia is apt to "sweep" the Black Sea of NATO ships with considerable loss of life on both sides.

The world will be in the worst economic depression in history as global trade will be halted for at least several months due to fears of the spread of the various advanced biowar viruses. If Israel releases the Arab specific designer advanced biowar viruses, that many claim she has, the Saudis are apt to fire their Chinese IRBMs (intermediate range ballistic missiles) and send their very well equipped air force against Israel with the small number of nuclear weapons that they possess (they have funded the Pakistani nuclear weapon program and have several Pakistani made nuclear devices). Of course, what is left of the Israeli forces will respond with additional nuclear attacks, this time on Saudi Arabia and other Arab nations for good measure.

In North America and western Europe the total number of civilians, after two months of advanced biowar illnesses, is apt to be at least a third of the population ~ a total death count of well over 200 million persons. Despite the best efforts of all nations, the man engineered super killer mutant viruses will spread throughout the world causing total numbers of perhaps a billion or more to die.

The after effect of all of this may well lead to even more war as the non-neo-con nations will be so incensed at the massive lost of life of their citizens that total global war may be unstoppable.

source [link to www.rense.com]
Avian

User ID: 805698
United States
11/18/2009 04:47 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
bump for morning reading later
"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves, in the course of time, a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it."
- Frédéric Bastiat

food, water, ammo, weapons, battery back up solar, hand well pump, wood stove and 1 year of food...oh yeah PM's too...good luck
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 821323
Israel
11/18/2009 04:53 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
dont forget about the God

Hhe has got a way of bringing

surprising results
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 821016
Australia
11/18/2009 05:00 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
mmmmmmmmmmmmmmm, doomlicious!
Vertol
User ID: 817884
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11/18/2009 05:05 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Lol , yea okay Tom Clancy ,what page is that BS on ?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 821301
Croatia
11/18/2009 05:15 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
hence, jews will destroy the world, not Iranians...
olo

User ID: 821313
Australia
11/18/2009 05:18 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Well isn't that interesting, you would think it was a news piece taken from todays headlines.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 667655
Ireland
11/18/2009 05:18 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
bump
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 667655
Ireland
11/18/2009 05:21 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Well isn't that interesting, you would think it was a news piece taken from todays headlines.
 Quoting: olo


it was............
olo

User ID: 821313
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11/18/2009 05:22 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Well isn't that interesting, you would think it was a news piece taken from todays headlines.


it was............
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 667655


By The Earl of Stirling
9-6-8

?
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 667655
Ireland
11/18/2009 05:26 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Well isn't that interesting, you would think it was a news piece taken from todays headlines.


it was............


By The Earl of Stirling
9-6-8

?
 Quoting: olo


Searched google news 'iran war' thats where I found it - hey don't shoot the messenger, its a good read if nothing else
olo

User ID: 821313
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11/18/2009 05:31 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Well isn't that interesting, you would think it was a news piece taken from todays headlines.


it was............


By The Earl of Stirling
9-6-8

?


Searched google news 'iran war' thats where I found it - hey don't shoot the messenger, its a good read if nothing else
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 667655


lol no no, if it was written last year some time i'd say it's pretty damn accurate and people should read it and have a look at Ukraine etc. It's good man, thanks for posting it.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 813976
New Zealand
11/18/2009 05:40 AM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
OP - your information is much out of date.
David's Sling is now operational and deployed.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 667655
Ireland
11/18/2009 02:15 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
OP - your information is much out of date.
David's Sling is now operational and deployed.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 813976


well that makes this even more interesting as its now playing out - Plague in Ukraine for example
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 706658
United States
11/18/2009 02:39 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Don't forget also that when the USSR bit the dust, bunches of their micro-biologist went to work in Iran.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
11/18/2009 02:49 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
That's pretty good doom!

I see a few flaws in it, but all in all it's got some real possibilities.

5 stars for you OP.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 821652
United States
11/18/2009 02:53 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
This guy who wrote that scenario was supposed to be an expert. Stupid article, probably written by a Syrian.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 471789
United States
11/18/2009 03:00 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
but the sheer number of incoming weapons will totally overload all defensive measures.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 667655


Exactly as predicted by Ada Sunstorm

Thread: A prophecy on Israel's Missile Shield
The Conservative Monster

User ID: 747310
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11/18/2009 03:09 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
FLATTEN Iran, Syria and Lebanon and then tell Putin to go fuk off... banana2
Anonymous Coward
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11/18/2009 03:15 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Now that's some five star doom!
bowhunter
User ID: 805188
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11/18/2009 03:32 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
FLATTEN Iran, Syria and Lebanon and then tell Putin to go fuk off... banana2
 Quoting: The Conservative Monster

Syria, a heep of ruins, no longer a city
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 805188
United States
11/18/2009 03:34 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
FLATTEN Iran, Syria and Lebanon and then tell Putin to go fuk off... banana2

Syria, a heep of ruins, no longer a city/Damascus
 Quoting: bowhunter 805188
Anonymous Coward
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11/18/2009 03:35 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
That's not a bad analysis, but it doesn't go far enough. These hundreds of millions of deaths will only prime the pump, because they will cause so many insurmountable holes in the worldwide chain of creation and distribution of food that a global famine will follow the war deaths, and for every death resulting from the violence, we will also see five to ten more who die from starvation.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 471789
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11/18/2009 03:36 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
This Titor's War, if you didn't already know.
lolita

User ID: 821380
Canada
11/18/2009 03:38 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Titor war : Israel will be attacked because of lack of support from the west...

Then Israel will have to nuke most of the middle-east.
Drakensang

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11/18/2009 04:06 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
1) Major terrorist attack on American soil

2) Global financial system goes haywire and crashes

3) USA blames Iran whether or not they are responsible

4) USA and Israel make tactical strikes against Iran

5) Middle East Islamists unite and create severe oil embargo

6) American economy locks up like an engine with no oil

7) Then it gets worse, much worse...



damned
Fescado

User ID: 730743
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11/18/2009 04:12 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
the plot thickens....

Foxbats Over Dimona: The Soviets' Nuclear Gamble in the Six-Day War

[link to www.amazon.com]

Israel will never produce nuclear weapons again

damned
*yar har fiddley dee
plunder the market 'cause a pirate is free*
Anonymous Coward
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United Kingdom
11/18/2009 04:12 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
There are a whole bunch of end time prophecies that more or less spell out what will happen - or what the entities who seeded them have planned to happen.


Basically Russia and China are acting in concert to bring the West down using any number of means except nuclear war, so that Russia can take Europe the ME and Northen US states, whilst China takes the rest.

They are using the Moslems as easily motivated, manipulated and predictable dupes to be thier sacrificial proxies in all of this.


Thier primary agent is Iran and the Mullahs messianic fantasies about starting Armageddon so thier Mahdi can return to lead them on a worldwide jihad.

They are counting on the Iranians and possibly NK crippling the US, with Europe being engulfed in muslim jihad and Israel destroying the Arabs via it's Sampson option.
Videobarbs
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11/18/2009 04:35 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
Titor war : Israel will be attacked because of lack of support from the west...

Then Israel will have to nuke most of the middle-east.
 Quoting: lolita


Yup, that about sums it up. In this whole scenario, there are no good guys/bad guys approach. These actions are only from the BAD guys. It certainly says volumes as to US/UK diplomacy. So much for Obama and his Sec. of State, Hillary R. Clinton.
This whole thing may be this feeling of dread, and yes doom, which I and others have been feeling for some months. It also is a great lead up to 2012 when the "false flagged" savior will descend out of the clouds to a war/plague/death weary world. Like the Wizard of Oz, however, it will be nothing more than a holographic display worthy of Disney or Spielberg. It'll have to star either Nicolas Cage or John Cusack.
It will be, for those of us living, the end of the world as we've known it. We will, as a species, survive however and create colonies of people and start all over again. Oh, by the way, there won't be any cell phones or Internet. That very fact will cause another half a billion souls to commit suicide I'm sure.
It's no wonder that Obama is starting to look tired, haggard and thin after less than a year in office. Community activism and being a constitutional lawyer is poor preparation for being a truly war time president. Look what it did to FDR. God helps us all! scared
Anonymous Coward
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Israel
11/18/2009 04:37 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
dont forget about the God

Hhe has got a way of bringing

surprising results
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 821323

AND HOW!!!!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 821673
Israel
11/18/2009 04:38 PM
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Re: THE IRAN WAR - HOW IT WILL BEGIN
FLATTEN Iran, Syria and Lebanon and then tell Putin to go fuk off... banana2

Syria, a heep of ruins, no longer a city
 Quoting: bowhunter 805188

I have no prob with this scenario.

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