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Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes

 
Coastie Patriot

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08/22/2019 08:19 AM

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Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Rachel Bitecofer, the “assistant director of the Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University in Newport News, Virginia,” told MSNBC’s Lawrence O’Donnell on Tuesday evening that her model has Trump down 278 Electoral College votes even before Iowa, North Carolina, Florida, and Arizona are decided. She believes that Florida will likely go for Trump because of the state’s older voters, but that still won’t be enough for Trump to win back the White House.

Bitecofer also told O’Donnell this week that “the election of Donald Trump is a needed kerosene on” a “lazy and complacent Democrat electorate” that was taking former President Barack Obama’s coattails for granted and “didn’t show up in big numbers in 2016” because they “took for granted that Trump would not be elected.”

According to Bitecofer, Democrats will not be complacent in 2020, and she argues that Democrats will be better off turning out their base than trying to persuade the mythical moderate swing voter.

“My model for 2020 starts off with Democrats at 278 Electoral College votes, and that’s a problem for Trump, because of course you need 270 to win. It does that because of my model’s prediction, based on turnout and predicted vote share, that Pennsylvania and Michigan will slip back to the Democrats,” she recently told Salon. “I’m uncertain about Ohio, but even if Trump wins Ohio, he can’t win the other three Midwestern states. Then as you point out I have four tossup states: Arizona, North Carolina, Florida and Iowa. Even if he wins all four of them, the Democrats have already won the election — and the idea that he would win all four is pretty unlikely.”

[link to www.breitbart.com (secure)]

breitbart less 50

I tend to disagree and think she is way off base, hopefully flip the house too.

Last Edited by Coastie Patriot on 08/22/2019 08:19 AM
Coastie Patriot
SIC SEMPER TYRRANIS

THE SAME PEOPLE WHO SAID NO GUNS BECAUSE OF POLICE NOW WANT TO DEFUND THE POLICE!!!!

Dr Thaddeus They
They don't really care whether the truth gets out, because the public no longer knows what's meant by "the truth."

Well, I mean, no one can tell the difference anymore between what's real and what's fake.

Anyway, the point is, I can tell you all of this, right out in the open, because it doesn't matter who knows about it. They won't know whether to believe it or not.-
X Files: Lost art of Forehead Sweat

A gun is a tool, Marion, no better or no worse than any other tool, an axe, a shovel or anything. A gun is as good or as bad as the man using it. Remember that.
-SHANE-

Jefferson Smith: You see, boys forget what their country means by just reading The Land of the Free in history books. Then they get to be men they forget even more. Liberty's too precious a thing to be buried in books, Miss Saunders. Men should hold it up in front of them every single day of their lives and say: I'm free to think and to speak. My ancestors couldn't, I can, and my children will. Boys ought to grow up remembering that . - MR Smith Goes To Washington-

to grow up remembering th

My oath to support and defend the constitution against all enemies foreign and domestic has no expiration date!!!

Ten Bears : It's sad that governments are chiefed by the double tongues. There is iron in your words of death for all Comanche to see and so there is iron in your words of life. No signed paper can hold the iron. It must come from men. Outlaw Josey Wales
~kpm~

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08/22/2019 08:21 AM

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
So it’s already rigged
~With forethought and malice Whitless enacted an EO giving nursing homes immunity from wrongful death prosecutions, forced them to take in infected patients and is responsible for over 6500+ nursing home deaths~
Coastie Patriot  (OP)

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08/22/2019 09:31 AM

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
So it’s already rigged
 Quoting: ~kpm~


would seem so KP, and they are raising campaign funds in Mexico from yesterday post!! IT ok they are raising funds from "AMERICANS"!!!!
Coastie Patriot
SIC SEMPER TYRRANIS

THE SAME PEOPLE WHO SAID NO GUNS BECAUSE OF POLICE NOW WANT TO DEFUND THE POLICE!!!!

Dr Thaddeus They
They don't really care whether the truth gets out, because the public no longer knows what's meant by "the truth."

Well, I mean, no one can tell the difference anymore between what's real and what's fake.

Anyway, the point is, I can tell you all of this, right out in the open, because it doesn't matter who knows about it. They won't know whether to believe it or not.-
X Files: Lost art of Forehead Sweat

A gun is a tool, Marion, no better or no worse than any other tool, an axe, a shovel or anything. A gun is as good or as bad as the man using it. Remember that.
-SHANE-

Jefferson Smith: You see, boys forget what their country means by just reading The Land of the Free in history books. Then they get to be men they forget even more. Liberty's too precious a thing to be buried in books, Miss Saunders. Men should hold it up in front of them every single day of their lives and say: I'm free to think and to speak. My ancestors couldn't, I can, and my children will. Boys ought to grow up remembering that . - MR Smith Goes To Washington-

to grow up remembering th

My oath to support and defend the constitution against all enemies foreign and domestic has no expiration date!!!

Ten Bears : It's sad that governments are chiefed by the double tongues. There is iron in your words of death for all Comanche to see and so there is iron in your words of life. No signed paper can hold the iron. It must come from men. Outlaw Josey Wales
~kpm~

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08/22/2019 09:38 AM

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
So it’s already rigged
 Quoting: ~kpm~


would seem so KP, and they are raising campaign funds in Mexico from yesterday post!! IT ok they are raising funds from "AMERICANS"!!!!
 Quoting: Coastie Patriot


Ya, they know all the loopholes

Basic money laundering

Imagine if a republican went to another country to rally Americans living there to donate
~With forethought and malice Whitless enacted an EO giving nursing homes immunity from wrongful death prosecutions, forced them to take in infected patients and is responsible for over 6500+ nursing home deaths~
Coastie Patriot  (OP)

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08/22/2019 09:43 AM

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
So it’s already rigged
 Quoting: ~kpm~


would seem so KP, and they are raising campaign funds in Mexico from yesterday post!! IT ok they are raising funds from "AMERICANS"!!!!
 Quoting: Coastie Patriot


Ya, they know all the loopholes

Basic money laundering

Imagine if a republican went to another country to rally Americans living there to donate
 Quoting: ~kpm~


I support more of the founding fathers scale. Between anarchy and total control they wanted us a little short of anarchy, to be free!!!

Tired of all the insanity really. I try to wake people and they either dont care, wont believe, of feel it isnt important and believe the government wants to help them!!
Coastie Patriot
SIC SEMPER TYRRANIS

THE SAME PEOPLE WHO SAID NO GUNS BECAUSE OF POLICE NOW WANT TO DEFUND THE POLICE!!!!

Dr Thaddeus They
They don't really care whether the truth gets out, because the public no longer knows what's meant by "the truth."

Well, I mean, no one can tell the difference anymore between what's real and what's fake.

Anyway, the point is, I can tell you all of this, right out in the open, because it doesn't matter who knows about it. They won't know whether to believe it or not.-
X Files: Lost art of Forehead Sweat

A gun is a tool, Marion, no better or no worse than any other tool, an axe, a shovel or anything. A gun is as good or as bad as the man using it. Remember that.
-SHANE-

Jefferson Smith: You see, boys forget what their country means by just reading The Land of the Free in history books. Then they get to be men they forget even more. Liberty's too precious a thing to be buried in books, Miss Saunders. Men should hold it up in front of them every single day of their lives and say: I'm free to think and to speak. My ancestors couldn't, I can, and my children will. Boys ought to grow up remembering that . - MR Smith Goes To Washington-

to grow up remembering th

My oath to support and defend the constitution against all enemies foreign and domestic has no expiration date!!!

Ten Bears : It's sad that governments are chiefed by the double tongues. There is iron in your words of death for all Comanche to see and so there is iron in your words of life. No signed paper can hold the iron. It must come from men. Outlaw Josey Wales
FINGERPRINTS of the GODS

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08/22/2019 09:44 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
shitstorm33
There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what isn’t true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 09:50 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Trump knows not how the use power in any way other than cashing in. He has no clue how to use bureaucratic power. It's alien to him.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:08 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Christopher Newport University’s Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy is not a credible source for predicting the outcome of presidential elections...

"The latest poll from Christopher Newport University’s Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy shows Clinton leading Trump by 12 points in Virginia as the 2016 presidential election remains less than a month away.

Clinton leads Trump 45 percent to 33 percent following the third and final debate. Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson racked up 8 percent, independent presidential nominee Evan McMullin took 3 percent, and Green Party presidential nominee Jill Stein managed 1 percent. Two percent of voters polled remain undecided, 5 percent didn’t choose a candidate, and 3 percent either refused to answer or didn’t know."

Director of the Wason Center, Dr. Quentin Kidd:

‘While Trump appears to have recovered a little of the support he lost after the release of the Access Hollywood tape, his reach continues to be no higher than the mid-30s. That ceiling is far too low to win, especially as Clinton’s share continues to rise.’

<50%

[link to bipartisanreport.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:12 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Florida let's felons vote now so they might go blue
Vicious Deplorable dollop
You ain't seen nothing yet!

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08/22/2019 10:14 AM

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Rachel Bitecofer, the “assistant director of the Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University in Newport News, Virginia,” told MSNBC’s Lawrence O’Donnell on Tuesday evening that her model has Trump down 278 Electoral College votes even before Iowa, North Carolina, Florida, and Arizona are decided. She believes that Florida will likely go for Trump because of the state’s older voters, but that still won’t be enough for Trump to win back the White House.

Bitecofer also told O’Donnell this week that “the election of Donald Trump is a needed kerosene on” a “lazy and complacent Democrat electorate” that was taking former President Barack Obama’s coattails for granted and “didn’t show up in big numbers in 2016” because they “took for granted that Trump would not be elected.”

According to Bitecofer, Democrats will not be complacent in 2020, and she argues that Democrats will be better off turning out their base than trying to persuade the mythical moderate swing voter.

“My model for 2020 starts off with Democrats at 278 Electoral College votes, and that’s a problem for Trump, because of course you need 270 to win. It does that because of my model’s prediction, based on turnout and predicted vote share, that Pennsylvania and Michigan will slip back to the Democrats,” she recently told Salon. “I’m uncertain about Ohio, but even if Trump wins Ohio, he can’t win the other three Midwestern states. Then as you point out I have four tossup states: Arizona, North Carolina, Florida and Iowa. Even if he wins all four of them, the Democrats have already won the election — and the idea that he would win all four is pretty unlikely.”

[link to www.breitbart.com (secure)]

breitbart less 50

I tend to disagree and think she is way off base, hopefully flip the house too.
 Quoting: Coastie Patriot


Attempting to try and speak things into existence, like Obama used to try, and wishful thinking.

Poor dumb bastards.
Kamala Harris is not a Natural Born Citizen. She's illegally running.

Used by the Founders...
Book I of The Law of Nations, Chapter XIX, § 212 (Joseph Chitty numbering) – “Citizens and natives”
reads: 'The citizens are the members of the civil society; bound to this society by certain duties, and subject to
its authority, they equally participate in its advantages. The natives, or natural-born citizens, are those born in
the country, of parents who are citizens. As the society cannot exist and perpetuate itself otherwise than by
the children of the citizens
, those children naturally follow the condition of their fathers, and succeed to all
their rights.' 1758 Emerich de Vattel

Oh' What the Hell, do I look like I want to die in some nursing home one day...
America must have 4 new Constitutional Amendments...
1. Drug Tests and Mental Evaluations on all politicians and judges randomly five times per year.
2. Term Limits for Federal politicians and judges.
3. Mental and health standards for Supreme Court Justices and retirement age set.
4. A 'Star Chamber' of elected Natural Born Citizens (no attorney's) to ivestigate, try, and prosecute the politicians and government employee's as they see fit.

Mandatory death penalty by public hanging is the merciful sentence for pedos and their associates.

Democrats are a WMD, literally.

Let Justice Be Done Though The Heavens Fall.
spoof

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08/22/2019 10:17 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
SO basically, she is dreaming.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:18 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Well we might as well stay home and not even bother to vote in 2020. Mind you, this kind of election interference is ok with democrats!!!


eyeroll2
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:20 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
If they succeed in crashing the economy like they are day and night now.. he wont get reelected and the democrat lies will take over.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:20 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
she only got virginia right in 2016...

google her.. she's a leftist joke
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:28 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
she only got virginia right in 2016...

google her.. she's a leftist joke
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75856653


lmao

This bitch is a full blown idiot.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:36 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
While I cant argue the point of her being an idiot. I do believe the left was lulled to sleep on turnout in 2016. Its not going to be the cakewalk some of you think this time around.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:39 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
It's easy to predict the "blue crime wave" when you are privy to the massive voter fraud that went on.

Which means there will be voter fraud in 2020 on a scale never seen before. Thanks Perfesser.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:42 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
If Trump loses the elections, the country is basically lost.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 10:43 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Trump knows not how the use power in any way other than cashing in. He has no clue how to use bureaucratic power. It's alien to him.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77688056


yeah that's why he won 2016, because he doesn't know anything whatever
nutmeg

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
election1

Last Edited by nutmeg on 08/22/2019 10:43 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Rachel Bitecofer, the “assistant director of the Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University in Newport News, Virginia,” told MSNBC’s Lawrence O’Donnell on Tuesday evening that her model has Trump down 278 Electoral College votes even before Iowa, North Carolina, Florida, and Arizona are decided. She believes that Florida will likely go for Trump because of the state’s older voters, but that still won’t be enough for Trump to win back the White House.

Bitecofer also told O’Donnell this week that “the election of Donald Trump is a needed kerosene on” a “lazy and complacent Democrat electorate” that was taking former President Barack Obama’s coattails for granted and “didn’t show up in big numbers in 2016” because they “took for granted that Trump would not be elected.”

According to Bitecofer, Democrats will not be complacent in 2020, and she argues that Democrats will be better off turning out their base than trying to persuade the mythical moderate swing voter.

“My model for 2020 starts off with Democrats at 278 Electoral College votes, and that’s a problem for Trump, because of course you need 270 to win. It does that because of my model’s prediction, based on turnout and predicted vote share, that Pennsylvania and Michigan will slip back to the Democrats,” she recently told Salon. “I’m uncertain about Ohio, but even if Trump wins Ohio, he can’t win the other three Midwestern states. Then as you point out I have four tossup states: Arizona, North Carolina, Florida and Iowa. Even if he wins all four of them, the Democrats have already won the election — and the idea that he would win all four is pretty unlikely.”

[link to www.breitbart.com (secure)]

breitbart less 50

I tend to disagree and think she is way off base, hopefully flip the house too.
 Quoting: Coastie Patriot



Well there was no blue wave so I guess we have nothing to worry about. Sure Democrats took the house but it was hardly a blue wave.
diverdan01

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
election1
 Quoting: nutmeg


shocking there are 20 states with that many STUPID people in it
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Florida let's felons vote now so they might go blue
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77913714


Pritzker is working g on this too. Although Illinois is already blue there are great pockets of red.
Not good
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
In 2020 Trump will make the map even MORE red than 2016.
Coastie Patriot  (OP)

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08/22/2019 10:49 AM

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
she only got virginia right in 2016...

google her.. she's a leftist joke
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75856653


lmao

This bitch is a full blown idiot.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15382144


I hate Virginia as a blue state. Damn Northern VA !!! I live in VA . Our governor is a moron, I have no idea how he became a Dr.!!

Last Edited by Coastie Patriot on 08/22/2019 11:13 AM
Coastie Patriot
SIC SEMPER TYRRANIS

THE SAME PEOPLE WHO SAID NO GUNS BECAUSE OF POLICE NOW WANT TO DEFUND THE POLICE!!!!

Dr Thaddeus They
They don't really care whether the truth gets out, because the public no longer knows what's meant by "the truth."

Well, I mean, no one can tell the difference anymore between what's real and what's fake.

Anyway, the point is, I can tell you all of this, right out in the open, because it doesn't matter who knows about it. They won't know whether to believe it or not.-
X Files: Lost art of Forehead Sweat

A gun is a tool, Marion, no better or no worse than any other tool, an axe, a shovel or anything. A gun is as good or as bad as the man using it. Remember that.
-SHANE-

Jefferson Smith: You see, boys forget what their country means by just reading The Land of the Free in history books. Then they get to be men they forget even more. Liberty's too precious a thing to be buried in books, Miss Saunders. Men should hold it up in front of them every single day of their lives and say: I'm free to think and to speak. My ancestors couldn't, I can, and my children will. Boys ought to grow up remembering that . - MR Smith Goes To Washington-

to grow up remembering th

My oath to support and defend the constitution against all enemies foreign and domestic has no expiration date!!!

Ten Bears : It's sad that governments are chiefed by the double tongues. There is iron in your words of death for all Comanche to see and so there is iron in your words of life. No signed paper can hold the iron. It must come from men. Outlaw Josey Wales
Lilbabez33

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08/22/2019 11:18 AM

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
It's easy to predict the "blue crime wave" when you are privy to the massive voter fraud that went on.

Which means there will be voter fraud in 2020 on a scale never seen before. Thanks Perfesser.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75792766


Trump’s commission on voter fraud proved otherwise. So far the only cheating that’s been caught is on the right.
If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough."
-Albert Einstein
-------------------------------------
--------------​-----------------------
The problem is not the problem, the problem is your attitude about the problem.
----------------------------------------------------​----------------------
"May future generations look back on our work and say that these were men and women who, in a moment of great crisis, stood up to their politicians, the opinion-makers, and the establishment, and saved their country." - Dr. Ron Paul
........................................................​..................
Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank.
Give a man a bank and he can rob the world
.....................................
.................​....................
"And there is very grave danger that an announced need for increased security will be seized upon by those anxious to expand it's meaning to the very limits of official censorship and concealment." -JFK
........................................................​..................
Seagull Lake

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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Propaganda mixed with wishful thinking = cocktail of delusion.
Seagull Lake
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 11:28 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
It's easy to predict the "blue crime wave" when you are privy to the massive voter fraud that went on.

Which means there will be voter fraud in 2020 on a scale never seen before. Thanks Perfesser.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75792766


Trump’s commission on voter fraud proved otherwise. So far the only cheating that’s been caught is on the right.
 Quoting: Lilbabez33


Most of the states didn’t want to comply with voter information so this comment is loaded. We know that the states are hiding the fact they are letting illegals and dead people to vote.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 11:29 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
It's easy to predict the "blue crime wave" when you are privy to the massive voter fraud that went on.

Which means there will be voter fraud in 2020 on a scale never seen before. Thanks Perfesser.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75792766


Trump’s commission on voter fraud proved otherwise. So far the only cheating that’s been caught is on the right.
 Quoting: Lilbabez33


Most of the states didn’t want to comply with voter information so this comment is loaded. We know that the states are hiding the fact they are letting illegals and dead people to vote.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77590317


Then show us some proof. I've never seen any.
Anonymous Coward
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08/22/2019 11:32 AM
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
Same shit different year.
Trump wins.
The End
Joeyz
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Re: Prof Who Predicted 40-Seat Blue Wave Guarantees Trump 2020 Defeat: Dem Starts with 278 Electoral Votes
RED WAVE in the senate ,, Op failed


clappa





GLP