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Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!

 
Informed1
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10/18/2018 09:10 PM
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Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
From the NWS office in Ft Worth...

"...rainfall amounts are contingent on whether a tropical system will develop in the eastern Pacific Ocean and gets drawn northward by the upper trough into Mexico. Should this occur it would provide strong upper level dynamics for lift and result in a swath of widespread heavy rainfall across Texas. We`ve seen both the operational GFS and ECMWF flirt with this scenario on occasional runs and we know from climatology that this is a pattern setup that has produced many instances of 10+ inches of rain."

This is looking ahead to next Wednesday, October 24.

[link to forecast.weather.gov (secure)]

Last Edited by Informed1 on 10/18/2018 09:27 PM
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M

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10/18/2018 09:27 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
bumpbumpbump
Moon&Stars

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10/18/2018 09:28 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
We also have potential for a low to form off of the central coast keeping the mid to upper coastal areas very wet.

Got a dingy? LOL
Moonstar
Informed1  (OP)

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10/18/2018 09:30 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
The tropical system referenced has not yet formed, but the National Hurricane Center gives it a 70-80% chance.

"* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent."

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]
Kirk

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10/18/2018 09:30 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
Hearing scuttlebut this isnt accidental nor Michael.
Government is a body largely ungoverned.
Informed1  (OP)

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10/18/2018 09:33 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
Hearing scuttlebut this isnt accidental nor Michael.
 Quoting: Kirk


Just in time for the elections in a state that they have heavily targeted for the "blue wave". Beto is losing by a fairly wide margin, so flooding in the rural areas of West and West Central Teas would definitely decrease the turnout in those areas....heavily Republican.
Informed1  (OP)

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10/18/2018 09:44 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
bump

To get the word out so people can prepare early...
Eyeball Replacement

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10/18/2018 09:49 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
As if it’s not wet enough here already.

verysad
In the eye of the storm ...
Informed1  (OP)

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10/18/2018 10:38 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
As if it’s not wet enough here already.

verysad
 Quoting: Eyeball Replacement


After an exceptionally dry Spring and Summer here in Waco, we've had over 15" in the past 3 weeks. Been a crazy weather year here.
wingnut1234
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10/18/2018 10:53 PM

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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
As if it’s not wet enough here already.

verysad
 Quoting: Eyeball Replacement


After an exceptionally dry Spring and Summer here in Waco, we've had over 15" in the past 3 weeks. Been a crazy weather year here.
 Quoting: Informed1


Hey Waco, Fairfield here! So wet the cows have webbed hooves
Informed1  (OP)

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10/18/2018 11:18 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
As if it’s not wet enough here already.

verysad
 Quoting: Eyeball Replacement


After an exceptionally dry Spring and Summer here in Waco, we've had over 15" in the past 3 weeks. Been a crazy weather year here.
 Quoting: Informed1


Hey Waco, Fairfield here! So wet the cows have webbed hooves
 Quoting: wingnut1234


Haha, I'm beginning to turn into a prune from the persistent high humidity.
Moon&Stars

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10/18/2018 11:29 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
The tropical system referenced has not yet formed, but the National Hurricane Center gives it a 70-80% chance.

"* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent."

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Informed1


I store up empty 1/2 gallon jugs for water storage all of hurricane season, and tossed about half of them last week. But, spidey sense said keep the rest just in case. Harvey flooded us, surrounded by 4 feet of water for a week and half. The only prep we lacked was a dingy. The downstairs units are still in renovation stage.
Moonstar
Moon&Stars

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10/18/2018 11:32 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
Hearing scuttlebut this isnt accidental nor Michael.
 Quoting: Kirk


Just in time for the elections in a state that they have heavily targeted for the "blue wave". Beto is losing by a fairly wide margin, so flooding in the rural areas of West and West Central Teas would definitely decrease the turnout in those areas....heavily Republican.
 Quoting: Informed1


He sounds like a foreigner in this state. I silence his commercials. Got behind a car with a Beto sticker on the back. I used my hand to block the view of it. Didn't want to gag. LOL
Moonstar
Informed1  (OP)

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10/18/2018 11:34 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
Hearing scuttlebut this isnt accidental nor Michael.
 Quoting: Kirk


Just in time for the elections in a state that they have heavily targeted for the "blue wave". Beto is losing by a fairly wide margin, so flooding in the rural areas of West and West Central Teas would definitely decrease the turnout in those areas....heavily Republican.
 Quoting: Informed1


He sounds like a foreigner in this state. I silence his commercials. Got behind a car with a Beto sticker on the back. I used my hand to block the view of it. Didn't want to gag. LOL
 Quoting: Moon&Stars


In my area, there are Beto signs everywhere. I guess being only 100 miles north of Asutin, we get some of the liberal bleed-over. Gross.
Spelurker

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10/18/2018 11:53 PM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
As if it’s not wet enough here already.

verysad
 Quoting: Eyeball Replacement


After an exceptionally dry Spring and Summer here in Waco, we've had over 15" in the past 3 weeks. Been a crazy weather year here.
 Quoting: Informed1


I saw someone in Austin claim 16" on their home gauge since September, I think. And said it was the same amount as the period from January all the way to August.
Q33

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10/19/2018 12:08 AM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
Wth it won't stop!!
Garufal

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10/19/2018 12:12 AM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
Remember when Texas was going through severe droughts a few yrs back?
God's blessing them now.
A epiphany I had watering my lawn one day.

"Karma is the universal judicial system that NOBODY is Immune from" -Me

I LOVE good juicy gossip. Lay it on me.
Informed1  (OP)

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10/19/2018 02:45 AM
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Re: Heads up my fellow Texans....models showing possible 10+" rain next week!
To everyone who prayed for rain after our excessive drought...please pray for me to win the Mega Millions lotto tomorrow. Your rain prayers worked too well, so maybe your lotto prayers will too. Thanks!
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